Realized P&L
+$4.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.61K
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
883
Trades
11,485
lifetime
Volume
$786.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$24.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 10-27 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Politics
58% 64% -$541
Other
34% 65% +$3,064
Crypto
3% 74% +$904
Sports
2% 51% +$579
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
1% 78% +$117
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 625 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -4,794 -$4,533 98¢ $-4700 -$167 09-21 14:47
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +1,951 $1,291 100¢ $1.9K +$653 10-05 18:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,700 $1,241 84¢ $1.4K +$178 10-26 18:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,600 $1,341 83¢ $1.3K -$13 10-27 12:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +1,200 $884 86¢ $1.0K +$154 09-21 11:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,400 $941 74¢ $1.0K +$88 10-27 11:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +950 $658 94¢ $888 +$230 10-26 15:44
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,050 $873 78¢ $814 -$59 10-23 19:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +900 $739 86¢ $772 +$33 08-27 09:00
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +800 $587 84¢ $676 +$89 10-01 05:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,000 $620 66¢ $655 +$35 10-21 10:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +700 $611 92¢ $640 +$29 10-07 13:50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +900 $565 66¢ $589 +$24 10-15 02:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,605 $1,003 37¢ $588 -$415 10-20 10:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -571 -$574 94¢ $-540 +$34 08-10 12:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $442 66¢ $532 +$90 10-26 20:53
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +700 $445 72¢ $508 +$62 10-26 08:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$476 98¢ $-491 -$15 08-10 07:36
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +650 $458 74¢ $484 +$26 10-26 19:51
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +700 $417 66¢ $466 +$48 10-19 18:05
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +500 $422 92¢ $462 +$40 08-29 17:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +500 $441 92¢ $458 +$16 10-07 18:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +500 $338 90¢ $450 +$112 10-23 17:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +500 $286 88¢ $438 +$152 10-02 10:05
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +495 $378 80¢ $398 +$20 08-17 12:45
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +450 $258 88¢ $398 +$140 09-25 14:18
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +500 $423 78¢ $388 -$35 10-25 21:50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +483 $362 78¢ $379 +$17 10-07 11:09
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +450 $348 84¢ $376 +$27 10-20 01:15
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +500 $349 72¢ $357 +$8 10-08 17:30