Buttery-Trapezium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

+$48

Hit rate

2.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$510

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-07 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

72% 33% $-49

Other

28% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+216	$155	82¢	$176	+$21	07-06 20:28
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	+104	$91	94¢	$97	+$6	07-01 19:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+55	$40	78¢	$43	+$3	06-04 21:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+60	$32	64¢	$39	+$7	06-04 12:51
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	+39	$31	83¢	$32	+$1	06-10 21:16
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	+38	$31	84¢	$32	+$1	06-10 21:16
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	+32	$27	90¢	$29	+$2	06-05 18:35
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	+27	$22	90¢	$24	+$2	06-01 21:29
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	+29	$20	82¢	$24	+$4	06-04 21:27
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	+14	$12	90¢	$12	+$0	06-05 18:33
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	06-10 12:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	7	$155	216	0	+216	open	—	07-06 20:28
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	1	$129	0	132	-132	open	—	06-05 18:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$113	62	70	-8	open	—	05-26 13:27
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	1	$95	0	97	-97	open	—	06-10 21:09
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	6	$91	104	0	+104	open	—	07-01 19:48
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	1	$55	0	57	-57	open	—	06-04 13:07
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?	1	$50	0	51	-51	open	—	05-29 22:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$48	28	28	+0	open	—	05-02 08:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$47	29	29	+0	open	—	07-07 21:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$45	53	0	+53	open	—	02-01 21:00
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	01-06 12:00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$40	55	0	+55	open	—	06-04 21:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$40	49	0	+49	Yes	$-40	05-01 18:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	01-29 22:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	06-06 08:10
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	1	$37	0	37	-37	open	—	06-03 13:29
will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	1	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	02-10 15:45
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	1	$32	0	33	-33	open	—	06-04 12:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$32	60	0	+60	open	—	06-04 12:51
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	3	$31	39	0	+39	open	—	06-10 21:16
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	3	$31	38	0	+38	open	—	06-10 21:16
ukraine election called by december 31 2026	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	06-05 18:41
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	3	$27	32	0	+32	open	—	06-05 18:35
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	2	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	06-01 21:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	06-05 18:40
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	06-04 21:27
russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	06-10 12:04
ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	02-01 21:26
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$19	0	20	-20	open	—	06-04 21:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	06-16 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 21:28:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x3c44c8…
07-06 20:28:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x5fca70…
07-02 10:15:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x2eb647…
07-02 08:17:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xdffac7…
07-01 19:48:05	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xf6cb52…
07-01 10:41:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x092006…
06-16 20:19:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfff0da…
06-16 20:18:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x579fae…
06-15 18:43:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa8ac6e…
06-10 21:24:42	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x8921a3…
06-10 21:16:37	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x97eff5…
06-10 21:16:30	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x1e65f1…
06-10 21:10:25	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf7a29d…
06-10 21:10:18	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xdcd7e7…
06-10 21:09:49	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xdc291a…
06-10 12:16:07	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x448faa…
06-10 12:15:34	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe43468…
06-10 12:15:33	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x89dbae…
06-10 12:04:13	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd5574b…
06-10 12:04:01	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xda9b4b…
06-06 08:11:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe5eee8…
06-06 08:10:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xfebabb…
06-05 18:41:18	ukraine election called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x5f387c…
06-05 18:40:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x8fe3c6…
06-05 18:35:12	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x6fd999…
06-05 18:33:01	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x966d93…
06-05 18:31:10	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	98¢	$129	0xb31a61…
06-04 21:27:48	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x84201f…
06-04 21:24:37	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xa4f105…
06-04 21:13:09	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7f4971…
06-04 21:10:54	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xadda48…
06-04 21:10:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbddd2d…
06-04 13:09:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x52b5f8…
06-04 13:07:16	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$55	0x2e69f2…
06-04 12:51:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x87288c…
06-04 12:51:18	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xb798f0…
06-04 12:49:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xe44514…
06-03 13:29:51	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x588b53…
06-01 21:45:29	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcf92f6…
06-01 21:42:48	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd36faf…
06-01 21:41:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfd9e76…
06-01 21:36:54	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x80472a…
06-01 21:33:51	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x68189a…
06-01 21:32:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x92bdca…
06-01 21:29:18	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x7ae0cd…
05-29 22:11:27	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x670e83…
05-28 19:34:26	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb9115d…
05-28 13:23:48	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6a85a4…
05-28 12:51:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x260b28…
05-26 13:27:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$68	0x3c702e…
05-13 18:08:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3b1359…
05-08 11:16:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x041251…
05-08 10:03:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x2e07b3…
05-08 09:53:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1a65f3…
05-07 11:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x1a6f6a…
05-04 07:59:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x776dee…
05-02 20:52:00	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x766a44…
05-02 08:33:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xbcdfb9…
05-01 18:17:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xff08f7…
04-24 07:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x631e51…
04-21 11:16:04	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x16e099…
04-21 09:28:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x3b216d…
04-21 09:17:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb61e9d…
04-19 15:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xd6f943…
02-16 10:15:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7694c2…
02-10 15:45:19	will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x657b00…
02-01 21:26:44	ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x55064e…
02-01 21:04:58	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x2975ed…
02-01 21:01:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x204d3a…
02-01 21:00:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe86958…
02-01 21:00:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x655bdd…
01-29 22:17:00	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x0a7db1…
01-29 22:16:30	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x645992…
01-06 12:00:53	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xeb1820…