Realized P&L
-$1.40K
Unrealized P&L
-$226
Hit rate
18.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,206
lifetime
Volume
$281.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$9.32K
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 06-30 16:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
58% 57% $-1,442
Other
38% 50% +$40
Crypto
4%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,000 $3,522 86¢ $3.5K $-62 06-29 14:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -787 $-863 100¢ $-783 +$80 06-26 08:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +800 $643 75¢ $600 $-43 06-29 17:43
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -500 $-485 100¢ $-499 $-15 06-13 17:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -500 $-478 100¢ $-499 $-21 06-23 06:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +500 $442 82¢ $412 $-29 06-25 15:10
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +366 $313 88¢ $324 +$11 06-14 21:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +307 $291 100¢ $306 +$15 06-14 10:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -265 $-258 100¢ $-265 $-7 06-13 05:45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -300 $-228 80¢ $-238 $-10 05-30 16:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +306 $213 75¢ $229 +$17 06-15 18:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +200 $178 100¢ $200 +$22 06-07 04:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +240 $177 80¢ $193 +$16 06-18 05:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +389 $157 50¢ $192 +$35 06-27 11:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +257 $192 74¢ $190 $-2 06-17 04:23
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +232 $179 80¢ $185 +$6 06-26 18:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +200 $174 90¢ $179 +$5 06-24 11:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $172 86¢ $173 +$1 06-24 13:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -100 $-3 100¢ $-100 $-97 06-22 05:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +154 $80 57¢ $88 +$7 06-15 06:12
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +187 $52 26¢ $50 $-3 06-17 17:11
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +150 $87 30¢ $44 $-43 06-23 04:54
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +39 $37 100¢ $39 +$2 05-29 18:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +42 $35 88¢ $37 +$2 06-13 12:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +20 $17 100¢ $20 +$3 06-11 15:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$1 05-30 00:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -400 $-78 $-5 +$73 06-06 04:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +200 $32 $1 $-31 06-19 17:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $158 32¢ $0 $-158 06-28 20:24