Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,170
lifetime
Volume
$8.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$38
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-11 07:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
49% 0% $-2
Other
37% 100% +$1
Crypto
12% 0% $-1
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31? No +15 $13 100¢ $15 +$2 06-10 16:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -11 $-10 74¢ $-8 +$1 06-02 22:16
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +12 $7 60¢ $7 $-0 05-28 04:22
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -6 $-6 93¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 06:18
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -41 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-29 03:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-1 06-08 10:17
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +5 $2 10¢ $0 $-1 06-01 06:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-1 16¢ $0 +$1 06-03 22:14
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 06-10 14:25