Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
329
Trades
865
lifetime
Volume
$4.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$502
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 19:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Other
53% 60% -$9
Politics
35% 57% -$9
Tech
6% 80% +$4
Sports
3% 48% +$8
Crypto
2% 42% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +58 $50 95¢ $55 +$5 07-01 07:29
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +55 $48 97¢ $54 +$5 09-16 21:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +55 $49 97¢ $53 +$4 07-01 09:56
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +54 $50 98¢ $53 +$3 05-01 19:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +44 $43 98¢ $43 +$0 08-04 14:37
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No +34 $30 96¢ $33 +$3 07-02 07:19
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 09-12 21:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +31 $29 94¢ $29 $0 10-25 19:29
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +24 $21 97¢ $23 +$2 07-01 10:14
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 07-01 19:52
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 09-21 06:12
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +16 $14 90¢ $15 +$0 09-16 21:41
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +14 $10 94¢ $13 +$3 09-08 07:09
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -16 -$9 76¢ $-12 -$3 05-07 21:28
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +12 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 08-28 04:54
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-01 10:13
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 86¢ $-4 $0 05-04 21:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 10-24 06:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3 $2 93¢ $3 +$1 07-02 17:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 07-02 19:47
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 08-28 17:22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 44¢ $2 $0 09-23 17:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-13 06:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 10-14 21:16
Discord IPO before 2027? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 06-16 06:34
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 74¢ $2 $0 09-23 17:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 No +3 $1 58¢ $2 +$1 08-18 13:55
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 81¢ $1 +$0 09-22 06:18
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +2 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-01 10:10
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +4 $1 35¢ $1 +$0 08-31 04:16