Funny-Connotation 0x07b90f…650fbb Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$6.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.63K
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved (30d)
229
Trades (30d)
3,047
12,692 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$167.4K
$864.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$19.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 11-12 07:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Politics
60% 65% +$3,690
Other
33% 65% +$3,729
Crypto
3% 76% +$980
Sports
2% 52% +$681
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$656
Tech
0% 78% +$117
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 625 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -4,794 -$4,533 99¢ $-4724 -$191 09-21 14:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,633 $1,161 90¢ $1.5K +$300 11-10 14:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $892 94¢ $1.1K +$236 11-11 20:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1,200 $955 92¢ $1.1K +$155 11-11 01:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $829 94¢ $936 +$108 11-06 03:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +1,200 $706 54¢ $642 -$64 11-06 10:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +800 $610 76¢ $604 -$6 11-11 18:40
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $655 76¢ $604 -$51 11-12 06:41
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -571 -$574 97¢ $-554 +$20 08-10 12:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +700 $304 72¢ $508 +$204 11-02 11:04
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +500 $168 99¢ $496 +$329 11-04 13:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$476 98¢ $-492 -$15 08-10 07:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +500 $376 94¢ $467 +$92 10-28 08:54
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? Yes +947 $571 42¢ $403 -$169 11-12 11:00
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Yes +651 $522 59¢ $384 -$138 11-10 22:34
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +500 $427 76¢ $382 -$44 11-10 18:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +380 $226 94¢ $359 +$133 10-17 18:14
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +400 $260 90¢ $358 +$98 11-10 18:04
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +400 $158 84¢ $338 +$180 11-11 18:49
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +400 $315 82¢ $330 +$15 11-09 13:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -355 -$271 92¢ $-328 -$57 10-06 05:58
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +500 $315 65¢ $326 +$11 11-10 15:38
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? No +368 $252 84¢ $307 +$55 10-25 14:49
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +300 $251 100¢ $299 +$48 11-04 05:19
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +300 $234 97¢ $291 +$57 10-20 12:58
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +300 $255 97¢ $291 +$36 10-26 05:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +300 $255 96¢ $287 +$32 11-03 16:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +300 $152 94¢ $284 +$132 11-09 21:02
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 No +300 $234 94¢ $283 +$49 07-23 21:59
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? No +300 $208 94¢ $282 +$74 08-23 19:16