Realized P&L
-$1.40K
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
18.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,440
lifetime
Volume
$207.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$2.19K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 06-09 19:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
51% 57% $-1,442
Other
44% 50% +$40
Crypto
5%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +350 $299 84¢ $296 $-4 05-29 20:04
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +400 $280 70¢ $282 +$2 06-05 22:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -300 $-228 80¢ $-240 $-12 05-30 16:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -300 $-234 68¢ $-202 +$31 05-28 15:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +200 $178 90¢ $179 +$1 06-07 04:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +200 $100 64¢ $129 +$29 06-01 16:55
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +186 $132 68¢ $127 $-5 06-05 21:35
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +200 $122 62¢ $125 +$3 06-09 19:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -753 $-119 16¢ $-117 +$2 06-09 17:09
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +200 $104 46¢ $91 $-13 06-04 15:49
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +115 $82 78¢ $89 +$7 06-01 06:48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -400 $-78 22¢ $-88 $-10 06-06 04:55
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -200 $-76 36¢ $-73 +$3 06-09 09:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +338 $103 18¢ $62 $-40 06-06 09:29
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +39 $37 98¢ $38 +$2 05-29 18:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -43 $-30 73¢ $-32 $-2 06-06 11:31
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +39 $15 38¢ $15 +$0 05-28 07:46
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$1 05-30 00:03