Clueless-Stepgrandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,086

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$114

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-12 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

88% 0% $-15

Politics

7% 0% $-48

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	+27	$25	99¢	$26	+$1	07-01 23:59
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	+25	$22	92¢	$23	+$1	07-01 23:58
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	+25	$23	92¢	$23	+$0	07-01 23:58
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	+23	$15	84¢	$19	+$4	06-02 13:42
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	+18	$15	97¢	$17	+$2	06-02 13:42
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	+15	$5	28¢	$4	$-1	07-02 00:07
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$2	28¢	$1	$-1	07-02 00:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 10corhigher	1	$254	255	0	+255	open	—	02-02 10:45
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 30 35c	1	$197	200	0	+200	open	—	01-30 12:03
highest temperature in ankara on january 30 12corhigher	2	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	01-30 14:07
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 215 239	4	$125	63	63	+0	open	—	01-17 17:05
highest temperature in nyc on february 3 2026 40forhigher	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-02 10:44
highest temperature in nyc on february 6 2026 24 25f	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-05 10:17
highest temperature in london on february 5 2026 11c	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	02-05 10:16
highest temperature in chicago on february 6 2026 42forhigher	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	02-06 09:37
wta mboko kalinsk 2026 01 13	2	$97	109	109	+0	open	—	01-13 10:13
highest temperature in wellington on february 5 2026 18c	1	$84	84	0	+84	open	—	02-04 11:02
will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	4	$83	54	54	+0	open	—	01-14 09:21
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 240plus	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	01-17 17:05
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 140 164	4	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	01-14 19:38
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 560 579	3	$79	84	0	+84	open	—	01-16 12:31
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$77	84	0	+84	open	—	01-15 00:07
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$77	1,280	1,280	+0	open	—	01-18 22:51
highest temperature in nyc on february 3 2026 38 39f	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	02-02 10:43
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	3	$69	71	0	+71	open	—	01-17 01:21
highest temperature in atlanta on january 21 54 55f	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	01-21 22:27
will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	3	$68	204	204	+0	open	—	03-04 15:47
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	2	$66	38	38	+0	open	—	01-13 10:07
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	4	$60	46	25	+21	open	—	01-17 15:40
highest temperature in wellington on february 5 2026 17c	1	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	02-04 11:02
highest temperature in miami on february 5 2026 62 63f	1	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	02-04 11:04
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$59	61	0	+61	open	—	01-15 15:25
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	5	$59	57	42	+15	open	—	03-09 01:20
scop hmi stm 2026 01 14 hmi	8	$59	70	70	+0	open	—	01-14 20:03
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	01-24 13:17
cdr bet elc 2026 01 14 bet	3	$57	49	49	+0	open	—	01-14 21:34
highest temperature in nyc on february 9 2026 24 25f	2	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	02-08 12:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 21:12:13	mlb atl stl 2026 07 12	Atlanta Braves	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xdf7e9f…
07-12 21:11:37	mlb ari lad 2026 07 12	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x4d5db2…
07-05 23:25:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x3e9f5f…
07-05 23:22:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x03863a…
07-05 23:22:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x22a5d9…
07-05 23:22:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x873946…
07-05 23:19:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x2deda2…
07-02 00:07:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xcced71…
07-02 00:04:52	will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xe384a6…
07-02 00:04:04	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1b6f31…
07-02 00:03:56	will russia capture all of rodynske again by september 30	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4e9d50…
07-02 00:03:26	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x548a73…
07-02 00:02:47	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x7d4d1a…
07-02 00:01:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x88e476…
07-02 00:01:31	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x455e68…
07-02 00:00:19	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x71d9f8…
07-01 23:59:47	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0b25d6…
07-01 23:59:25	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb8aa96…
07-01 23:59:11	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xd2441d…
07-01 23:58:55	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x9466f5…
07-01 23:58:44	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x07c1a6…
07-01 23:58:08	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x7d709b…
06-02 13:43:47	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xc25828…
06-02 13:43:14	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x143dbe…
06-02 13:43:10	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x251cc1…
06-02 13:43:01	Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xa71bd0…
06-02 13:42:16	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x66cd35…
06-02 13:42:11	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x751002…
06-02 13:42:07	Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x0b3b4b…
