Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,368
$2,595 in 24h
Trades
210
Unique wallets
66
Liquidity
$10,691
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-19 06:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-22.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2
vs crowd: 22% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $96 | $94 | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $31 | $58 | $27 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $190 | $837 | $648 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $40 | $267 | $227 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $81 | $222 | $140 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $13 | $366 | $354 |
| Median | 7 | $151 | $128 | +$23 |
| Below median | 11 | $36 | $14 | +$22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $45 | $45 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $27 | $49 | $22 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $14 | $69 | $55 |
| unranked | 18 | $35 | $360 | $325 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +243 | $192 | $192 | 8 | 06-11 22:31 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +167 | $4 | $38 | 4 | 06-14 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ce8…fa08 | No | +165 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-10 07:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +108 | $14 | $14 | 7 | 06-10 07:23 |
| Required-Wrecker 0xb4ba…4ced | No | +108 | $101 | $101 | 2 | 06-13 11:58 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 14:23 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 14:23 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +60 | $10 | $64 | 2 | 06-10 07:23 |
| Prime-Basis 0xb8fe…ce76 | Yes | +51 | $0 | $87 | 10 | 06-03 11:33 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +50 | $32 | $32 | 4 | 06-09 07:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +49 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-07 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f36…224d | Yes | +45 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 09:35 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-14 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7d5…e5af | No | +38 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-19 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a31…1164 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-01 19:54 |
| Vigorous-Starter 0x8545…22bb | Yes | +31 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-14 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b9d…7d0b | Yes | +28 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 18:00 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +27 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-09 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +25 | $-1 | $23 | 29 | 06-15 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +21 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 06-06 15:03 |
| Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-03 11:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-06 15:03 |
| Thick-Tshirt 0x304b…a125 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 20:04 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-13 11:58 |
| Alarming-Leg 0xcaf5…41ab | Yes | +7 | $3 | $11 | 2 | 06-03 11:33 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 11:25 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +4 | $6 | $11 | 5 | 06-10 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1301…2f0a | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 11:33 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 07:11 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 16:31 |
| Bronze-Pigeon 0x9e33…f67c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 15:44 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +1 | $-10 | $167 | 4 | 06-11 22:31 |
| Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 07:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 06:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x84ddc5… |
| 06-19 06:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xe7d5…e5af | No | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $37 | 0x84ddc5… |
| 06-15 04:17:40 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1ffb5b… |
| 06-15 04:17:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1ffb5b… |
| 06-15 04:17:40 | Standard-Spreadsheet 0x6de9…752a | No | SELL | 61 | 91¢ | $55 | 0x1ffb5b… |
| 06-15 04:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1ffb5b… |
| 06-14 16:23:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x9f46ec… |
| 06-14 16:23:46 | Vigorous-Starter 0x8545…22bb | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x9f46ec… |
| 06-14 16:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x9f46ec… |
| 06-14 16:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9f46ec… |
| 06-14 14:23:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x8c1175… |
| 06-14 14:23:07 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x8c1175… |
| 06-14 14:23:07 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8c1175… |
| 06-14 14:23:07 | Trustworthy-Wriggler 0x4f80…be79 | Yes | SELL | 506 | 5¢ | $25 | 0x8c1175… |
| 06-14 14:23:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8c1175… |
| 06-14 14:23:07 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x8c1175… |
| 06-14 14:23:07 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 5¢ | $9 | 0x8c1175… |
| 06-14 13:33:31 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8ab1cd… |
| 06-14 13:33:31 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8ab1cd… |
| 06-14 04:44:51 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xfe5805… |
| 06-14 04:44:51 | (anonymous) 0x9171…3cc8 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xfe5805… |
| 06-13 18:32:19 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xe1aaa5… |
| 06-13 18:32:19 | Subdued-Mrna 0xacbf…be73 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xe1aaa5… |
| 06-13 17:55:33 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1c2b75… |
| 06-13 17:55:33 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1c2b75… |
| 06-13 11:58:27 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xba4887… |
| 06-13 11:58:27 | Required-Wrecker 0xb4ba…4ced | No | BUY | 107 | 94¢ | $100 | 0xba4887… |
