Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$1,318
$57,866 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
79¢
Latest NO mid
21¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-04 21:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+26.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $729
vs crowd: 73% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $762 | $275 | +$486 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $729 | — | +$729 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $7 | $15 | $8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $251 | $251 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conscious-Portion 0x31c1…7047 | Up | +1,428 | $729 | $729 | 3 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Brisk-Determination-Interloper 0xafb2…0942 | Down | +366 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Miserly-Official 0xb691…bd12 | Down | +112 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:24 |
| Chilly-Stench 0x71c2…5207 | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:24 |
| Familiar-Chairlift 0x66d4…1034 | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:24 |
| Intrepid-Trading 0xe983…093a | Up | +52 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Watchful-Kale 0xd3f8…3492 | Down | +37 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 21:24 |
| Limping-Digging 0x902f…fb2d | Down | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Uniform-Shelter 0xf98b…2e3a | Down | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Glum-Everybody 0x32a0…6252 | Up | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 21:14 |
| Fast-Anarchist 0xd428…6368 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Single-Fuel 0x4374…eff3 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xeaff…c4a5 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Crushing-Other 0x6297…9eab | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Petty-Endorsement 0x4a84…4f07 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 21:24:50 | Realistic-Elf-Anesthesiologist 0xcc0a…d48a | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe832a9… |
| 05-04 21:24:48 | Reliable-Molecule 0xcafb…d38b | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf4683e… |
| 05-04 21:24:46 | Early-Colonial 0xb2d2…26c2 | Up | SELL | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x5d587e… |
| 05-04 21:24:42 | Whimsical-Stockintrade 0x6986…fec0 | Up | SELL | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0xfa9564… |
| 05-04 21:24:40 | Dark-Establishment 0x61cc…f549 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcc0d2b… |
| 05-04 21:24:34 | Familiar-Chairlift 0x66d4…1034 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x084b9b… |
| 05-04 21:24:26 | Ecstatic-Curtailment 0x6dbc…56bb | Up | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcef016… |
| 05-04 21:24:22 | Waterlogged-Advantage 0x337e…a581 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x33fa64… |
| 05-04 21:24:22 | Chilly-Stench 0x71c2…5207 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x511f64… |
| 05-04 21:24:18 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xba973e… |
| 05-04 21:24:18 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Up | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x834151… |
| 05-04 21:24:16 | (anonymous) 0x711c…749d | Up | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x9d5114… |
| 05-04 21:24:16 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xccad63… |
| 05-04 21:24:14 | Guilty-Irrigation-Authentication 0xcf1e…7c26 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xcb0839… |
| 05-04 21:24:14 | Watchful-Kale 0xd3f8…3492 | Down | BUY | 37 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x69622c… |
| 05-04 21:19:48 | Intrepid-Trading 0xe983…093a | Up | BUY | 52 | 48¢ | $25 | 0xa13176… |
| 05-04 21:19:48 | Uniform-Shelter 0xf98b…2e3a | Down | BUY | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x2b0433… |
| 05-04 21:19:46 | Petty-Endorsement 0x4a84…4f07 | Down | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xcf2f92… |
| 05-04 21:19:42 | Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7 | Up | SELL | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xf89e1b… |
| 05-04 21:19:40 | Miserly-Official 0xb691…bd12 | Down | BUY | 112 | 54¢ | $60 | 0x8ecf60… |
| 05-04 21:19:38 | Fast-Anarchist 0xd428…6368 | Up | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x93db6c… |
| 05-04 21:19:38 | Brisk-Determination-Interloper 0xafb2…0942 | Down | BUY | 366 | 52¢ | $190 | 0xb3c105… |
| 05-04 21:19:34 | Crushing-Other 0x6297…9eab | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x17aa9b… |
| 05-04 21:19:34 | Limping-Digging 0x902f…fb2d | Down | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x399f7f… |
| 05-04 21:19:28 | Conscious-Portion 0x31c1…7047 | Up | BUY | 75 | 55¢ | $41 | 0xf8b169… |
| 05-04 21:19:28 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Up | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x022923… |
| 05-04 21:19:28 | Conscious-Portion 0x31c1…7047 | Up | BUY | 731 | 53¢ | $387 | 0x5a7a6b… |
| 05-04 21:19:28 | Conscious-Portion 0x31c1…7047 | Up | BUY | 621 | 48¢ | $301 | 0x13ff1d… |
| 05-04 21:19:26 | Single-Fuel 0x4374…eff3 | Down | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x3faa13… |
| 05-04 21:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xeaff…c4a5 | Down | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x8660a6… |
| 05-04 21:14:34 | Glum-Everybody 0x32a0…6252 | Up | BUY | 7 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x47d47d… |