Plush-Homogenate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,506

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 08-08 19:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

46% 0% $-2

Other

40% 100% +$1

Crypto

9% 0% $-1

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	49	$903	619	596	+23	open	—	03-20 03:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	16	$548	317	283	+34	open	—	03-11 18:46
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	37	$525	593	434	+159	open	—	04-28 09:14
lol hle1 dk 2026 07 30 game2	4	$480	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	07-30 11:15
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	14	$382	395	8	+387	open	—	04-15 13:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	27	$377	761	313	+448	open	—	04-07 13:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$369	560	277	+283	open	—	06-03 04:08
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$334	242	106	+136	open	—	03-01 05:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	24	$302	457	410	+47	open	—	04-07 23:14
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	8	$289	221	95	+126	open	—	04-13 12:44
mlb tex tb 2026 07 30	3	$264	665	0	+665	open	—	07-30 17:18
will trump say third term in march	26	$258	216	86	+131	open	—	04-02 00:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	12	$256	404	167	+236	open	—	08-02 06:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	38	$254	317	273	+43	open	—	06-22 04:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$231	297	119	+178	open	—	04-21 20:36
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	14	$218	236	0	+236	open	—	07-07 23:00
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	192	$216	1,770	1,768	+2	open	—	03-23 16:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$216	197	162	+35	open	—	04-08 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	17	$199	147	141	+6	open	—	06-28 03:42
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	13	$190	191	109	+82	open	—	04-21 23:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$185	136	136	+0	open	—	04-16 07:16
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	11	$172	668	668	+0	open	—	02-25 12:20
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$168	215	0	+215	open	—	07-07 00:42
cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	2	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	08-01 17:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$152	1,322	151	+1,171	open	—	06-01 03:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	20	$144	525	172	+354	open	—	06-15 08:57
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	9	$107	115	5	+110	open	—	07-31 04:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$107	136	61	+74	open	—	04-23 03:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	12	$98	117	117	+0	open	—	03-12 01:04
will sp 500 spx close at 6400 in march	42	$94	215	220	-5	open	—	03-23 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 19:16:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa3ab79…
08-07 20:49:54	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc04b99…
08-07 20:49:52	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3677de…
08-04 19:09:47	wta rakhimo siniako 2026 08 04	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xa037f0…
08-04 19:02:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x0e5fe3…
08-04 13:42:29	wta svitoli maneiro 2026 08 04	Elina Svitolina	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x217269…
08-04 13:35:56	wta svitoli maneiro 2026 08 04	Elina Svitolina	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd71bc0…
08-04 13:34:51	wta svitoli maneiro 2026 08 04	Elina Svitolina	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc8e695…
08-04 13:34:11	wta svitoli maneiro 2026 08 04	Elina Svitolina	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xd835b4…
08-04 13:32:15	atp michels cerundo 2026 08 06	Alex Michelsen	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xda2e91…
08-04 06:22:59	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 04	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x166904…
08-04 06:21:53	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 04	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9bed6d…
08-04 05:16:38	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 04	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1b3de2…
08-04 01:38:26	mlb sd ari 2026 08 03	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x0844d7…
08-03 17:51:23	wta putints zhang 2026 08 03	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x0d1107…
08-03 07:01:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x8acb00…
08-03 07:01:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0xc0c04a…
08-03 07:01:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0xc6c931…
08-03 07:00:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0xc6ff6e…
08-03 06:42:02	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1df093…
08-02 21:46:18	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0bd17a…
08-02 06:47:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x44c32b…
08-02 06:39:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	322	20¢	$64	0x684121…
08-02 06:12:45	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x022874…
08-02 03:38:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xbb72ac…
08-02 03:25:36	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x511e84…
08-02 03:23:06	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x10edfa…
08-02 03:22:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x89bf72…
08-02 03:22:45	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x2be95c…
08-02 03:22:35	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xcf398e…
08-02 03:08:02	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x41ab6f…
