Alienated-Millstone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

473

Trades

1,546

lifetime

Volume

$6.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-08 02:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 618 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	2	$22	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 16:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$22	22	0	+22	Up	+$0	05-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-01 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-01 10:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-06 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-07 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-06 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-06 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-07 11:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-06 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-06 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-07 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-06 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-06 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-06 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-07 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-06 13:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-06 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-07 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-06 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-06 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-07 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-07 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-07 00:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-06 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-06 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-06 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	Up	$-11	05-06 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 02:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x51701d…
05-08 02:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x106a0a…
05-08 02:09:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbd19ca…
05-08 02:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x06f418…
05-08 02:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x879507…
05-08 02:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xee303b…
05-08 01:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xdfcdba…
05-08 01:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa4bc67…
05-08 01:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x70bd0a…
05-08 01:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x887864…
05-08 01:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd7b185…
05-08 01:10:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1f812…
05-08 01:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xae0fa5…
05-08 01:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x32e56d…
05-08 00:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x02c5d3…
05-08 00:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3ee5fb…
05-08 00:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3b3b97…
05-08 00:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf84371…
05-08 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x211620…
05-08 00:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x17e939…
05-08 00:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xdca9e7…
05-08 00:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x754aa7…
05-07 23:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa47f8c…
05-07 23:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x894db0…
05-07 23:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf24cbc…
05-07 23:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8d22b6…
05-07 23:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd5d93e…
05-07 23:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeb727b…
05-07 23:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd9950e…
05-07 23:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4c458…
05-07 23:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6e35e0…
05-07 23:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfea6eb…
05-07 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x710f93…
05-07 22:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x48e247…
05-07 22:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x021d11…
05-07 22:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x147098…
05-07 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x664f33…
05-07 22:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2be486…
05-07 22:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa9a88d…
05-07 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x717ce1…
05-07 21:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x962c9c…
05-07 21:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xf9c71e…
05-07 21:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7fb949…
05-07 21:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3a2794…
05-07 21:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xaae062…
05-07 21:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x21dd48…
05-07 21:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2401f4…
05-07 20:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8c7add…
05-07 20:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x39351a…
05-07 20:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa1ae1d…
05-07 20:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x36cf80…
05-07 20:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x100464…
05-07 20:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x8150cc…
05-07 20:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x49cacd…
05-07 20:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x593181…
05-07 19:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x876edb…
05-07 19:34:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4259cb…
05-07 19:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xec6a08…
05-07 19:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x188699…
05-07 19:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x47caf8…
05-07 19:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x14f5f6…
05-07 18:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x1b242e…
05-07 18:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x919fc1…
05-07 18:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa8aaf0…
05-07 18:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe8b265…
05-07 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x518f88…
05-07 17:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7a3696…
05-07 17:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6ac1d3…
05-07 16:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1549b6…
05-07 16:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8f009f…
05-07 16:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe7cfd0…
05-07 16:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd91ab7…
05-07 16:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x85e82f…
05-07 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x912e50…
05-07 16:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfa123d…
05-07 16:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x332e4b…
05-07 16:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf6c1bb…
05-07 15:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x28ed12…
05-07 15:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb9e457…
05-07 15:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x43f270…
05-07 15:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xaea140…
05-07 14:54:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc31f33…
05-07 14:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe761b7…
05-07 14:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xca01b7…
05-07 14:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xba5c09…
05-07 14:19:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfc09b2…
05-07 14:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8f0576…
05-07 13:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb2f14c…
05-07 13:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x70d8d5…
05-07 13:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x356ec7…
05-07 12:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2d2d26…
05-07 12:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x376c03…
05-07 12:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xfcfa32…
05-07 12:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x58c1e1…
05-07 12:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xfa3d3c…
05-07 11:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xf08801…
05-07 11:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xec788f…
05-07 11:09:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5cd1bd…
05-07 11:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeeb5de…
05-07 11:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb58554…