Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$1,371
$57 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$159
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 10:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $11 | $220 | $209 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $7 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $12 | $24 | $12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 10 | $1 | $922 | $920 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $50 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $47 | $46 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $45 | $44 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $225 | $223 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuzzy-Rock 0xf6ad…4c12 | No | +640 | $639 | $639 | 1 | 05-15 09:26 |
| Primary-Paint 0xd16f…b6dd | No | +230 | $225 | $225 | 1 | 05-15 00:45 |
| Incomparable-Copy 0x8d71…15d8 | No | +150 | $147 | $147 | 3 | 05-14 21:52 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +63 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 20:44 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-14 21:09 |
| Insidious-Meridian 0x59d4…b745 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-15 00:53 |
| Growling-Dibble 0x36bb…6bd8 | No | +50 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-14 19:32 |
| Dangerous-Minnow 0xbfb4…96ed | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Wiggly-Role 0xf87c…cfcb | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-14 21:34 |
| Gummy-Movement 0x4d45…652a | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-15 10:34 |
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 08:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 10:22 |
| Sunny-Sum-Den 0x4eab…2caa | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:41 |
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:41 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:48 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:47 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 20:40 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 20:07 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 19:27 |
| Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 01:07 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:12 |
| Lost-Octopus 0x5f5b…c9b8 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:19 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 10:34:35 | Gummy-Movement 0x4d45…652a | No | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x5e3e8e… |
| 05-15 10:22:03 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xeeaeac… |
| 05-15 09:26:57 | Fuzzy-Rock 0xf6ad…4c12 | No | BUY | 640 | 100¢ | $639 | 0x482898… |
| 05-15 08:29:40 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x7bf544… |
| 05-15 02:23:20 | Mixed-Brushfire 0xeda8…7795 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xe37bcb… |
| 05-15 01:07:54 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x764c25… |
| 05-15 00:53:02 | Insidious-Meridian 0x59d4…b745 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x9b8ea7… |
| 05-15 00:45:29 | Primary-Paint 0xd16f…b6dd | No | BUY | 230 | 98¢ | $225 | 0x1bc95e… |
| 05-15 00:25:00 | Dangerous-Minnow 0xbfb4…96ed | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x33353d… |
| 05-14 22:22:37 | Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | Yes | SELL | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4fcbd0… |
| 05-14 22:22:18 | Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | Yes | SELL | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x78051e… |
| 05-14 22:16:54 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd2e875… |
| 05-14 21:52:10 | Incomparable-Copy 0x8d71…15d8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xd50889… |
| 05-14 21:51:56 | Incomparable-Copy 0x8d71…15d8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x6d580a… |
| 05-14 21:51:44 | Incomparable-Copy 0x8d71…15d8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x37a0b5… |
| 05-14 21:34:59 | Wiggly-Role 0xf87c…cfcb | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xb2aa3a… |
| 05-14 21:18:17 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xe1ff12… |
| 05-14 21:09:51 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc69906… |
| 05-14 21:09:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc43bc0… |
| 05-14 21:09:51 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x022039… |
| 05-14 20:44:37 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x0786bf… |
| 05-14 20:44:25 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xc7e1fc… |
| 05-14 20:41:56 | Sunny-Sum-Den 0x4eab…2caa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x5ab917… |
| 05-14 20:41:49 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xa883d2… |
| 05-14 20:40:04 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xdabfbe… |
| 05-14 20:07:08 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x3da0fd… |
| 05-14 19:48:30 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x74d659… |
| 05-14 19:47:17 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x34ce51… |
| 05-14 19:47:17 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6b459d… |
| 05-14 19:32:08 | Growling-Dibble 0x36bb…6bd8 | No | BUY | 50 | 70¢ | $35 | 0x5f394b… |
| 05-14 19:27:16 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x24c38e… |
| 05-14 19:27:16 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7bb856… |
| 05-14 19:27:16 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x94117e… |
| 05-14 19:27:16 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x945503… |
| 05-14 19:27:16 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x5037fa… |
| 05-14 19:27:16 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x3e1124… |
| 05-14 19:27:16 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x79acd5… |
| 05-14 19:27:16 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x55ab47… |
| 05-14 19:13:06 | Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xc2291e… |
| 05-14 18:12:19 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xd0b8c6… |
| 05-14 17:14:41 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x49160f… |
| 05-14 08:19:07 | Lost-Octopus 0x5f5b…c9b8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x98e140… |