Plush-Homogenate 0xff12c0…fbcdc4
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,414
lifetime
Volume
$10.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$109
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 07-22 04:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-2
Other
37% 100% +$1
Crypto
10% 0% $-1
Sports
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -91 $-79 70¢ $-63 +$16 07-20 15:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $8 20¢ $7 $-1 07-03 09:35
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -6 $-6 95¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 06:18
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes +12 $6 50¢ $6 $-0 06-30 00:42
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 86¢ $4 $-0 07-17 23:38
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 07-10 15:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +18 $3 23¢ $4 +$1 07-16 22:05
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +4 $2 66¢ $3 +$0 06-12 00:46
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +5 $3 35¢ $2 $-1 07-11 01:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 +$0 07-16 02:56
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $-0 07-10 15:42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 $-0 07-14 10:55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -7 $-2 15¢ $-1 +$1 06-14 23:21
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 07-21 19:00
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $-1 06-29 19:05