Funny-Connotation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,651

lifetime

Volume

$362.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 08-10 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

56% 57% $-1,442

Other

39% 50% +$40

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	99	$21.9K	12,600	12,678	-78	open	—	08-05 20:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	81	$17.9K	10,648	9,648	+1,000	open	—	08-04 09:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	65	$17.5K	11,700	11,700	+0	open	—	04-13 08:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	24	$9.0K	4,703	4,703	+0	open	—	04-08 14:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	25	$7.9K	5,400	3,900	+1,500	Yes	$-875	05-08 18:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-15 21:45
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	79	$7.4K	5,950	3,650	+2,300	open	—	04-25 10:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	47	$7.4K	5,750	5,175	+575	open	—	06-26 08:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$5.3K	2,747	4,400	-1,653	open	—	06-17 16:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	45	$4.8K	3,411	3,402	+9	open	—	04-06 14:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	33	$4.7K	3,325	3,000	+325	open	—	06-17 16:54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	198	$4.7K	4,555	4,622	-67	open	—	05-01 02:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	45	$4.2K	5,162	4,180	+982	open	—	04-07 15:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	31	$3.5K	2,700	1,700	+1,000	open	—	08-06 22:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	25	$3.5K	1,800	1,900	-100	open	—	04-06 11:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	60	$3.4K	2,161	2,450	-289	open	—	08-07 13:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	12	$3.2K	1,900	1,600	+300	open	—	04-25 15:27
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	63	$3.2K	2,341	2,341	+0	open	—	07-30 09:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	14	$3.2K	2,147	2,147	+0	Yes	$-626	05-08 18:38
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	23	$3.2K	1,914	1,914	+0	open	—	04-24 14:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	39	$3.1K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	04-22 10:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	30	$3.0K	1,614	1,714	-100	open	—	08-07 08:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	28	$2.9K	1,750	1,550	+200	open	—	05-20 16:06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	43	$2.8K	2,013	1,363	+650	open	—	08-09 07:33
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	18	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-24 02:20
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	23	$2.6K	1,950	1,950	+0	open	—	08-06 16:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	16	$2.5K	1,976	1,971	+5	open	—	04-13 10:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	76	$2.5K	3,710	3,610	+100	open	—	05-26 18:54
will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	38	$2.5K	1,515	1,515	+0	open	—	04-02 20:09
Nothing Ever Happens: May	26	$2.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-28 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 09:58:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xa57d6d…
08-10 09:32:52	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x3716a2…
08-10 07:36:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	350	94¢	$329	0x211230…
08-10 05:34:57	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	45¢	$41	0x6de578…
08-10 00:32:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x9bd33b…
08-09 21:36:57	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xb086fd…
08-09 20:14:09	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xc430e9…
08-09 20:11:58	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa2bf7d…
08-09 19:46:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	140	89¢	$125	0xc891ca…
08-09 19:43:00	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	211	5¢	$11	0x86442c…
08-09 19:37:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xd31259…
08-09 19:36:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xa21ed0…
08-09 19:36:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x78bb68…
08-09 19:14:19	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Speed	BUY	174	86¢	$150	0x00a210…
08-09 19:09:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x43519a…
08-09 19:09:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	16	89¢	$15	0x1c758c…
08-09 19:06:15	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Speed	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x5add83…
08-09 19:06:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0f2606…
08-09 19:01:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	74	89¢	$65	0x2cc9cb…
08-09 18:47:07	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7827f5…
08-09 17:46:42	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xf08be5…
08-09 16:10:22	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc326be…
08-09 16:07:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	300	85¢	$255	0x20af4d…
08-09 15:27:42	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb7039f…
08-09 13:54:37	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5d4d40…
08-09 09:41:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	300	29¢	$87	0x19a2d6…
08-09 08:13:36	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xd32468…
08-09 07:33:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xc0eeed…
08-09 07:32:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	245	23¢	$56	0xfe5073…
08-09 06:53:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf96b94…
08-09 06:42:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x37a093…
08-09 06:26:19	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x8fbe4e…
08-09 04:43:27	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x94465e…
08-09 04:21:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x354bbe…
08-09 03:47:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xab823d…
08-09 03:43:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xed3e25…
08-09 03:13:34	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x7825cd…
08-09 03:11:16	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc7f139…
08-08 18:00:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xa9889d…
08-08 17:28:31	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xffaa2e…
08-08 16:35:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x1e5743…
08-08 16:35:31	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	93	45¢	$42	0x19933b…
08-08 16:12:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x721614…
08-08 16:06:16	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	180	89¢	$160	0xbf1bf9…
08-08 15:50:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x5d68d7…
08-08 15:48:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x521a09…
08-08 15:47:21	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb9e701…
08-08 15:44:43	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdcc87c…
08-08 15:39:22	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x596394…
08-08 14:43:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xc9754c…
08-08 14:31:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x876499…
08-08 14:29:28	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	61	44¢	$27	0xd262e6…
08-08 14:27:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	175	8¢	$14	0x4460a2…
08-08 13:32:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x111642…
08-08 12:54:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,000	9¢	$180	0xf5e689…
08-08 12:39:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	900	10¢	$90	0x99a470…
08-08 12:15:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x2ca839…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x9d6da6…
08-08 09:18:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x5a5485…
08-08 09:05:03	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd2729c…
08-08 09:05:03	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3112bf…
08-08 09:05:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaef9b0…
08-08 09:05:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x956dac…
08-08 09:05:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8e2cee…
08-08 09:05:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7882bc…
08-08 09:05:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x61c0d7…
08-08 09:05:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x1a2602…
08-08 08:10:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x1ea841…
08-08 08:08:31	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	Yes	BUY	42	54¢	$22	0x1139bd…
08-08 07:42:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x8abad9…
08-08 06:01:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	91¢	$93	0xc4fb54…
08-08 05:57:13	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	SELL	84	63¢	$53	0x583cf4…
08-08 05:18:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0x3d5a91…
08-08 05:01:10	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xceb89a…
08-08 04:59:39	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xa58816…
08-08 01:10:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xaccc26…
08-07 20:02:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xe41e1a…
08-07 19:09:33	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x59f55e…
08-07 18:45:01	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	SELL	148	81¢	$120	0x4ed0ff…
08-07 18:25:06	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695	Yes	BUY	170	74¢	$126	0x82429a…
08-07 17:33:51	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$51	0x7b2f66…
08-07 17:33:03	will trump say national security during friday roundtable 20260805211427279	No	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0x284370…
08-07 15:47:40	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695	Yes	BUY	24	74¢	$17	0xb5a132…
08-07 13:05:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xfb0b0c…
08-07 13:01:42	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	65	89¢	$58	0xd0b4a4…
08-07 12:30:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	92	78¢	$72	0x14220f…
08-07 12:30:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x0a9063…
08-07 09:51:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xc59249…
08-07 09:03:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x3024b5…
08-07 08:51:46	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	93¢	$57	0xb701eb…
08-07 08:41:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x544224…
08-07 08:05:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x696518…
08-07 07:44:09	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xd043a7…
08-07 07:15:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x34dbc3…
08-07 07:09:33	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x8cc159…
08-07 06:53:25	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x4d28e4…
08-07 06:43:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x2ee363…
08-07 06:32:21	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	39	22¢	$9	0x2af63e…
08-07 06:29:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xecaa45…
08-07 06:26:45	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	53	22¢	$12	0x044039…