| 06-13 11:58:27 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xba4887… |
| 06-13 11:58:27 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xba4887… |
| 06-13 11:58:27 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 16 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xba4887… |
| 06-13 11:58:27 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xba4887… |
| 06-13 11:58:27 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 16 | 95¢ | $16 | 0xba4887… |
| 06-13 11:58:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xba4887… |
| 06-13 11:58:27 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xba4887… |
| 06-12 22:54:00 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x025680… |
| 06-12 22:54:00 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x025680… |
| 06-12 11:05:54 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xc095b2… |
| 06-12 11:05:54 | Utilized-Principle 0x3d12…4b82 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xc095b2… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x98db32… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 16 | 73¢ | $12 | 0x98db32… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 37 | 71¢ | $26 | 0x98db32… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 94 | 76¢ | $71 | 0x98db32… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x98db32… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x98db32… |
| 06-10 21:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x8fe739… |
| 06-10 21:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x699e…3415 | No | SELL | 2 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x8fe739… |
| 06-10 20:06:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbf3b0d… |
| 06-10 20:06:09 | Subdued-Mrna 0xacbf…be73 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbf3b0d… |
| 06-10 15:03:54 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xcac446… |
| 06-10 15:03:54 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcac446… |
| 06-10 07:23:06 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9bd599… |
| 06-10 07:23:06 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x9bd599… |
| 06-10 07:23:06 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x9bd599… |
| 06-10 07:23:06 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x9bd599… |
| 06-10 07:23:06 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x9bd599… |
| 06-10 07:23:06 | (anonymous) 0x8ce8…fa08 | No | BUY | 165 | 91¢ | $150 | 0x9bd599… |
| 06-10 07:23:06 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x9bd599… |
| 06-10 05:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf5b36b… |
| 06-10 05:54:40 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf5b36b… |
| 06-10 05:54:40 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0xf5b36b… |
| 06-10 05:37:13 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | No | SELL | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x8e97c7… |
| 06-10 05:37:13 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x8e97c7… |
| 06-09 19:44:36 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x5fb279… |
| 06-09 19:44:36 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x5fb279… |
| 06-09 19:44:36 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 24 | 73¢ | $18 | 0x5fb279… |
| 06-09 19:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x0fe949… |
| 06-09 19:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0fe949… |
| 06-09 19:11:51 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0fe949… |
| 06-09 19:11:51 | Victorious-Jug 0xff78…c169 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x0fe949… |
| 06-09 17:26:19 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x179f1c… |
| 06-09 17:26:19 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x179f1c… |
| 06-09 16:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x699e…3415 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x56f52a… |
| 06-09 16:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x56f52a… |
| 06-09 16:31:18 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xf55990… |
| 06-09 16:31:18 | Utilized-Principle 0x3d12…4b82 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xf55990… |
| 06-09 16:30:51 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x38d456… |
| 06-09 16:30:51 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x38d456… |
| 06-09 16:30:30 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x9ec5c3… |
| 06-09 16:30:30 | Trustworthy-Wriggler 0x4f80…be79 | Yes | SELL | 232 | 34¢ | $79 | 0x9ec5c3… |
| 06-09 16:30:30 | Interesting-Havoc 0x4ebb…525f | No | SELL | 207 | 66¢ | $137 | 0x9ec5c3… |
| 06-09 16:30:30 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x9ec5c3… |
| 06-09 16:06:25 | Interesting-Havoc 0x4ebb…525f | No | SELL | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0x0b0701… |
| 06-09 16:06:25 | Standard-Spreadsheet 0x6de9…752a | No | BUY | 61 | 66¢ | $40 | 0x0b0701… |
| 06-09 16:06:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 34¢ | $12 | 0x0b0701… |
| 06-09 16:06:25 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x0b0701… |
| 06-09 11:11:12 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 40¢ | $7 | 0x6ef85b… |
| 06-09 11:11:12 | Poor-Latency 0x6bef…f650 | No | SELL | 35 | 60¢ | $21 | 0x6ef85b… |
| 06-09 11:11:12 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x6ef85b… |
| 06-09 11:11:12 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x6ef85b… |
| 06-09 09:32:15 | (anonymous) 0x9171…3cc8 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xa81ed0… |
| 06-09 09:32:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xa81ed0… |
| 06-09 07:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x0954d5… |
| 06-09 07:36:58 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $6 | 0x0954d5… |
| 06-09 07:36:58 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x0954d5… |
| 06-09 07:24:54 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xe1ad0c… |
| 06-09 07:24:54 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 12 | 65¢ | $8 | 0xe1ad0c… |
| 06-09 07:24:54 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xe1ad0c… |
| 06-09 07:11:25 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 24 | 66¢ | $16 | 0xd1396d… |
| 06-09 07:11:25 | Interesting-Havoc 0x4ebb…525f | No | SELL | 24 | 66¢ | $16 | 0xd1396d… |
| 06-09 07:11:21 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x0f1d9a… |