Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,328
lifetime
Volume
$9.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$144
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 07-01 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-2
Other
36% 100% +$1
Crypto
11% 0% $-1
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -91 $-79 86¢ $-79 +$0 06-17 05:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +41 $32 100¢ $41 +$8 06-28 03:42
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 07-01 01:02
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -6 $-6 95¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 06:18
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes +12 $6 50¢ $6 $-0 06-30 00:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +4 $2 66¢ $3 +$0 06-12 00:46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -7 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$1 06-14 23:21
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $-1 06-29 19:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -34 $-6 $-0 +$6 06-21 10:43
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-01 06:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 10:17