Plush-Homogenate 0xff12c0…fbcdc4
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$477
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
567
Trades
2,475
lifetime
Volume
$21.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$1.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-31 10:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
46% 53% -$641
Politics
44% 57% +$372
Crypto
5% 64% +$189
Sports
3% 30% -$429
Tech
2% 82% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +465 $312 58¢ $272 -$40 10-28 07:58
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +198 $164 94¢ $187 +$23 05-14 23:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -193 -$163 82¢ $-159 +$5 10-03 20:15
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +148 $111 100¢ $147 +$36 07-30 10:06
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +266 $99 42¢ $113 +$14 10-31 10:09
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +63 $37 74¢ $46 +$9 06-12 00:46
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +136 $46 32¢ $44 -$3 10-28 10:59
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +210 $42 20¢ $43 +$1 10-31 09:20
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +77 $30 46¢ $35 +$6 10-27 19:35
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $21 86¢ $26 +$5 10-22 11:18
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +75 $19 26¢ $20 +$1 10-31 09:16
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +143 $17 12¢ $18 +$1 10-30 22:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $22 16¢ $12 -$9 07-26 08:33
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +21 $8 46¢ $10 +$1 10-27 19:35
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +12 $10 72¢ $8 -$2 09-03 15:43
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +10 $9 80¢ $8 -$1 10-20 21:58
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +10 $4 72¢ $7 +$3 08-30 06:04
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $5 26¢ $5 +$0 10-31 09:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $4 80¢ $5 +$1 10-20 05:07
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +13 $3 37¢ $5 +$2 10-01 20:40
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 09-19 04:21
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 09-18 21:39
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +22 $7 21¢ $5 -$2 10-11 22:29
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $0 09-02 23:18
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027 Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 08-19 20:09
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 69¢ $3 +$0 10-26 11:28
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +6 $3 52¢ $3 $0 10-11 06:33
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 10-26 03:58
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 08-27 16:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +51 $14 6¢ $3 -$11 06-16 00:35