Mushy-Retreat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

605

Trades

4,961

lifetime

Volume

$71.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-13 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$180

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	22	$567	1,261	0	+1,261	Up	+$4	05-18 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$500	400	200	+200	Up	-$1	05-06 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	12	$500	500	100	+400	Down	$0	05-10 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	30	$497	700	100	+600	Up	+$3	05-10 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	25	$400	799	0	+799	Down	-$1	05-12 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	21	$396	800	0	+800	Down	+$4	05-22 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	17	$330	731	0	+731	Down	+$0	05-23 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$302	600	0	+600	Down	-$2	05-06 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	30	$300	700	0	+700	Down	$0	05-21 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	11	$300	600	0	+600	Down	$0	05-03 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	9	$299	600	0	+600	Down	+$1	05-15 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	12	$299	600	0	+600	Down	+$1	05-22 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	18	$299	600	0	+600	Down	+$1	05-10 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	23	$299	600	0	+600	Down	+$1	04-30 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	31	$299	600	0	+600	Down	+$1	05-04 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	31	$299	600	0	+600	Down	+$1	05-15 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	19	$299	600	0	+600	Down	+$1	05-21 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	36	$299	700	0	+700	Up	+$1	05-02 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	13	$298	600	0	+600	Up	+$2	05-21 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	25	$298	600	0	+600	Down	+$2	05-04 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	14	$298	700	0	+700	Up	+$2	05-21 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$297	500	0	+500	Up	+$3	05-05 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	20	$297	600	0	+600	Up	+$3	05-03 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	26	$297	600	0	+600	Up	+$3	05-03 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	10	$297	600	0	+600	Down	+$3	05-03 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	21	$297	600	0	+600	Down	+$3	05-03 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	20	$297	600	0	+600	Down	+$3	05-22 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	21	$296	600	0	+600	Up	+$4	05-10 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	19	$296	600	0	+600	Down	+$4	05-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	23	$296	600	0	+600	Up	+$4	05-05 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 00:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xcd6bda…
10-13 00:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb1a010…
10-13 00:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac5e74…
10-13 00:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x773d69…
10-13 00:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8bea2…
10-13 00:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf87585…
10-13 00:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb3f6de…
10-13 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x2b7d9f…
10-13 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x08ecd2…
10-13 00:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9e6f88…
09-07 22:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6a231d…
09-07 22:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x980682…
09-07 22:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x536929…
09-07 22:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x39b93a…
09-07 22:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5d26d8…
09-07 22:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x761980…
09-07 22:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x79a779…
09-07 22:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x85865f…
09-07 22:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xd3e098…
09-07 22:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd21264…
09-07 22:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xcfea9a…
09-07 22:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xa6dd56…
09-07 22:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x81f265…
09-07 22:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x52e526…
09-07 22:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xe0d7b0…
09-07 22:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc94ff3…
09-07 22:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2b1657…
09-07 21:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x23c7df…
08-10 20:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf1267b…
08-10 20:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaa85f4…
08-10 20:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3e94d5…
08-10 20:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6fb770…
08-10 20:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4473a3…
07-28 18:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xaf4b89…
07-28 18:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x2bb083…
07-28 17:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbdb879…
07-28 17:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8d5b6c…
07-28 17:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4abc35…
07-28 17:48:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x19f227…
05-23 22:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	92	50¢	$46	0xa5d785…
05-23 22:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5d5d09…
05-23 22:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x7fbe98…
05-23 22:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xff88b6…
05-23 22:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc11a46…
05-23 22:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	97	4¢	$4	0x13d8fd…
05-23 22:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	91	95¢	$87	0x036f54…
05-23 22:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xab9fbb…
05-23 22:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3c672a…
05-23 22:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x09c065…
05-23 22:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5a161b…
05-23 22:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3e806c…
05-23 22:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c673b…
05-23 22:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x69eda6…
05-23 22:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x427102…
05-23 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xc3e0f0…
05-23 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0xfd60d5…
05-23 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x86ddf2…
05-23 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x4d80fa…
05-23 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0x1910ae…
05-23 21:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcc5e2c…
05-23 21:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xd7ae0e…
05-23 21:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0xb5c9c6…
05-23 21:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0x328dd8…
05-23 21:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x2edda3…
05-23 21:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x20c710…
05-23 21:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbf1893…
05-23 21:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x401c83…
05-23 21:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x778417…
05-23 21:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	65	4¢	$3	0x371bd6…
05-23 21:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x16f02c…
05-23 21:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	95¢	$73	0x128cd1…
05-23 21:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4efd97…
05-23 21:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x3dd0e2…
05-23 21:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x50e277…
05-23 21:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1caeea…
05-23 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xe6cada…
05-23 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x2fd296…
05-23 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0x19308a…
05-23 21:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x11bdeb…
05-23 21:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x6e20c0…
05-23 21:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1c3e84…
05-23 21:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xbd1906…
05-23 21:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x633fed…
05-23 21:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x3e8246…
05-23 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0xfa2772…
05-23 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x3acef5…
05-23 20:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfed9c8…
05-23 20:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x60cb5f…
05-23 20:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xaa2984…
05-23 20:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xba6d95…
05-23 20:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xf64403…
05-23 20:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x5d539b…
05-23 20:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec63e9…
05-23 20:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x15f480…
05-23 20:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xe37c44…
05-23 20:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x552a2f…
05-23 20:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xabe540…
05-23 20:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2e612e…
05-23 20:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x99f50c…
05-23 20:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x4f7b4d…