Immaterial-Prohibition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

1,616

Trades

1,788

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 11-01 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 83% -$94

Other

2% 80% -$18

Politics

1% 80% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 23:45 UTC	2	$124	65	64	+0	Up	+$4	03-28 00:00
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	2	$123	63	63	+0	Yes	+$3	03-27 16:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	2	$121	61	61	+0	Up	+$1	03-27 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	2	$101	51	51	+0	Up	+$1	03-27 19:30
ethereum up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	2	$100	51	50	+0	Up	+$0	03-27 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	2	$100	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 23:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 00:15 UTC	2	$81	42	42	+0	Up	+$1	03-28 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 23:05 UTC	2	$80	41	41	+0	Down	+$0	03-27 23:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 22:00 UTC	2	$80	40	40	+0	Down	+$0	03-27 22:15
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	2	$77	84	0	+84	No	+$7	04-04 15:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:45 UTC	1	$70	71	0	+71	Up	+$1	04-04 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:50 UTC	1	$60	70	0	+70	Up	+$10	04-04 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC	1	$56	58	0	+58	Up	+$2	04-04 21:09
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	2	$55	59	0	+59	No	+$4	03-26 13:49
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-31 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:45 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	04-04 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	04-04 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:40 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	04-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	05-11 11:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-31 16:00 UTC	2	$42	42	0	+42	Up	+$0	03-31 19:24
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 7am et	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	03-29 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 00:30 UTC	1	$41	43	0	+43	Up	+$2	04-13 00:41
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 11am et	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	03-28 16:00
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	03-28 12:03
bitcoin above 66k on march 28	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-28 16:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:30 UTC	2	$40	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	03-27 21:45
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 9am et	2	$40	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	03-28 14:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-28 08:00 UTC	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	03-28 12:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-28 12:00 UTC	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	03-28 15:05
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-28 20:00 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	03-28 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x46b96b…
11-01 13:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x329000…
11-01 11:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb75ecc…
11-01 01:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7cac84…
11-01 00:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x56693f…
11-01 00:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xffd98a…
11-01 00:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xf9d3f6…
10-31 23:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb1ce37…
10-31 22:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x79a3e8…
10-31 21:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x85b7e5…
10-31 18:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa661d4…
10-31 18:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1d3695…
10-31 16:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xaacb6a…
10-31 15:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa0ca8e…
10-31 14:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2ff8fc…
10-31 10:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7fe57d…
10-31 09:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3d83ec…
10-31 05:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6a335c…
10-31 00:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9c1170…
10-30 23:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4bd918…
10-30 23:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x9e3ab5…
10-30 23:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3a715a…
09-12 19:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x347b96…
09-12 13:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1d35ad…
09-12 11:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5e5a5a…
09-12 11:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x123c74…
09-12 07:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa6460e…
09-12 04:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6e0d3f…
09-12 03:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe212dd…
09-12 01:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x663891…
09-11 16:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2dac23…
09-11 11:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x463a84…
09-11 11:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xa35e8c…
09-11 10:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb2bd6f…
09-11 05:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa22423…
09-10 21:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x21b4d2…
09-10 19:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf719c3…
09-10 03:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd3a917…
09-09 21:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc20a83…
09-09 13:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe39ced…
09-08 21:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdcfd29…
09-08 20:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x96d07f…
09-08 19:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x87ad5c…
09-08 19:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x13a902…
09-08 18:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x544df8…
09-08 08:52:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xd0a8c0…
09-08 07:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2a78cd…
09-08 05:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb86b2e…
09-08 03:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x68c319…
09-07 20:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xaf8d02…
09-07 19:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x40c341…
09-07 18:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xca9fb2…
09-07 17:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb708d9…
09-07 03:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xd8723f…
09-06 19:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x506a68…
09-06 16:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb0bc03…
09-06 15:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8196b7…
09-06 12:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xaf16c3…
09-06 12:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x2255ec…
09-06 05:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x114d80…
09-06 03:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc4c247…
09-05 23:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9e217f…
09-05 23:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xc97de1…
09-05 23:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe7779d…
09-05 22:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7891bd…
09-05 16:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xaabec2…
09-05 16:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x30060d…
09-05 14:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa1ed38…
09-05 13:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x14d564…
09-05 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x307b27…
09-05 02:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa9c285…
09-04 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcb4d80…
09-04 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$0	0x90235c…
09-04 21:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf2a8e8…
09-04 13:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x29ea8f…
09-04 12:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe2a07f…
09-04 10:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9fe30f…
09-04 03:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb1e026…
09-04 03:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd00b77…
09-04 03:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2268db…
09-04 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2f760f…
09-04 01:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xfd3fa9…
09-04 00:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x41462f…
09-03 22:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2cd629…
09-03 21:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdcd6b5…
09-03 15:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8bce7c…
09-03 14:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf25e6a…
09-03 12:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd59e9c…
09-03 09:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfb4820…
09-03 06:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1501a4…
09-03 05:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x609045…
09-03 03:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0xb2e5be…
09-03 00:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x3b7028…
08-22 01:53:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb27fd4…
08-22 01:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf3d3df…
08-22 00:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1213af…
08-21 22:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbb9527…
08-21 19:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdecde4…
08-21 16:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x38fb58…
08-21 12:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x891300…