Realized P&L
-$49
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
2.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
70
lifetime
Volume
$1.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$450
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-01 19:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
73% 33% $-49
Other
27%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +151 $105 76¢ $114 +$9 06-16 20:19
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +104 $91 88¢ $92 +$1 07-01 19:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +55 $40 76¢ $42 +$2 06-04 21:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +60 $32 57¢ $35 +$3 06-04 12:51
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +38 $31 83¢ $32 +$1 06-10 21:16
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +39 $31 76¢ $29 $-2 06-10 21:16
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +32 $27 84¢ $27 $-0 06-05 18:35
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No +27 $22 90¢ $24 +$2 06-01 21:29
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +29 $20 77¢ $22 +$2 06-04 21:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +29 $20 70¢ $20 +$0 07-01 10:41
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +14 $12 90¢ $12 +$0 06-05 18:33
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-10 12:16