Turbulent-Situation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 14% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$11	71	5	+66	Up	$-2	05-05 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	6	$8	14	7	+7	Up	$-0	05-05 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$7	120	0	+120	Up	$-7	05-04 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	5	$5	8	3	+5	Down	$-1	05-05 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$4	13	2	+11	Down	$-0	05-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	3	$4	11	10	+1	Up	+$1	05-05 05:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 10:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-05 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-04 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$0	10	0	+10	Up	$-0	05-04 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 13:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x435ae6…
05-05 13:57:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xb87af3…
05-05 13:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf6ed65…
05-05 10:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x072585…
05-05 10:13:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xd6bd0a…
05-05 10:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb79ec6…
05-05 06:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5df802…
05-05 05:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3085b1…
05-05 05:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x70b81c…
05-05 05:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e6dff…
05-05 05:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe0f149…
05-05 05:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x73202e…
05-05 05:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x646825…
05-05 05:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x5893fc…
05-05 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf86e19…
05-05 05:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd032e1…
05-05 05:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	66	7¢	$4	0xc9c51e…
05-05 05:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x1fb0d9…
05-05 05:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0ea274…
05-05 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xb1e744…
05-05 05:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x572691…
05-05 05:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf23c0b…
05-05 05:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x701a6f…
05-05 05:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x17c708…
05-05 05:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x254215…
05-05 05:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9e2801…
05-05 05:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x86cfca…
05-05 05:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x46d3e4…
05-05 05:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbf323d…
05-05 05:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6130fa…
05-05 05:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x71627d…
05-05 05:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb4ee13…
05-04 21:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x159ce7…
05-04 21:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbcdc28…
05-04 21:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xd90934…
05-04 21:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0baf44…
05-04 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc25992…
05-04 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc4f950…
05-04 21:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe429ff…
05-04 21:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdbcd57…