08-01 17:16:15	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	MOUZ	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xbdb031…
08-01 17:07:09	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xcd2f3c…
08-01 16:44:26	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x85968b…
08-01 16:36:12	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x99a699…
08-01 16:02:45	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0xc774f1…
08-01 16:00:51	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x0843e4…
08-01 15:58:38	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x0e9624…
08-01 14:36:59	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xd4932a…
08-01 14:32:48	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	34	63¢	$21	0xf00602…
08-01 13:43:42	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	MOUZ	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x5ed9ce…
08-01 11:35:26	will thom tillis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821981	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa0cab5…
08-01 10:37:41	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xffffcf…
08-01 10:14:29	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x84c8de…
08-01 10:10:35	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3d2211…
08-01 07:43:21	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3770d6…
08-01 06:29:23	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xd82278…
08-01 06:23:00	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x955fb6…
08-01 05:59:51	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5faa22…
07-31 08:33:35	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x85d91b…
07-31 08:27:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa09c53…
07-31 08:16:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1dcfc7…
07-31 04:15:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2485de…
07-31 00:11:41	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe872ad…
07-30 22:02:00	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	451	0¢	$2	0x232279…
07-30 21:49:03	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd2d2ad…
07-30 21:47:21	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4d4faa…
07-30 21:14:38	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x2f3f98…
07-30 21:01:29	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x549357…
07-30 19:06:36	mlb chc stl 2026 07 30	Chicago Cubs	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0xa8dd34…
07-30 17:18:05	mlb tex tb 2026 07 30	Texas Rangers	BUY	318	36¢	$114	0xa5d3af…
07-30 17:16:14	mlb tex tb 2026 07 30	Texas Rangers	BUY	157	43¢	$68	0xde5fc5…
07-30 17:15:56	mlb tex tb 2026 07 30	Texas Rangers	BUY	191	43¢	$82	0x5262a7…
07-30 11:20:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x9208a3…
07-30 11:15:24	lol hle1 dk 2026 07 30 game2	Dplus KIA	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x97eee0…
07-30 11:14:24	lol hle1 dk 2026 07 30 game2	Dplus KIA	BUY	199	42¢	$84	0xab598a…
07-30 11:13:50	lol hle1 dk 2026 07 30 game2	Dplus KIA	BUY	438	43¢	$189	0x71f6b2…
07-30 11:13:33	lol hle1 dk 2026 07 30 game2	Dplus KIA	BUY	439	44¢	$193	0xea2063…
07-30 10:30:39	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb08fc8…
07-30 09:09:08	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xe19764…
07-30 04:11:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xde575f…
07-30 04:01:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xb5ea12…
07-30 04:00:15	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	80	92¢	$73	0xa91e81…
07-30 02:29:39	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbcac03…
07-30 00:54:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb798af…
07-30 00:27:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xe7bf9b…
07-30 00:27:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x588f49…
07-29 22:10:29	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 29 20260724224947396	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x633981…
07-29 21:50:29	Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xae5937…
07-29 18:14:48	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x60e35a…
07-29 17:37:11	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618909	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5e70c5…
07-29 17:09:48	will john cornyn vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821983	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x292fb8…
07-28 22:33:46	will thom tillis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821981	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x49facd…
07-28 00:55:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x290a27…
07-28 00:22:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x2e0bb2…
07-27 23:20:37	ukraine strikes another tanker in the caspian sea by july 31 2026 20260726221135932	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2cea46…
07-27 18:20:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xda84b5…
07-27 18:18:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba4dc7…
07-26 15:04:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x07c68f…
07-26 08:33:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	29¢	$13	0x2fdcc7…
07-24 08:31:42	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x4863c0…
07-24 08:31:39	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3252d7…
07-22 04:52:21	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x96353a…
07-21 19:00:28	Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe74af4…
07-21 08:01:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2ba5c1…
07-20 15:16:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x07fc76…
07-20 14:28:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0xab5595…
07-20 14:26:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	59	72¢	$42	0x53caa2…
07-20 13:00:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x5db509…
07-20 13:00:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3f9f00…