Crisp-Fuel-Gloom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$432

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

120

Trades

596

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 10-27 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

73% 24% -$327

Politics

10% 6% -$35

Sports

9% 19% -$51

Crypto

6% 33% -$16

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1	7	$562	350	350	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$89	07-06 03:46
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game3	13	$472	280	280	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$88	07-06 06:13
meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	3	$282	12,412	12,412	+0	No	-$214	06-30 05:41
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game4	2	$195	100	100	+0	T1	+$5	07-04 09:52
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	4	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	06-16 01:56
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	13	$182	150	150	+0	No	+$1	05-26 09:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	3	$170	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	05-26 08:43
will apyx launch a token by september 30 2027	4	$164	100	100	+0	open	—	06-19 00:52
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	8	$161	200	200	+0	open	—	07-20 14:08
lol t1 kc 2026 06 28 game3	3	$160	100	100	+0	T1	+$10	06-29 05:19
lol tsw tes 2026 07 04 game4	3	$130	100	100	+0	Team Secret Whales	+$20	07-05 06:10
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	5	$121	100	100	+0	No	-$14	05-27 09:10
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	8	$120	200	200	+0	Yes	-$13	05-26 12:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	8	$106	115	115	+0	No	-$1	05-27 13:43
lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02 game1	1	$100	100	0	+100	Hanwha Life Esports	+$0	07-03 03:35
Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	5	$99	100	100	+0	No	-$3	07-04 02:20
Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	06-17 02:27
Will Gen.G make a roster change before July?	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	-$1	06-15 01:49
will donald trump publicly insult jd vance by june 30 2026	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-17 08:21
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	07-02 16:25
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	10-25 10:14
will jordan be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003060	2	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-23 04:44
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$90	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-27 04:18
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	2	$89	50	50	+0	No	-$3	06-29 14:27
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	07-04 02:15
Will the Republican Party win the NV-04 House seat?	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	06-26 03:06
will stripes valuation hit high 300b by december 31	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	06-26 16:55
Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	10-26 12:13
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?	3	$88	50	50	+0	No	+$2	07-13 21:50
will polymarket mindshare hit 90 by december 31 20260630144203050	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	07-01 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:16:12	Will the Detroit Lions win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	U 10.5	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x1e9710…
10-27 19:07:24	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 18?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x03cd3e…
10-27 16:45:32	QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x18565f…
10-27 16:41:18	QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xf60a37…
10-27 14:53:03	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0xab93ad…
10-27 14:53:03	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x5fcc58…
10-27 14:52:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x020c40…
10-27 13:18:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xcda1b8…
10-27 13:18:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x112c1e…
10-27 13:18:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0ddb7a…
10-27 12:34:57	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xc3de75…
10-27 12:30:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x98e5c5…
10-27 12:30:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x765b66…
10-27 12:30:05	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0xdef0d6…
10-27 12:14:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xa8bf75…
10-27 12:14:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa558a4…
10-27 11:38:06	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xe59215…
10-27 09:53:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x41095f…
10-27 06:33:36	Will Brighton finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x416638…
10-27 06:33:27	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x4af699…
10-27 06:33:20	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x4ad20f…
10-27 04:52:02	Will Brighton finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x23c1eb…
10-27 03:37:26	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xf17db1…
10-27 03:37:00	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x80a743…
10-26 20:14:15	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x4c5936…
10-26 18:25:23	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x3811dc…
10-26 12:13:45	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xa9127c…
10-26 11:28:17	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x811979…
10-26 08:54:48	Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xeca1e8…
10-26 08:54:24	Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x23886a…
10-26 01:02:48	Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x847b6e…
10-26 01:02:48	Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x6c730d…
10-26 01:01:48	Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x57ce54…
10-26 01:01:38	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x87e571…
10-26 01:01:24	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x711a03…
10-26 01:01:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xd69f96…
10-26 01:01:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xefd624…
10-26 01:00:54	Will AP call US Senate control by December 2, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x2b5b3d…
10-26 01:00:35	Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0xeac05e…
10-26 01:00:05	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x088b92…
10-25 23:39:18	Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0xf6f5a6…
10-25 21:46:14	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xc94af5…
10-25 21:44:26	Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xedfbad…
10-25 19:51:59	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x8ddbfd…
10-25 19:08:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xca7fc6…
10-25 17:04:20	Will AP call US Senate control by December 2, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe6b055…
10-25 17:04:20	Will AP call US Senate control by December 2, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xc02ccf…
10-25 17:04:20	Will AP call US Senate control by December 2, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xa9d46d…
10-25 16:45:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x338aef…
10-25 15:16:08	Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xa26d11…
10-25 13:34:12	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0x1dc356…
10-25 13:33:41	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x2bea73…
10-25 12:30:12	Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x1e6c04…
10-25 11:21:56	Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	BUY	18	42¢	$7	0xa92ea8…
10-25 11:21:39	Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	BUY	32	42¢	$14	0xe3be30…
10-25 11:06:35	Will Alix Earle attend an F1 race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xa7b5e2…
10-25 10:14:45	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x3450a5…
10-25 10:01:15	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x8f3127…
10-25 09:08:47	Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x9984ab…
10-25 09:08:14	Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x834d69…
10-25 08:47:08	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xb75d99…
10-25 08:46:39	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xd2c9e1…
10-25 05:23:44	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x4ef823…
10-25 05:23:33	Will Illinois have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x2c483d…
10-25 05:23:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x7c7cd2…
10-25 01:12:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x0d98bb…
10-24 21:43:39	Will Illinois have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x221042…
10-24 20:29:03	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x7faf6d…
10-24 18:46:11	Will Republicans win white voters in the Texas Senate election?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x4f5e0f…
10-24 18:45:33	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x02aeae…
10-24 13:52:29	Will Republicans win white voters in the Texas Senate election?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x65192c…
10-24 13:20:29	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x5354b7…
10-24 12:33:06	Will Chovy leave Gen.G in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x5dbb71…
10-24 12:27:12	Will Chovy leave Gen.G in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x0709be…
10-24 03:16:45	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x8f34d7…
10-24 03:16:44	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xf5ce4d…
10-24 03:16:18	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x5e9871…
10-24 03:16:05	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x12bafe…
10-24 03:07:41	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x474822…
10-24 00:24:53	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x33d8d3…
10-22 13:06:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xc6c329…
10-22 13:06:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0x7efbc2…
10-22 12:53:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x3d8e5f…
10-22 06:31:59	Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x882630…
10-22 06:29:18	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x845e70…
10-22 06:29:10	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x882ffc…
10-22 06:28:59	Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$9	0x0c89a6…
10-22 06:28:46	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xba1574…
10-22 06:28:07	Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xe416c8…
10-22 06:27:47	Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$9	0x60d04e…
10-22 06:27:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x864e28…
10-22 06:27:01	Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x21c5c0…
10-22 06:26:41	Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x8aacc6…
10-22 03:03:39	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x412382…
10-22 00:23:26	Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x239655…
10-22 00:23:26	Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x11177d…
10-21 20:42:20	Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x4b939e…
10-21 19:12:29	will gpt astra 6pt1 debut at a score of at least 1470 by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x71dfb1…
10-21 19:12:27	will gpt astra 6pt1 debut at a score of at least 1470 by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xb5c89f…
10-21 17:58:29	Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xaf670e…