Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
24.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
497
lifetime
Volume
$2.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$304
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 05:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
58% 50% $-7
Politics
34% 0% $-1
Tech
3%
Crypto
3%
Sports
1% 67% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +58 $50 86¢ $50 +$0 07-01 07:29
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +55 $49 88¢ $49 $-1 07-01 09:56
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +46 $39 92¢ $42 +$4 07-01 07:28
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No +34 $30 90¢ $30 +$0 07-02 07:19
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +24 $21 86¢ $21 $-0 07-01 10:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -21 $-17 92¢ $-20 $-3 07-03 20:41
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +24 $20 68¢ $16 $-4 06-16 06:34
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 07-01 10:13
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 07-01 19:52
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +8 $5 88¢ $7 +$2 06-05 06:29
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -15 $-8 37¢ $-5 +$2 06-16 06:33
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-08 18:50
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-01 10:13
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -19 $-3 21¢ $-4 $-1 06-25 20:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $1 50¢ $4 +$2 06-20 13:24
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $6 57¢ $3 $-3 07-16 19:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +12 $2 23¢ $3 +$1 06-20 14:37
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +4 $5 62¢ $3 $-2 06-08 11:40
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 07-02 19:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 07-02 17:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-13 06:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -3 $-2 56¢ $-2 $-0 06-21 07:30
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No -4 $-1 38¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 16:05
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +29 $2 $1 $-1 07-16 19:40
Discord IPO before 2027? No +2 $1 63¢ $1 +$0 06-16 06:34
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +2 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 07-01 10:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 07-04 13:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 06-25 05:59
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-01 10:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-07 20:00