Gummy-Movement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.89K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

1,410

Trades

5,352

lifetime

Volume

$851.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$159

Open exposure

$19

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-18 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Other

89% 83% +$2,647

Politics

5% 71% +$444

Sports

3% 62% +$1,131

Crypto

2% 39% +$64

Tech

1% 100% +$64

Pop-Culture

1% 85% +$539

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	-289	-$9	6¢	$-17	-$8	09-02 21:20
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	-96	-$1	1¢	$-1	$0	10-03 18:50
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	-100	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	10-03 18:50
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+0	-$4	99¢	$0	+$4	04-28 13:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	121	$40.1K	22,500	19,405	+3,095	No	+$197	03-16 20:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	19	$10.2K	5,300	5,161	+139	No	+$14	03-11 00:03
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 23 2026 27c	10	$8.5K	5,475	3,000	+2,475	Yes	+$12	03-23 21:17
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$8.3K	4,299	4,299	+0	open	—	04-28 13:14
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 86 87f	5	$6.3K	6,449	0	+6,449	Yes	+$101	04-20 22:07
us strike on somalia by february 14	9	$6.3K	3,735	3,735	+0	Yes	-$505	02-14 10:31
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 total 152pt5	29	$5.7K	6,000	6,000	+0	Under	-$61	03-27 19:36
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 88 89f	3	$5.6K	5,604	0	+5,604	No	+$6	03-13 00:18
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 16 2026 36corhigher	3	$5.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	No	+$11	02-16 20:07
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	40	$5.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	Texas Longhorns	+$50	03-17 22:07
gpt 5pt3 released by february 14 2026	11	$4.9K	2,452	2,452	+0	Yes	+$21	02-05 21:25
highest temperature in miami on march 25 2026 80 81f	6	$4.6K	4,567	0	+4,567	Yes	+$7	03-25 23:01
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 2 43c	2	$4.6K	2,281	2,281	+0	No	+$2	02-02 19:11
elon musk of tweets march 2026 20 39	6	$4.3K	2,155	2,155	+0	No	+$0	02-16 19:31
highest temperature in dallas on march 14 2026 80 81f	10	$4.2K	3,394	848	+2,546	Yes	+$8	03-15 03:17
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 18 2026 30c	4	$4.1K	4,146	0	+4,146	Yes	+$4	03-18 23:54
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 26 2026 25corbelow	4	$4.1K	4,113	0	+4,113	No	+$4	02-26 17:20
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 23 2026 29c	13	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$4	02-23 19:23
will paradex launch a token on march 5	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$2	03-05 19:42
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 68 69f	14	$3.9K	1,935	2,047	-112	Yes	+$41	04-17 02:04
highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 82 83f	12	$3.9K	3,512	433	+3,079	Yes	+$11	03-05 22:09
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	4	$3.8K	1,907	1,907	+0	No	+$2	03-01 03:23
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 13 2026 31c	16	$3.7K	3,178	554	+2,624	No	+$6	02-13 21:40
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20 total 138pt5	2	$3.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Under	-$186	03-20 16:10
will trumps remarks in rome ga not air 677	2	$3.6K	3,600	0	+3,600	No	+$4	02-19 21:52
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 12 2026 34c	2	$3.6K	3,589	0	+3,589	No	+$4	02-12 21:59
highest temperature in dallas on march 15 2026 84 85f	2	$3.6K	3,581	0	+3,581	Yes	+$9	03-15 21:16
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 4 2026 34c	1	$3.6K	3,564	0	+3,564	Yes	+$4	03-04 22:48
Will the US strike Iran next?	11	$3.6K	1,807	1,807	+0	No	+$54	02-10 14:44
highest temperature in miami on february 27 2026 82 83f	18	$3.2K	3,249	0	+3,249	Yes	+$9	02-28 00:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 18:46:36	Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x0f852c…
10-18 18:46:18	Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	Yes	BUY	118	52¢	$62	0x49a917…
10-18 18:46:02	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	89¢	$87	0x95e5d4…
10-13 19:47:18	Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	Yes	BUY	87	65¢	$57	0x36310c…
10-13 19:47:01	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	210	29¢	$61	0x94cb9d…
10-13 19:40:39	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	74¢	$73	0x3c17f8…
10-13 19:34:03	Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x28de86…
10-07 15:02:34	World Cup trophy on the pitch at Messi's farewell?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc70b21…
10-07 15:01:55	World Cup trophy on the pitch at Messi's farewell?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$38	0x634f2c…
10-04 23:07:16	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 31	Yes	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x198990…
10-04 22:24:53	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 31	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xa9ba94…
10-03 18:50:59	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,328	5¢	$69	0x4fd250…
10-03 18:50:51	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x5fa614…
10-03 18:50:42	Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x63f7ab…
10-03 18:50:36	Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	1¢	$1	0x51c4e7…
10-03 18:50:30	Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x73cbf9…
10-02 16:33:33	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	267	75¢	$200	0xaca959…
10-01 17:12:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	450	55¢	$247	0x11db81…
09-27 10:36:56	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xf72cd7…
09-23 15:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x95f81d…
09-23 15:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x6bd219…
09-23 15:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x768006…
09-23 15:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 23?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x10e735…
09-23 15:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 23?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x7e5857…
09-22 16:26:16	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	23¢	$69	0xade93c…
09-22 16:26:09	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0xeb506d…
09-21 15:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x3f2a60…
09-21 15:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7941b0…
09-20 20:18:08	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	251	61¢	$153	0x8be96f…
09-19 10:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0x12a1ea…
09-19 10:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 19?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x60d936…
09-18 11:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x55d762…
09-16 14:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb1e85f…
09-16 14:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x13e6a4…
09-16 14:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x920d09…
09-14 14:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 14?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xaadefc…
