Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
24.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
457
lifetime
Volume
$2.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$362
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
58% 50% $-7
Politics
35% 0% $-1
Tech
4%
Crypto
3%
Sports
1% 67% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +58 $50 86¢ $50 +$0 07-01 07:29
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +55 $49 90¢ $50 +$0 07-01 09:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-47 88¢ $-49 $-2 07-01 07:31
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +46 $39 84¢ $38 $-0 07-01 07:28
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No +34 $30 88¢ $30 $-0 07-02 07:19
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +24 $21 86¢ $21 $-0 07-01 10:14
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-13 06:11
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +24 $20 76¢ $18 $-2 06-16 06:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 06-25 06:06
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 07-01 10:13
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-01 19:52
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -15 $-8 51¢ $-7 +$0 06-16 06:33
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +8 $5 86¢ $7 +$2 06-05 06:29
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-08 18:50
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 07-01 10:13
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -19 $-3 24¢ $-5 $-2 06-25 20:46
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +4 $5 79¢ $4 $-1 06-08 11:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-13 06:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 07-02 17:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 69¢ $2 $-0 07-02 19:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -3 $-2 54¢ $-2 $-0 06-21 07:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2 $1 74¢ $2 +$1 06-19 05:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-20 13:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +12 $2 $1 $-1 06-20 14:37
Discord IPO before 2027? No +2 $1 49¢ $1 +$0 06-16 06:34
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-01 10:12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-25 05:59
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No -4 $-1 21¢ $-1 +$0 06-18 16:05
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +12 $1 $1 $-0 06-01 17:03
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +2 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 07-01 10:10