Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
32.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
104
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$443
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-14 08:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
68% 0% $-0
Politics
32% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +331 $60 20¢ $68 +$8 06-30 20:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +256 $40 22¢ $57 +$18 07-04 18:14
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $20 72¢ $38 +$18 06-08 11:53
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +236 $50 15¢ $35 $-15 06-18 19:50
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +104 $30 29¢ $30 +$0 07-01 14:05
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $25 42¢ $29 +$4 07-06 14:34
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +729 $30 $27 $-3 06-28 09:39
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $30 $23 $-7 06-30 20:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $20 54¢ $20 +$0 06-14 12:33
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +624 $35 $20 $-15 07-03 19:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +25 $10 78¢ $19 +$9 06-18 19:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -18 $-47 99¢ $-17 +$30 07-11 15:52
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +94 $20 18¢ $17 $-3 06-18 12:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -50 $-8 30¢ $-15 $-6 06-09 12:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +14 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 06-07 13:24
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 $8 $-2 06-26 11:46
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +36 $10 20¢ $7 $-3 06-07 17:01
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -34 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-30 17:52