Insidious-Meridian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

Trades

11,277

lifetime

Volume

$582.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-02 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

94% 64% $-86

Crypto

3% 0% $-1

Tech

2% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Sports

0% 0% $-28

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	78	$6.3K	3,200	3,143	+57	open	—	02-26 13:42
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 26 2026 25c	18	$5.7K	2,999	2,750	+249	open	—	02-27 02:22
highest temperature in seoul on march 6 2026 4c	5	$5.0K	3,500	1,500	+2,000	open	—	03-06 11:19
nvda up or down on february 24 2026	19	$4.5K	3,120	1,432	+1,688	open	—	02-24 21:10
highest temperature in seattle on february 28 2026 48 49f	10	$4.4K	2,213	2,213	+0	open	—	02-28 21:56
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 6c	7	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-11 14:24
highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 40 41f	30	$3.8K	2,521	1,314	+1,207	open	—	02-27 03:33
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 13corhigher	125	$3.4K	1,926	1,893	+33	open	—	03-17 04:25
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 10 2026 24corhigher	8	$3.3K	2,060	1,280	+780	open	—	03-11 01:39
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	60	$3.1K	1,911	1,611	+300	open	—	02-25 16:42
amzn up or down on february 25 2026	4	$3.1K	1,620	1,500	+120	open	—	02-25 20:51
open up or down on february 24 2026	11	$3.1K	1,702	1,402	+300	open	—	02-24 21:34
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 19c	5	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-18 18:55
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	63	$2.9K	1,461	1,461	+0	open	—	02-28 17:46
highest temperature in dallas on february 28 2026 82 83f	26	$2.9K	3,039	0	+3,039	open	—	02-28 22:35
meta up or down on march 2 2026	6	$2.8K	1,432	1,400	+32	open	—	03-02 20:57
highest temperature in toronto on february 26 2026 neg 2c	9	$2.6K	1,574	1,000	+574	open	—	02-27 02:28
highest temperature in seattle on march 9 2026 44 45f	8	$2.5K	1,665	833	+833	open	—	03-10 02:05
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	58	$2.5K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	03-31 12:45
highest temperature in ankara on march 10 2026 12corhigher	12	$2.4K	1,537	900	+637	open	—	03-10 16:45
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 400 419	30	$2.4K	1,195	1,195	+0	open	—	02-24 17:22
highest temperature in seattle on february 27 2026 50 51f	8	$2.4K	1,697	697	+1,000	open	—	02-28 09:53
hood up or down on february 25 2026	12	$2.4K	1,242	1,120	+122	open	—	02-25 20:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	63	$2.3K	1,315	1,215	+100	open	—	04-27 16:13
highest temperature in seattle on march 4 2026 52 53f	7	$2.3K	1,225	1,122	+103	open	—	03-05 00:56
highest temperature in dallas on march 5 2026 80 81f	3	$2.3K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	03-06 09:09
highest temperature in chengdu on march 20 2026 22c	2	$2.2K	1,500	750	+750	open	—	03-20 13:51
highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 40 41f	4	$2.2K	1,700	500	+1,200	open	—	02-28 01:25
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	37	$2.1K	1,146	1,046	+99	open	—	02-23 16:53
highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 64forhigher	10	$2.1K	1,314	814	+500	open	—	03-12 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 08:00:03	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x056fa6…
06-02 07:59:58	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x08f870…
06-02 07:59:46	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x618a6b…
06-02 07:59:40	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	306	4¢	$13	0xd250b8…
06-02 07:59:28	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x87f7f5…
06-02 07:59:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xbc37d6…
05-25 07:18:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xec8888…
05-25 00:34:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x433a00…
05-20 04:27:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x70ccc8…
05-13 19:57:39	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x1a2d2c…
05-13 16:59:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf76ba7…
05-13 16:56:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x80306a…
05-13 16:52:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	95	45¢	$43	0x24232d…
05-13 16:41:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xc82374…
05-13 16:26:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x0a5576…
05-13 16:25:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xbb1211…
05-11 21:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x427f0b…
05-11 10:41:57	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd287dc…
05-11 10:41:50	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x79539a…
05-11 07:33:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x2d2eda…
05-08 18:44:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8e7c3d…
05-08 13:26:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x6bd3a2…
05-08 11:46:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x554e29…
05-07 20:24:43	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xcae455…
05-07 19:39:11	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xba873e…
05-07 16:19:27	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x92f0dd…
05-07 16:16:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x8d54bd…
05-07 15:28:28	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xd0bd39…
05-07 15:15:26	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0x381af5…
05-07 14:39:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	98	33¢	$33	0x91196a…
05-07 12:49:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x1bd873…
05-07 09:35:31	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf5e673…
05-07 09:33:04	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xae298b…
05-07 09:32:01	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xbacc34…
05-07 09:28:52	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb9a372…
05-07 09:27:49	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x181922…
05-07 09:26:46	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x71eea1…
05-07 08:42:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x5fa6be…
05-07 08:18:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xe63fbf…
05-07 08:18:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xd240b6…
05-07 08:18:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0xabaf54…
05-07 08:18:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x292bb4…
05-07 08:18:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xdb96c2…
05-07 08:18:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xce5166…
05-07 08:18:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xbb817b…
05-07 08:18:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x0ff792…
05-07 08:18:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x8208a2…
05-07 08:08:29	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x5472fd…
05-07 08:06:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xff127d…
05-07 08:03:09	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa25a6d…
05-07 08:02:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0af4ef…
05-07 08:02:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc9676d…
05-07 08:01:03	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe18020…
05-07 07:58:57	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x10b11f…
05-07 07:55:50	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0f0e05…
05-07 07:54:47	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd0491a…
05-07 07:44:22	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfea232…
05-07 07:43:19	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xff5fa5…
05-07 07:34:09	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa22efc…
05-07 07:30:46	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa84e13…
05-07 07:28:42	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4bdf7c…
05-07 07:27:01	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x182629…
05-06 18:02:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xe83788…
05-06 11:27:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xac17e1…
05-06 11:22:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x24cbc8…
05-06 10:20:44	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x061043…
05-06 10:18:36	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xc63226…
05-06 10:02:46	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x366d05…
05-06 10:02:04	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x435299…
05-06 09:59:14	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x583c05…
05-06 02:49:30	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x2452cd…
05-06 02:48:58	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb1c2df…
05-06 02:47:54	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa4baae…
05-06 02:46:52	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7ebf1c…
05-06 02:44:48	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd33d43…
05-06 02:40:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x403371…
05-06 02:39:34	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5ece75…
05-06 02:38:32	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5f154f…
05-06 02:37:28	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc164c4…
05-06 02:33:20	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1d6f7c…
05-06 02:32:18	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xca3ef9…
05-06 02:31:14	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb6c8c8…
05-06 02:29:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xcd9629…
05-06 02:27:06	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd30b20…
05-06 02:26:10	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe60e56…
05-06 02:26:02	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x77952f…
05-06 02:11:10	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x9f6525…
05-06 00:16:12	Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x51e2c8…
05-05 22:53:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xeadb5c…
05-05 22:52:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0xe7a7c1…
05-05 22:52:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd5c707…
05-05 22:52:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x052454…
05-05 22:52:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x1ad238…
05-05 22:52:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xdd9a4a…
05-05 20:15:10	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xca1204…
05-05 01:28:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x2d69dd…
05-04 17:30:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x1c6c76…
05-04 17:22:16	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd0baae…
05-04 16:04:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x20c8d9…
05-04 15:24:18	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x123ac1…