06-02 13:42:00	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	No	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xf94180…
06-02 13:41:50	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x5caddd…
06-02 13:41:32	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x17588c…
05-02 13:19:08	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1d4c09…
05-02 13:18:36	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x8b25d9…
05-02 13:18:24	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x09a19d…
05-02 13:15:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x569b6d…
05-01 16:15:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xc44d68…
05-01 16:13:32	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x820796…
05-01 16:13:12	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x7c4160…
05-01 16:12:50	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x0c1da5…
05-01 16:12:40	Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xdd50b9…
05-01 16:12:22	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x6329da…
05-01 16:11:46	Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by May 31?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x501125…
05-01 16:11:34	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x668e49…
05-01 16:11:24	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x5c86ee…
04-07 12:45:47	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x29c30a…
04-01 13:52:57	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc9c913…
04-01 13:52:39	Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xdcb3a1…
04-01 13:52:27	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xfe0123…
04-01 13:52:17	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xf89d62…
04-01 11:12:05	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xf5f75f…
04-01 11:11:15	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x872746…
04-01 11:10:53	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xdee5b9…
04-01 11:10:45	Will Russia capture Toretske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x715201…
04-01 11:10:37	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x779874…
04-01 11:10:19	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by April 30?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x551140…
04-01 11:10:09	Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x21d582…
04-01 11:09:59	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x375d4f…
04-01 11:09:47	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x947096…
04-01 11:09:23	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x819416…
03-09 01:24:49	will russia capture hryshyne by april 30 2026 647 522	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb4b9fa…
03-09 01:23:23	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe478a6…
03-09 01:22:41	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x495765…
03-09 01:22:39	will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2a169a…
03-09 01:21:51	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x68e2d3…
03-09 01:21:31	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd8a7e3…
03-09 01:20:29	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6ed8e7…
03-09 01:20:25	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x59bde6…
03-09 01:18:29	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdfe55b…
03-09 01:18:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xff107e…
03-04 15:47:55	will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	SELL	204	9¢	$18	0x179028…
03-04 15:47:43	will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	178	15¢	$26	0xc330fe…
03-03 12:09:13	will nepali congress win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd730a4…
03-03 12:06:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xec0853…
03-03 12:05:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf0f129…
03-02 17:48:07	will apple watch be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0xdc7380…
03-02 15:59:29	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf36b86…
03-02 15:57:43	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1d5c27…
03-02 15:56:41	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x24ec5e…
03-02 15:56:27	maduro exiled to russia by march 31	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x283d80…
03-02 15:54:33	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xd4fcbc…
03-02 15:33:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x39423e…
03-01 22:17:07	cbb sill evans 2026 03 01	Southern Illinois Salukis	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x984810…
03-01 22:11:23	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xfb8530…
03-01 22:10:59	will russia capture all of ternuvate by march 31 2026	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xaf7d04…
03-01 22:10:47	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x1f3273…
02-22 15:44:52	will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0xbca406…
02-22 15:44:36	will apple watch be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x2832ef…
02-21 22:28:56	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xae5ce5…
02-21 22:26:34	will russia capture havrylivka by february 28 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd1445e…
02-21 22:26:22	will russia capture all of prymorske by february 28 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2ee213…
02-21 22:25:16	will russia capture toretske by february 28	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x41ba03…
02-21 22:25:10	will russia capture rodynske by february 28	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xe4a8d6…
02-21 22:24:24	will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdb39fb…
02-20 20:50:02	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf28dca…
02-20 14:25:30	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x38b0e6…
02-20 14:24:54	will russia capture havrylivka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x65859e…
02-20 14:24:46	will russia capture havrylivka by february 28 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb7c854…
02-20 14:19:32	will russia capture all of ternuvate by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd04407…
02-20 14:19:30	will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa6e627…