Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03?
open
Total volume
$1,195
$10 in 24h
Trades
60
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$13,594
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-08-04
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-02 04:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $22
vs crowd: 4% YES on $637)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $5 | $61 | $56 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $20 | $520 | $501 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $19 | $18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $371 | $369 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | $11 | $7 |
| Below median | 4 | $4 | $179 | $175 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $18 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | +348 | $330 | $330 | 3 | 06-29 03:18 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +64 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 04:59 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +50 | $2 | $6 | 2 | 06-29 03:18 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-29 03:18 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 03:18 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $29 | $49 | 3 | 07-12 02:15 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +28 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x2961…d4e5 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:02 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-30 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ec5…c370 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-02 04:41 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-02 04:41 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-02 04:41 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-02 04:41 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-07 10:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:41:18 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3e9a3d… |
| 08-02 04:41:18 | (anonymous) 0x3ec5…c370 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x3e9a3d… |
| 08-02 04:41:18 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3e9a3d… |
| 08-02 04:41:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e9a3d… |
| 07-12 23:04:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x73fbb6… |
| 07-12 23:04:40 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x73fbb6… |
| 07-12 02:16:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 49 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe6c833… |
| 07-12 02:16:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 84 | 97¢ | $82 | 0xe6c833… |
| 07-12 02:16:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe6c833… |
| 07-12 02:16:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe6c833… |
| 07-12 02:15:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2ff12f… |
| 07-12 02:15:52 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 84 | 98¢ | $82 | 0x2ff12f… |
| 07-12 02:15:52 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 94 | 98¢ | $92 | 0x2ff12f… |
| 07-07 18:11:35 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x10203e… |
| 07-07 18:11:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x10203e… |
| 07-03 06:45:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x00480c… |
| 07-03 06:45:59 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x00480c… |
| 07-03 06:45:59 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x00480c… |
| 07-03 06:45:56 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 80 | 98¢ | $78 | 0x6d22d9… |
| 07-03 06:45:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x6d22d9… |
| 07-03 06:45:56 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x6d22d9… |
| 06-30 23:25:55 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x12e8e7… |
| 06-30 23:25:55 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x12e8e7… |
| 06-30 23:16:29 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x491d1a… |
| 06-30 23:16:29 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x491d1a… |
| 06-29 09:45:53 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 92 | 98¢ | $91 | 0x2665a5… |
| 06-29 09:45:53 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2665a5… |
| 06-29 09:45:53 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2665a5… |
| 06-29 03:20:11 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x12ccf9… |
| 06-29 03:20:11 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | BUY | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x12ccf9… |
| 06-29 03:20:11 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x12ccf9… |
| 06-29 03:19:10 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xb21416… |
| 06-29 03:19:10 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xb21416… |
| 06-29 03:18:34 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2fb6ff… |
| 06-29 03:18:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2fb6ff… |
| 06-29 03:18:20 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc8156d… |
| 06-29 03:18:20 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc8156d… |
| 06-29 03:18:08 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe4447f… |
| 06-29 03:18:08 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xa4ee75… |
| 06-29 03:18:08 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe4447f… |
| 06-29 03:18:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa4ee75… |
| 06-29 03:18:08 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0xe4447f… |
| 06-29 03:18:08 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xe4447f… |
| 06-26 09:38:23 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x855ef5… |
| 06-26 09:38:23 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 84 | 98¢ | $82 | 0x855ef5… |
| 06-26 09:38:23 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x855ef5… |
| 06-26 04:59:19 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | BUY | 64 | 94¢ | $60 | 0xfd4fd6… |
| 06-26 04:59:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xfd4fd6… |
| 06-26 04:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc9c5da… |
| 06-26 04:59:16 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | BUY | 84 | 93¢ | $78 | 0xc9c5da… |
| 06-26 04:59:16 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xc9c5da… |
| 06-26 04:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc9c5da… |
| 06-07 11:50:01 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4bd627… |
| 06-07 11:50:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4bd627… |
| 06-07 10:33:15 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xad06eb… |
| 06-07 10:33:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xad06eb… |
| 06-07 10:30:19 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x93e66a… |
| 06-07 10:30:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x93e66a… |
| 05-30 08:02:57 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 23 | 95¢ | $22 | 0xd887fb… |
| 05-30 08:02:57 | (anonymous) 0x2961…d4e5 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd887fb… |