Realized P&L
-$49
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
2.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
65
lifetime
Volume
$1.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$836
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-10 21:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
73% 33% $-49
Other
27%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No -132 $-129 99¢ $-130 $-0 06-05 18:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +134 $95 72¢ $96 +$1 06-06 08:11
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No -97 $-95 99¢ $-96 $-1 06-10 21:09
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +70 $61 86¢ $60 $-1 06-10 21:24
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -57 $-55 99¢ $-56 $-1 06-04 13:07
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? No -51 $-50 99¢ $-50 $-0 05-29 22:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +55 $40 74¢ $41 +$1 06-04 21:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +43 $40 94¢ $41 +$1 06-06 08:10
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -37 $-37 99¢ $-37 $-0 06-03 13:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +60 $32 55¢ $33 +$1 06-04 12:51
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +38 $31 84¢ $32 +$1 06-10 21:16
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -33 $-32 98¢ $-32 +$0 06-04 12:51
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +39 $31 80¢ $31 $-0 06-10 21:16
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +32 $27 84¢ $27 $-0 06-05 18:35
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No +27 $22 80¢ $22 $-0 06-01 21:29
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +29 $20 72¢ $21 +$1 06-04 21:27
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No -20 $-19 99¢ $-20 $-1 06-04 21:24
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +14 $12 87¢ $12 $-0 06-05 18:33
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-10 12:16