Mixed-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$379

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

1,136

Trades

3,106

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-01 22:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 58% -$368

Other

32% 52% +$5

Politics

1% 20% -$12

Tech

1% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 18:45 UTC	4	$206	137	135	+2	Up	+$25	02-12 18:49
col1 foc bcf 2026 02 15 foc	15	$136	70	70	+0	Yes	+$3	02-16 03:23
ethereum up or down february 7 11pm et	36	$123	193	95	+98	Up	-$1	02-08 04:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:45 UTC	12	$110	141	140	+1	Up	+$9	02-08 15:56
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$104	36	76	-40	No	+$7	02-14 15:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:00 UTC	13	$103	172	114	+58	Down	+$21	02-08 16:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:00 UTC	4	$91	62	61	+1	Up	+$12	02-12 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 22:25 UTC	9	$90	149	0	+149	Down	+$59	02-25 22:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:15 UTC	14	$82	262	40	+223	Up	-$18	02-08 16:25
bitcoin up or down february 7 7pm et	22	$82	74	42	+33	Down	+$1	02-08 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 22:20 UTC	6	$77	110	0	+110	Down	+$33	02-25 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 15:10 UTC	34	$75	267	0	+267	Up	-$32	02-25 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:15 UTC	7	$74	66	42	+23	Up	-$6	02-08 16:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 19:30 UTC	2	$72	50	50	+1	Up	+$11	02-12 19:33
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 19:30 UTC	2	$72	46	45	+1	Down	+$10	02-12 19:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 20:00 UTC	2	$71	47	47	+1	Down	+$10	02-12 20:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:45 UTC	6	$70	99	98	+1	Down	+$11	02-08 15:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 20:00 UTC	2	$68	45	45	+1	Down	+$8	02-12 20:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 20:15 UTC	8	$68	63	62	+1	Up	+$5	02-14 20:22
ethereum up or down february 7 7pm et	26	$67	138	21	+116	Down	-$25	02-08 02:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	2	$63	34	33	+1	Down	+$4	02-09 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 22:45 UTC	2	$62	33	32	+0	Down	+$2	02-09 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 22:15 UTC	3	$62	32	32	+0	Down	+$2	02-09 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 14:50 UTC	21	$60	246	0	+246	Down	+$39	02-25 14:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 03:30 UTC	9	$58	60	50	+10	Down	+$0	02-08 03:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$58	42	42	+0	Yes	$0	02-16 03:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 20:15 UTC	4	$56	49	48	+1	Up	+$5	02-14 20:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 20:15 UTC	4	$56	49	48	+1	Down	+$4	02-14 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 14:40 UTC	18	$55	132	0	+132	Down	+$40	02-25 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 22:00 UTC	2	$55	71	0	+71	Up	+$16	02-25 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 22:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 3?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xa59feb…
06-01 22:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 2?	No	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x190921…
06-01 22:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x9903d8…
06-01 22:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 2?	No	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x15180e…
06-01 22:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 3?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xa95098…
06-01 22:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 3?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x0499c1…
06-01 22:46:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 2?	No	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x11a611…
06-01 22:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 2?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x0239ad…
06-01 22:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 2?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x647f12…
06-01 22:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 3?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xb95e05…
06-01 22:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 3?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x96646c…
06-01 16:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x01f80f…
06-01 15:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x416ec5…
06-01 14:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xf63577…
06-01 14:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 2?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc1ddef…
06-01 14:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 2?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x90dd99…
06-01 13:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x44abc9…
06-01 13:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 2?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf68495…
06-01 13:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 2?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x7a7af8…
06-01 13:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 2?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x99c769…
06-01 13:57:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 2?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x288942…
05-29 14:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xea13c8…
05-29 14:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?	No	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x1e4e16…
05-29 14:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x02ac50…
05-29 14:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x8575c0…
05-29 14:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 30?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x742a12…
05-29 14:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xde0cd2…
05-29 14:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd533ad…
05-29 14:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xa8375c…
05-29 14:28:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x9733e4…
05-29 14:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x8fd5d1…
05-29 14:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xf5a96e…
05-29 14:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x25bb6a…
05-29 14:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x96d25e…
05-29 14:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x11af80…
05-29 14:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x019432…
05-29 14:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x7881f8…
05-29 14:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x4cd494…
05-29 14:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4a24b9…
05-29 14:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x1dc679…
05-29 14:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xce2c55…
05-29 14:28:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x363b66…
05-29 14:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x01541c…
05-29 14:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xe6edeb…
05-29 14:28:05	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2b4c1d…
05-29 14:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xa71f38…
05-29 14:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7f1811…
05-29 14:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 30?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xab80e6…
05-29 14:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x62644e…
05-29 14:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x403931…
05-29 14:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x80edec…
05-29 14:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x7c86e2…
05-29 14:27:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 30?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x3be6df…
05-29 14:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd20c1f…
05-29 14:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x6a6483…
05-29 14:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x67a5ea…
05-29 14:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x9eac82…
05-29 14:27:56	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x483b44…
05-29 14:27:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x2a9e35…
05-29 14:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x7cc628…
05-29 14:27:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6d3951…
05-29 14:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x344c0c…
05-29 14:27:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x2e97ec…
05-29 14:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcfa9f2…
05-29 14:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x78c61b…
05-29 14:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb3ce4…
05-29 14:27:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x280125…
05-29 14:27:51	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x202e08…
05-28 23:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x124043…
05-28 23:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x09dee1…
05-28 23:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5731f8…
05-28 23:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcd73a1…
05-28 23:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4a0901…
05-28 23:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8d0bde…
05-28 23:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x02fc72…
05-28 22:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9018c2…
05-28 22:52:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x07ec9c…
05-28 22:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xae7b8c…
05-28 22:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe77658…
05-28 22:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf3b712…
05-28 22:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc0a387…
05-28 22:27:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x69db70…
05-28 22:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x43dd52…
05-28 22:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x03caa0…
05-28 22:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xeb9b21…
05-28 22:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb38da9…
05-28 22:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb07809…
05-28 22:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x260e00…
05-28 22:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6fd337…
05-28 22:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x582a2e…
05-28 22:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe01871…
05-28 22:08:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x144d1a…
05-28 22:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 28?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xedcbe7…
05-28 22:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe736c2…
05-28 12:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8b6313…
05-28 12:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x52350e…
05-28 12:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc47b76…
05-28 12:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x78554f…
05-28 12:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x470d88…
05-28 12:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x10d3e8…