Plush-Homogenate 0xff12c0…fbcdc4
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$123
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
40.2%
Resolved (30d)
55
Trades (30d)
241
2,462 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.55K
$20.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-29 07:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
47% 53% -$644
Politics
43% 57% +$408
Crypto
5% 64% +$189
Sports
3% 30% -$429
Tech
2% 82% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +465 $312 59¢ $274 -$37 10-28 07:58
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +198 $164 94¢ $185 +$21 05-14 23:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -193 -$163 82¢ $-158 +$5 10-03 20:15
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +148 $111 100¢ $147 +$36 07-30 10:06
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +109 $81 69¢ $75 -$5 10-25 22:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +181 $63 34¢ $61 -$2 10-25 13:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +63 $37 78¢ $49 +$12 06-12 00:46
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +136 $46 34¢ $46 $0 10-28 10:59
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +77 $30 44¢ $34 +$4 10-27 19:35
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $21 94¢ $28 +$8 10-22 11:18
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +31 $23 68¢ $21 -$2 10-22 19:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $22 16¢ $13 -$8 07-26 08:33
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +12 $10 72¢ $8 -$2 09-03 15:43
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +10 $9 80¢ $8 -$1 10-20 21:58
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +10 $4 61¢ $6 +$2 08-30 06:04
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +13 $3 42¢ $5 +$2 10-01 20:40
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $4 84¢ $5 +$1 10-20 05:07
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 09-19 04:21
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 09-18 21:39
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +22 $7 18¢ $4 -$3 10-11 22:29
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $0 09-02 23:18
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027 Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 08-19 20:09
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 10-26 11:28
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +6 $3 54¢ $3 $0 10-11 06:33
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 10-26 03:58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +51 $14 6¢ $3 -$11 06-16 00:35
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +5 $2 53¢ $3 +$1 08-27 16:45
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +6 $1 41¢ $2 +$1 06-10 02:23
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 No +5 $3 48¢ $2 $0 10-04 12:38
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +3 $2 67¢ $2 +$0 10-20 18:43