Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce06…952566
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$45
Hit rate
41.0%
Resolved
325
Trades
1,707
lifetime
Volume
$79.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$5.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
53% 32% -$3,315
Politics
40% 35% -$1,400
Crypto
4% 16% -$45
Sports
2% 21% -$460
Tech
1% 67% +$158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $657 86¢ $855 +$198 10-27 23:01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -800 -$666 84¢ $-676 -$10 07-22 05:28
US recession by end of 2026? No -600 -$542 94¢ $-561 -$19 08-13 03:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +675 $465 82¢ $550 +$85 10-27 00:34
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -500 -$461 97¢ $-485 -$24 07-22 20:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -452 -$423 96¢ $-435 -$12 07-22 05:27
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +400 $230 94¢ $374 +$144 08-31 12:41
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -500 -$225 68¢ $-338 -$113 05-15 12:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +400 $327 82¢ $326 -$1 10-25 03:11
No one announced as next James Bond? No +300 $199 78¢ $233 +$33 10-17 20:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +200 $123 82¢ $163 +$40 10-25 21:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,803 -$209 9¢ $-158 +$51 08-23 12:57
will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31 No +400 $179 35¢ $140 -$39 10-24 11:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,000 $246 3¢ $96 -$150 10-24 11:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +200 $78 44¢ $89 +$11 10-25 03:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -104 -$78 81¢ $-85 -$6 10-24 12:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +300 $90 28¢ $82 -$7 10-26 03:17
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $94 36¢ $73 -$21 10-28 08:31
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $91 0¢ $62 -$28 10-26 14:57
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +400 $66 15¢ $58 -$8 10-28 08:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -375 -$20 13¢ $-49 -$29 06-13 10:06
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -355 -$18 9¢ $-34 -$15 06-18 02:38
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +100 $35 18¢ $18 -$16 10-24 10:41
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -500 -$7 3¢ $-15 -$7 07-27 23:14
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -500 -$8 2¢ $-9 -$1 06-13 11:22
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -501 -$4 2¢ $-9 -$5 06-04 00:44
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -405 -$3 2¢ $-8 -$4 10-08 00:32
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -340 -$5 2¢ $-6 $0 07-25 04:39
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -500 -$4 1¢ $-5 -$2 06-04 00:44
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -692 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 06-04 00:44