09-14 14:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 14?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x3e1bdb…
09-14 14:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 14?	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x29b13f…
09-14 14:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x28f3ed…
09-14 14:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xfe4b7b…
09-14 14:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 14?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x12d756…
09-10 17:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3bc794…
09-10 17:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xbfd5b7…
09-10 17:12:06	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x8fd267…
09-08 16:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 8?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x237628…
09-02 21:22:36	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	SELL	544	53¢	$287	0x080a21…
09-02 21:21:27	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	324	94¢	$306	0x30a234…
09-02 21:21:00	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Yes	SELL	87	16¢	$14	0x5251a7…
09-02 21:20:46	Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	2¢	$5	0x657dbd…
09-01 08:27:16	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	104	92¢	$96	0x95e088…
08-31 15:21:57	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	SELL	544	54¢	$291	0x12c72f…
08-27 20:09:49	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0x8758b7…
08-27 15:24:39	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0ed5ec…
08-27 12:51:42	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xa73103…
08-27 12:51:39	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfcc966…
08-27 12:51:39	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xec5886…
08-27 12:51:39	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4b985e…
08-27 12:51:37	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5b1ee5…
08-25 07:20:00	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	Yes	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x892754…
08-24 09:06:06	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	43	61¢	$26	0xe41c66…
08-22 06:01:33	will lionel messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	140	88¢	$123	0x92f30b…
08-22 05:55:18	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	324	96¢	$310	0xc9cc95…
08-22 05:52:46	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	BUY	315	52¢	$162	0x41c776…
08-22 05:52:33	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	BUY	772	51¢	$394	0xdc3288…
08-22 05:50:46	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xfd7b49…
08-04 15:59:59	will drx be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204227	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x6da9ff…
08-04 15:58:53	will genptg be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204217	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xaae856…
08-04 15:58:39	will zeta division be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204221	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0552e3…
08-04 15:58:24	will t1 be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204216	Yes	BUY	53	68¢	$37	0x7397cb…
08-04 15:57:36	will fnatic be a 2027 vct emea partner team 20260803193518740	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xdbadcc…
08-04 15:57:26	will team vitality be a 2027 vct emea partner team 20260803193518744	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xbbb1e8…
08-03 22:17:42	will kru esports be a 2027 vct americas partner team 20260803200301924	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xbe5734…
08-03 22:17:36	will kru esports be a 2027 vct americas partner team 20260803200301924	Yes	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x4d322a…
08-03 22:16:44	will kru esports be a 2027 vct americas partner team 20260803200301924	Yes	SELL	39	70¢	$27	0x8cf860…
08-03 22:12:41	will kru esports be a 2027 vct americas partner team 20260803200301924	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x3708be…
08-03 22:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	603	100¢	$602	0x2b63ad…
08-03 22:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0xc22da2…
08-03 22:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x9738d4…
08-03 21:54:27	will trace esports be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808469	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xfa5267…
08-03 21:54:06	will funplus phoenix be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808467	Yes	BUY	61	68¢	$41	0xd93787…
08-03 21:52:39	will drx be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204227	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3d9c03…
08-03 21:52:03	will genptg be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204217	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6fe291…
08-03 21:51:47	will t1 be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204216	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x3ab637…
08-03 21:51:06	will zeta division be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204221	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7bd65c…
08-03 21:48:50	will sentinels be a 2027 vct americas partner team 20260803200301916	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x41ad16…
08-03 21:48:05	will kru esports be a 2027 vct americas partner team 20260803200301924	Yes	BUY	141	65¢	$91	0x09d019…
08-03 21:46:35	will natus vincere be a 2027 vct emea partner team 20260803193518747	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x5a7f49…
08-03 21:46:18	will team liquid be a 2027 vct emea partner team 20260803193518741	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xebf53c…
08-03 21:46:09	will team vitality be a 2027 vct emea partner team 20260803193518744	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xaaa9b8…
08-03 21:45:56	will karmine corp be a 2027 vct emea partner team 20260803193518753	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1b4115…
08-03 21:45:45	will fnatic be a 2027 vct emea partner team 20260803193518740	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4e355a…
07-25 21:35:21	la velada del ano 6 viruzz vs gero arias 20260708192137377	Gero Arias	SELL	436	100¢	$435	0x58ddff…
07-25 19:48:39	la velada del ano 6 edu aguirre vs gaston edul 20260708163317222	Aguirre	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x02b338…
07-25 19:48:01	la velada del ano 6 edu aguirre vs gaston edul 20260708163317222	Aguirre	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x23abab…
07-25 19:47:43	la velada del ano 6 edu aguirre vs gaston edul 20260708163317222	Aguirre	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x034ff1…
07-25 19:47:34	la velada del ano 6 edu aguirre vs gaston edul 20260708163317222	Aguirre	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0827e8…
07-25 19:42:24	la velada del ano 6 edu aguirre vs gaston edul 20260708163317222	Aguirre	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x0b5ad8…
07-22 13:38:51	la velada del ano 6 edu aguirre vs gaston edul 20260708163317222	Edul	BUY	205	23¢	$48	0xd876ba…
07-22 13:38:34	la velada del ano 6 viruzz vs gero arias 20260708192137377	Gero Arias	BUY	436	64¢	$279	0x4bffc3…
07-22 13:21:30	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$134	0xdbbe1b…