Realized P&L (30d)
+$6.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.82K
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved (30d)
228
Trades (30d)
3,057
12,838 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$170.7K
$873.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$20.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 11-14 21:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Politics
60% 65% +$3,609
Other
33% 65% +$3,925
Crypto
3% 76% +$980
Sports
2% 52% +$681
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$656
Tech
1% 78% +$117
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 625 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -4,794 -$4,533 99¢ $-4727 -$194 09-21 14:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,633 $1,161 90¢ $1.5K +$300 11-10 14:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $882 93¢ $1.1K +$234 11-13 15:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1,200 $955 92¢ $1.1K +$155 11-11 01:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $829 94¢ $938 +$110 11-06 03:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +1,100 $835 78¢ $852 +$18 11-13 14:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +1,598 $899 52¢ $823 -$76 11-13 15:30
Trump out as President before 2027? No +750 $732 98¢ $732 +$0 11-14 12:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -571 -$574 98¢ $-561 +$13 08-10 12:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +700 $304 75¢ $525 +$221 11-02 11:04
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +500 $168 100¢ $498 +$331 11-04 13:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$476 98¢ $-489 -$12 08-10 07:36
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +500 $469 98¢ $487 +$18 11-12 16:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +500 $376 97¢ $486 +$110 10-28 08:54
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +500 $412 86¢ $432 +$20 11-13 01:56
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Yes +651 $519 66¢ $430 -$90 11-14 11:47
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +500 $241 84¢ $417 +$176 11-14 16:46
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +480 $415 80¢ $387 -$28 11-14 11:44
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +400 $260 92¢ $370 +$110 11-10 18:04
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? No +400 $355 87¢ $347 -$7 11-14 12:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +380 $226 89¢ $338 +$112 10-17 18:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -355 -$271 92¢ $-325 -$53 10-06 05:58
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +500 $315 65¢ $324 +$9 11-10 15:38
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +500 $306 64¢ $322 +$16 11-14 18:17
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? No +368 $252 84¢ $311 +$59 10-25 14:49
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +400 $229 74¢ $294 +$65 11-04 08:10
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +300 $255 97¢ $292 +$37 10-26 05:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +300 $255 96¢ $288 +$33 11-03 16:27
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +300 $234 96¢ $288 +$54 10-20 12:58
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? No +300 $208 96¢ $287 +$79 08-23 19:16