Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 16?
open
Total volume
$128
$22 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,098
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 11:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $47 | $47 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $7 | $67 | $60 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $33 | $33 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $53 | $52 |
| Below median | 8 | $6 | $25 | $19 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovely-Sensor 0x1a4d…4122 | Yes | +58 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 00:05 |
| Dim-Stitcher 0x4bfe…b127 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 19:52 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe09…b1ee | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 04:00 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-15 11:26 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 09:31 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 15:24 |
| Required-Usage 0xbaa5…898a | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 11:26:00 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc60f6b… |
| 05-15 11:15:13 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x0a627d… |
| 05-15 11:12:13 | Required-Usage 0xbaa5…898a | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xa45c0b… |
| 05-15 09:31:04 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf326ab… |
| 05-15 09:31:04 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xbb1b4e… |
| 05-15 09:31:04 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x38cf56… |
| 05-15 09:31:04 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5f50e2… |
| 05-15 04:00:38 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x87b0bb… |
| 05-15 01:32:58 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbf8113… |
| 05-15 01:32:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa7e91f… |
| 05-15 01:32:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9abddf… |
| 05-15 01:32:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa88fa6… |
| 05-15 01:32:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4db2ad… |
| 05-15 00:05:12 | Lovely-Sensor 0x1a4d…4122 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x7a28d5… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6515a3… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5eee73… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x545bef… |
| 05-14 21:18:39 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xec83bf… |
| 05-14 21:18:36 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x0f3254… |
| 05-14 21:18:27 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x88f490… |
| 05-14 21:18:27 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7c29ca… |
| 05-14 21:18:18 | (anonymous) 0xfe09…b1ee | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfff7a7… |
| 05-14 19:52:21 | Dim-Stitcher 0x4bfe…b127 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x60ac99… |
| 05-14 15:24:34 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xdd5c13… |
| 05-14 10:40:24 | (anonymous) 0x9345…b1b1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x59e7f3… |