Average-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	12	$285	214	214	+0	Up	+$55	05-05 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	10	$281	196	196	+0	Up	+$61	05-05 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$250	151	151	+0	Up	+$50	05-04 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$244	349	108	+242	Down	$-36	05-05 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	8	$206	168	168	+0	Down	$-14	05-05 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	7	$196	152	152	+0	Up	$-4	05-05 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$188	127	127	+0	Up	+$28	05-05 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	8	$164	112	112	+0	Up	+$24	05-04 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	9	$154	115	115	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	8	$145	376	170	+206	Down	$-15	05-05 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$140	120	120	+0	Up	+$20	05-05 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	7	$128	145	91	+54	Up	+$21	05-05 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$122	160	160	+0	Down	+$12	05-04 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	9	$116	103	103	+0	Down	$-4	05-05 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	7	$109	80	80	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$106	111	58	+53	Down	+$2	05-05 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$102	63	63	+0	Up	+$22	05-05 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$93	130	59	+71	Up	$-47	05-05 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$89	131	70	+61	Up	$-21	05-05 14:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$86	206	63	+143	Down	$-26	05-05 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	8	$86	94	94	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$79	49	49	+0	Up	+$19	05-05 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	7	$74	60	60	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	5	$71	91	41	+50	Up	+$9	05-05 10:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	8	$70	77	77	+0	Down	+$26	05-04 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$61	117	116	+0	Down	$-59	05-05 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	5	$59	52	44	+7	Down	+$17	05-04 21:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$56	42	42	+0	Down	+$14	05-04 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	9	$55	134	134	+0	Down	$-27	05-05 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$54	34	34	+0	Down	+$14	05-05 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 20:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x60a419…
05-06 16:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x1a0059…
05-05 19:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x5971d1…
05-05 19:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf74d7a…
05-05 19:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb21ab0…
05-05 19:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe6a62f…
05-05 16:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x90a09e…
05-05 16:40:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x681ce8…
05-05 16:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x9e779f…
05-05 16:38:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcd6c41…
05-05 16:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x128481…
05-05 16:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x46c22e…
05-05 16:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	63	48¢	$30	0xa6c0a2…
05-05 16:36:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x806e8e…
05-05 16:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0xaa0888…
05-05 16:32:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x39f42d…
05-05 16:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfd7c89…
05-05 16:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x74a1f8…
05-05 16:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x21d423…
05-05 16:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x42c09e…
05-05 16:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0x531c57…
05-05 16:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8189e3…
05-05 16:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	153	37¢	$56	0x797ce1…
05-05 16:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x0fabfd…
05-05 16:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x183bbe…
05-05 16:18:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	36	54¢	$19	0xdb19d7…
05-05 16:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x03f581…
05-05 16:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0xf2252d…
05-05 16:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x049d0c…
05-05 16:09:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x63bb77…
05-05 16:07:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7eb356…
05-05 16:04:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa3b042…
05-05 16:04:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x829c68…
05-05 16:01:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x8d829b…
05-05 14:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	108	97¢	$104	0xd7b3c0…
05-05 14:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xcb67c0…
05-05 14:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x038cf4…
05-05 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0xd82a2a…
05-05 14:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xfe6427…
05-05 14:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x875aad…
05-05 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	31	48¢	$15	0x38c588…
05-05 14:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x103568…
05-05 14:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x602968…
05-05 14:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$7	0xf7fefd…
05-05 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xe38a72…
05-05 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x59ca00…
05-05 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf9ba62…
05-05 13:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xcf8439…
05-05 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3496bc…
05-05 13:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x1156bb…
05-05 13:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1b0a99…
05-05 12:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x59e327…
05-05 12:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc4ca26…
05-05 11:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x58e0c6…
05-05 11:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xb5a5c0…
05-05 11:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xff2280…
05-05 11:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf62f8b…
05-05 11:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x1a3331…
05-05 11:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x14e97f…
05-05 11:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6978a8…
05-05 11:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa16022…
05-05 11:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x4e70a5…
05-05 11:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x653a62…
05-05 11:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	116	1¢	$1	0x26aed4…
05-05 11:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xb09064…
05-05 11:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xcbd815…
05-05 11:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xe921af…
05-05 11:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x96a170…
05-05 11:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	75	54¢	$40	0x57993f…
05-05 11:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x302821…
05-05 11:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x5cd0d0…
05-05 11:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x84eaeb…
05-05 11:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9cf827…
05-05 11:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xddf46d…
05-05 11:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	55	40¢	$22	0x8af65c…
05-05 11:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x8bda84…
05-05 11:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x852772…
05-05 11:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xe549b0…
05-05 11:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x893135…
05-05 11:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x77964d…
05-05 11:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0x0a5074…
05-05 11:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x0670d6…
05-05 11:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x5222bd…
05-05 11:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	58	59¢	$34	0x6c859a…
05-05 11:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe4b0fb…
05-05 11:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x010d93…
05-05 11:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa222ef…
05-05 11:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xde7b64…
05-05 11:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x99ae47…
05-05 11:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x65f67a…
05-05 11:27:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe9d025…
05-05 11:27:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9859bf…
05-05 11:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x5e09b4…
05-05 11:27:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb7fbc4…
05-05 11:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x643034…
05-05 11:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x20238f…
05-05 11:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x70f515…
05-05 11:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	48	57¢	$28	0x064f17…
05-05 11:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6ae49e…
05-05 11:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x128ec5…