Tepid-Customer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-26 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 50% $-20

Politics

7% 100% +$3

Other

7% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+9	$5	68¢	$6	+$1	06-08 04:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$50	98	98	+0	open	—	05-03 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$38	42	0	+42	open	—	05-03 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$35	41	0	+41	open	—	05-03 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$35	39	0	+39	open	—	05-03 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$34	35	0	+35	open	—	05-03 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$33	51	0	+51	open	—	05-03 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	05-03 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-03 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	05-03 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	05-02 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	05-03 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	05-03 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-03 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-03 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-03 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-03 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	05-03 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$21	23	0	+23	Up	$-0	05-04 21:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-06 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	05-03 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-03 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 22:32
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	06-26 00:55
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	06-26 00:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	05-02 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	05-04 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$15	23	0	+23	Up	$-4	05-04 19:57
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-13 18:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 00:55:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xc602bf…
06-26 00:54:32	Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x3d6e61…
06-08 04:16:18	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xaffee1…
06-05 08:28:19	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4ec892…
05-13 18:38:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xd01e6a…
05-13 18:37:12	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x614cea…
05-06 19:03:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x0ddad8…
05-05 19:41:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x901b01…
05-05 19:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c29d8…
05-05 19:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc60f45…
05-05 19:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x01b953…
05-05 19:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb3ba89…
05-05 19:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbd07f6…
05-05 13:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc45bf0…
05-05 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7827c0…
05-04 22:25:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf1bdac…
05-04 22:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x82388f…
05-04 22:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5892be…
05-04 22:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x074df9…
05-04 22:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5a229d…
05-04 22:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdfcbd2…
05-04 21:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x79ad3a…
05-04 21:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1598bd…
05-04 21:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa906ca…
05-04 21:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6df187…
05-04 21:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc45259…
05-04 21:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x607fda…
05-04 21:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf2c44c…
05-04 21:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x37aa89…
05-04 21:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfe922f…
05-04 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd93819…
05-04 21:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x464478…
05-04 21:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x79d075…
05-04 21:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4bac8f…
05-04 21:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfedbe9…
05-04 20:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x03ec59…
05-04 20:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x271ee7…
05-04 20:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6f7ea8…
05-04 19:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xa69feb…
05-04 19:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5494ad…
05-04 19:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x40a419…
05-04 19:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb08162…
05-04 19:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe90e01…
05-04 19:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc6dab9…
05-04 19:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc8a1d1…
05-04 19:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7df7ea…
05-04 19:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x571db9…
05-04 19:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x79d8bb…
05-04 19:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe8b3b6…
05-04 19:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x123c4d…
05-04 19:33:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x540155…
05-04 19:32:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x08d90e…
05-04 19:28:26	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x46dfe5…
05-03 22:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0a5e2b…
05-03 22:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9f3437…
05-03 22:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2ded8d…
05-03 22:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9386fe…
05-03 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x71cad1…
05-03 22:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe0042c…
05-03 22:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x02db00…
05-03 22:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0xc68ad2…
05-03 22:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xad9f50…
05-03 22:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xcbb6bc…
05-03 22:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5aa05a…
05-03 21:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xdb12d1…
05-03 21:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x552c73…
05-03 21:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5a3bd9…
05-03 21:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x15515e…
05-03 21:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfff5a3…
05-03 21:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x32f9f9…
05-03 21:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2bea96…
05-03 21:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x07531c…
05-03 21:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x24f352…
05-03 21:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xff26d1…
05-03 21:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x916a55…
05-03 21:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x17b8e6…
05-03 21:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x39f8dd…
05-03 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa4b917…
05-03 20:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xfff76f…
05-03 20:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xddefd3…
05-03 20:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x29a8f3…
05-03 20:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x39cbf3…
05-03 19:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x249ccd…
05-03 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	98	10¢	$10	0x4233c0…
05-03 19:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x6fcb4b…
05-03 19:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x6ae531…
05-03 19:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x26224e…
05-03 19:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x00a135…
05-03 19:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x4224c7…
05-02 22:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x52ba40…
05-02 22:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xa357f2…
05-02 18:55:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xe5eba8…
05-02 17:50:18	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xfdafff…