Realized P&L
+$674
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved
508
Trades
1,056
lifetime
Volume
$98.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$2.06K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-27 10:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
86% 95% +$446
Politics
7% 93% +$76
Crypto
5% 83% +$20
Sports
3% 48% +$132
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +760 $736 97¢ $738 +$1 10-27 10:36
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +300 $292 98¢ $294 +$1 10-26 03:44
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$0 10-26 03:20
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$1 10-26 07:10
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? No +183 $180 99¢ $181 +$1 10-26 03:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +110 $103 94¢ $104 +$1 10-02 05:52
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $97 96¢ $96 -$1 10-26 03:21
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +100 $89 82¢ $82 -$7 10-02 05:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? No +60 $59 100¢ $60 +$0 10-02 05:52
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -68 -$54 81¢ $-54 $0 05-07 13:44
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 10-26 07:09
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 $0 10-26 05:30