Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
32.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
95
lifetime
Volume
$1.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$492
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-02 18:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
71% 0% $-0
Politics
29% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +75 $35 76¢ $57 +$22 06-25 12:23
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +331 $60 17¢ $56 $-4 06-30 20:08
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +236 $50 23¢ $54 +$4 06-18 19:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $30 22¢ $43 +$13 07-02 18:27
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +729 $30 $38 +$8 06-28 09:39
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +537 $30 $30 +$0 07-01 10:08
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +104 $30 29¢ $30 $-0 07-01 14:05
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $20 54¢ $29 +$9 06-08 11:53
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $30 10¢ $28 $-2 06-30 20:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $20 46¢ $26 +$6 06-17 13:08
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +94 $20 25¢ $24 +$4 06-18 12:18
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $20 62¢ $23 +$3 06-14 12:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +25 $10 70¢ $18 +$8 06-18 19:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +14 $10 70¢ $10 +$0 06-07 13:24
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 10¢ $10 $-0 06-26 11:46
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +36 $10 22¢ $8 $-2 06-07 17:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -50 $-8 12¢ $-6 +$2 06-09 12:10
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -34 $-3 $-3 +$0 06-30 17:52