Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
24.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
367
lifetime
Volume
$2.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$97
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 04:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
59% 50% $-7
Politics
36% 0% $-1
Crypto
3%
Sports
1% 67% +$2
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 06-02 06:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +24 $20 84¢ $20 $-0 06-04 06:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +12 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-01 17:44
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 $-0 06-01 06:34
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 06-05 06:29
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-08 18:50
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 06-04 06:50
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-06 13:29
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-09 04:53
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +4 $5 82¢ $4 $-1 06-08 11:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 06-08 06:29
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 +$0 06-08 06:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 05-28 06:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 06-04 06:56
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +12 $1 $1 +$0 06-01 17:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-07 20:00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -1 $3 24¢ $-0 $-3 06-08 11:40
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-07 20:01