Realized P&L (90d)
+$6.99K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.85K
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved (90d)
533
Trades (90d)
6,163
12,469 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$383.4K
$834.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$19.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 11-13 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Politics
60% 65% +$3,580
Other
33% 65% +$3,925
Crypto
3% 76% +$980
Sports
2% 52% +$681
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$656
Tech
1% 78% +$117
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 625 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -4,794 -$4,533 98¢ $-4712 -$179 09-21 14:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,633 $1,161 88¢ $1.4K +$284 11-10 14:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $882 93¢ $1.1K +$233 11-13 15:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1,200 $955 92¢ $1.1K +$155 11-11 01:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $829 94¢ $936 +$108 11-06 03:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +1,100 $835 76¢ $830 -$4 11-13 14:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +1,598 $899 50¢ $807 -$92 11-13 15:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -571 -$574 98¢ $-561 +$13 08-10 12:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +700 $304 76¢ $528 +$224 11-02 11:04
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +500 $168 99¢ $497 +$330 11-04 13:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$476 98¢ $-489 -$13 08-10 07:36
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +500 $469 96¢ $477 +$8 11-12 16:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +500 $376 94¢ $472 +$97 10-28 08:54
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Yes +701 $547 60¢ $424 -$123 11-13 12:13
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +500 $412 80¢ $402 -$10 11-13 01:56
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +400 $260 92¢ $370 +$110 11-10 18:04
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +380 $226 92¢ $352 +$125 10-17 18:14
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +400 $333 88¢ $350 +$17 11-13 12:56
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +400 $158 82¢ $330 +$172 11-11 18:49
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +440 $383 75¢ $330 -$53 11-13 16:32
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +500 $315 65¢ $324 +$9 11-10 15:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -355 -$271 91¢ $-323 -$51 10-06 05:58
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? No +368 $252 84¢ $309 +$57 10-25 14:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +300 $255 97¢ $292 +$37 10-26 05:31
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +300 $234 97¢ $291 +$57 10-20 12:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +300 $255 96¢ $287 +$32 11-03 16:27
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +400 $229 72¢ $286 +$57 11-04 08:10
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 No +300 $234 94¢ $283 +$49 07-23 21:59
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? No +300 $208 94¢ $282 +$74 08-23 19:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +300 $152 94¢ $281 +$129 11-09 21:02