Funny-Connotation 0x07b90f…650fbb Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$5.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.11K
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved (7d)
108
Trades (7d)
672
12,377 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$45.4K
$843.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$17.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 11-05 16:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Politics
60% 65% +$2,795
Other
33% 66% +$3,727
Crypto
3% 76% +$980
Sports
2% 52% +$677
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$656
Tech
0% 78% +$117
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 625 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -4,794 -$4,533 98¢ $-4705 -$172 09-21 14:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,050 84¢ $1.3K +$210 11-04 17:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +900 $739 90¢ $813 +$74 08-27 09:00
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +765 $421 98¢ $749 +$328 11-04 06:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +800 $587 92¢ $740 +$153 10-01 05:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +800 $530 90¢ $724 +$194 10-31 21:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -571 -$574 97¢ $-553 +$21 08-10 12:45
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +500 $239 100¢ $500 +$260 11-04 01:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$476 98¢ $-490 -$13 08-10 07:36
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +500 $168 96¢ $482 +$314 11-04 13:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +500 $338 92¢ $462 +$124 10-23 17:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +450 $339 99¢ $446 +$106 11-01 02:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +500 $376 86¢ $430 +$54 10-28 08:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +700 $304 60¢ $424 +$120 11-02 11:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $300 88¢ $354 +$54 11-05 16:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +380 $226 92¢ $348 +$121 10-17 18:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -355 -$271 92¢ $-328 -$57 10-06 05:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +600 $356 50¢ $303 -$53 11-04 18:22
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +300 $251 99¢ $297 +$45 11-04 05:19
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +300 $228 96¢ $289 +$61 10-18 06:15
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +300 $255 96¢ $287 +$32 10-26 05:31
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +300 $234 94¢ $284 +$49 10-20 12:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +300 $255 92¢ $275 +$20 11-03 16:27
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +400 $241 66¢ $266 +$25 11-04 14:26
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +300 $214 88¢ $265 +$51 10-27 15:04
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +300 $234 86¢ $259 +$25 10-22 06:18
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? No +368 $252 69¢ $254 +$2 10-25 14:49
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +300 $237 80¢ $238 +$2 10-09 10:11
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +400 $229 57¢ $228 -$1 11-04 08:10
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +300 $269 74¢ $224 -$45 10-28 01:34