Ashamed-Hatchet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.3%

Resolved

Trades

564

lifetime

Volume

$3.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% $-7

Politics

34% 0% $-1

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	6	$141	99	61	+38	open	—	07-31 05:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$99	58	58	+0	open	—	05-01 19:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$97	55	55	+0	open	—	08-04 14:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$97	51	51	+0	open	—	05-07 12:54
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	3	$79	42	42	+0	open	—	03-24 21:02
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$66	67	0	+67	open	—	04-18 12:09
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	06-24 09:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	5	$59	61	0	+61	open	—	04-25 07:45
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	6	$55	31	31	+0	open	—	03-23 05:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-01 17:02
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-25 07:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$50	58	0	+58	open	—	07-01 07:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	03-24 21:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	4	$49	55	0	+55	open	—	07-01 09:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$46	27	29	-2	open	—	07-03 20:40
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	08-04 14:34
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	3	$41	43	0	+43	open	—	07-14 05:47
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	3	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-23 10:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 12:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	03-23 05:54
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	04-05 06:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	5	$36	27	16	+11	open	—	04-12 07:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	04-13 09:25
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	2	$31	33	0	+33	open	—	03-03 07:53
Will BP be acquired before 2027?	2	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	07-02 07:19
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-04 21:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	5	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	04-14 19:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	03-07 18:04
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$29	31	0	+31	open	—	03-03 13:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	8	$29	20	13	+8	open	—	08-10 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 10:38:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x92b241…
08-10 06:06:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x33f65d…
08-10 06:02:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2ad3a7…
08-10 06:01:58	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x12bf9b…
08-10 05:57:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xec83c4…
08-09 06:41:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc6329a…
08-09 06:40:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xc5cf13…
08-09 06:40:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x5d665e…
08-07 06:15:25	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xcc68a6…
08-07 06:10:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xab1384…
08-06 08:05:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x0ab4c3…
08-06 05:21:12	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x88f82f…
08-06 05:21:05	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7d5461…
08-06 05:12:45	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x238156…
08-06 05:09:54	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xcbb6dc…
08-06 05:06:20	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x766b14…
08-05 06:05:50	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xd8de18…
08-05 06:04:08	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x816569…
08-05 06:02:57	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x24909a…
08-05 06:01:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xd68803…
08-05 05:58:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x5546b8…
08-05 05:57:56	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2dafc4…
08-05 05:35:39	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3e88cb…
08-05 05:34:32	will xagusd reach 62 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9e1fdd…
08-05 05:33:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe10867…
08-04 14:41:42	will xauusd reach 4100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x30f74c…
08-04 14:40:38	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4fbdc6…
08-04 14:37:54	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa06ea7…
08-04 14:37:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb3bb50…
08-04 14:37:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbd6d1a…
08-04 14:36:47	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe8b597…
08-04 14:35:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x3b0be2…
08-04 14:35:33	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 645	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x951200…
08-04 14:35:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xbbecb6…
08-04 14:35:09	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x5e2913…
08-04 14:34:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x7dcf76…
08-04 14:34:42	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xa3931e…
08-04 14:32:54	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x53ea95…
08-04 14:31:38	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc82360…
08-04 14:30:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xdeb19e…
08-04 14:30:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xec83c7…
08-03 17:37:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbae071…
08-03 17:37:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4a2dd8…
08-03 07:04:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x404d01…
08-03 05:40:24	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd8e10c…
08-03 05:27:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x181667…
08-02 09:33:44	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x52831e…
08-02 08:01:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x32b7ff…
08-02 08:01:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0x19dab2…
08-02 08:01:26	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0x735897…
08-02 08:00:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x83f67c…
08-02 08:00:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xee0d99…
08-02 07:59:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x7610b4…
08-01 06:13:26	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x828d66…
08-01 06:02:00	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x96af8c…
08-01 06:01:54	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x466e47…
08-01 05:55:33	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xebc755…
07-31 05:03:06	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x590ca1…
07-31 04:51:35	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x1a6909…
07-31 04:49:39	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	60	88¢	$52	0x2d716c…
07-30 05:33:12	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x44b651…
07-25 12:24:45	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8e851b…
07-25 12:24:28	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xf9959a…
07-24 19:18:36	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1c3dc6…
07-24 19:18:06	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfb278d…
07-24 19:17:22	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8aa070…
07-23 16:28:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x214501…
07-22 05:40:28	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xaef457…
07-20 20:41:28	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x81ef32…
07-20 20:41:10	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x23de4e…
07-20 20:39:25	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8d49b5…
07-20 19:52:10	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x967881…
07-20 19:51:39	Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x5f06da…
07-20 16:11:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x668505…
07-20 12:40:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xfbae9f…
07-20 12:38:37	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4307e8…
07-20 12:38:25	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x273bf5…
07-20 11:54:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xf6e39c…
07-20 11:54:22	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xd8eff1…
07-20 11:54:12	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x920d7f…
07-20 06:28:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xddcb1e…
07-19 08:55:27	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xa4d607…
07-16 19:44:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x21f6e8…
07-16 19:41:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4c9f51…
07-16 19:40:59	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb40d5d…
07-16 19:30:31	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x8a3514…
07-16 19:29:20	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x2ef97a…
07-16 19:29:11	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x2bd152…
07-15 09:50:05	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x22f5f7…
07-15 09:46:58	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x167414…
07-15 07:08:22	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x840a14…
07-15 07:05:41	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x198e81…
07-14 19:11:20	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb7fadc…
07-14 19:09:41	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x25da1a…
07-14 19:09:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x17fc67…
07-14 05:47:04	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xb9b4d7…
07-14 05:41:26	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xb03d2e…
07-08 09:01:37	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8c1350…
07-08 09:01:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x067581…
07-08 09:00:58	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x42e292…