Full-Steel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$514

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,808

lifetime

Volume

$31.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-17 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 19% $-514

Other

12% — —

Politics

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$1.2K	4,217	1,745	+2,472	open	—	05-14 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$960	838	838	+0	open	—	05-14 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	6	$794	4,822	822	+4,000	open	—	05-14 22:30
wbc usa mex 2026 03 09	5	$603	334	334	+0	open	—	03-10 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	8	$504	1,465	727	+737	open	—	05-14 21:54
Iran leadership change by April 30?	10	$489	1,702	1,702	+0	open	—	04-16 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$476	425	425	+0	open	—	05-17 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	10	$443	1,341	554	+787	open	—	05-14 21:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$432	300	300	+0	open	—	02-28 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	7	$400	4,814	0	+4,814	open	—	05-14 22:53
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	4	$384	220	219	+1	open	—	03-29 19:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$356	375	375	+0	open	—	03-08 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$312	2,584	1,516	+1,069	open	—	05-14 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$303	596	497	+100	open	—	05-17 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	8	$284	1,111	384	+727	open	—	05-17 01:39
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	3	$281	160	159	+1	open	—	03-22 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	6	$275	806	355	+451	open	—	05-14 20:19
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$271	302	302	+0	open	—	03-09 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$263	745	335	+411	open	—	05-17 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	7	$259	1,439	939	+500	open	—	05-14 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$259	4,892	0	+4,892	open	—	05-14 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	7	$250	2,081	0	+2,081	open	—	05-17 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	6	$243	1,139	689	+450	open	—	05-17 01:50
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	3	$241	182	181	+1	open	—	03-29 23:42
iran leadership change by march 31	5	$239	800	800	+0	open	—	03-23 01:36
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	2	$235	294	293	+1	open	—	03-22 18:57
cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21	3	$233	126	125	+0	open	—	03-22 06:01
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	2	$219	118	118	+0	open	—	03-21 17:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$218	120	120	+0	open	—	03-01 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$212	467	200	+267	open	—	05-16 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 21:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xadcf60…
05-17 21:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb9a0fe…
05-17 21:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x437e05…
05-17 21:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xaec656…
05-17 21:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	89	5¢	$4	0x090edd…
05-17 21:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0xd3ba1a…
05-17 20:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	52	20¢	$11	0x96b152…
05-17 20:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x77d284…
05-17 20:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x987534…
05-17 20:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	124	8¢	$10	0xb9eded…
05-17 20:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x516fef…
05-17 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x69a5fe…
05-17 20:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	28	27¢	$7	0x0cc552…
05-17 20:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x340995…
05-17 20:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2266e2…
05-17 20:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x8c59dc…
05-17 20:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb1bb14…
05-17 20:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x84a417…
05-17 20:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x8b52df…
05-17 20:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x385f3f…
05-17 20:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0xfeb42a…
05-17 20:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	153	33¢	$50	0x8983fd…
05-17 19:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	374	5¢	$20	0x189ca1…
05-17 19:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	195	10¢	$20	0xa7d4d2…
05-17 19:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	73	42¢	$31	0xd661dc…
05-17 19:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	73	25¢	$18	0xecb07d…
05-17 19:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	71	78¢	$56	0xea9d9c…
05-17 19:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x2d39f3…
05-17 18:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0e31e3…
05-17 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	943	2¢	$20	0xf9213f…
05-17 18:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa4031f…
05-17 18:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	129	15¢	$20	0x955f48…
05-17 18:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x4f8f33…
05-17 18:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	68	54¢	$36	0x14e2a1…
05-17 18:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0x5b9727…
05-17 18:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xbe548d…
05-17 18:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0xeeac69…
05-17 18:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x2f47ee…
05-17 18:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xb64073…
05-17 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x9ea873…
05-17 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x206814…
05-17 18:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	107	15¢	$16	0x45e6fe…
05-17 18:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x48a8b8…
05-17 18:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0xf097dc…
05-17 17:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x6dbfdf…
05-17 17:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xbbd54a…
05-17 17:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0xee8a5c…
05-17 17:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xc53a2d…
05-17 17:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9816f5…
05-17 17:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x96a5f2…
05-17 17:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x443cc0…
05-17 16:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0xc2eaea…
05-17 16:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6ab948…
05-17 16:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0xad7404…
05-17 16:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x217eb4…
05-17 16:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x958b4e…
05-17 16:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x020b12…
05-17 16:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6a3c4b…
05-17 16:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	328	3¢	$10	0xba223a…
05-17 16:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xc553da…
05-17 16:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x366567…
05-17 15:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	62	42¢	$26	0xbc311c…
05-17 15:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x06563d…
05-17 15:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1ae869…
05-17 15:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xded0bb…
05-17 15:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x21781b…
05-17 15:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb099fd…
05-17 15:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	32¢	$6	0xa4cfd8…
05-17 15:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x90861a…
05-17 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xdb2f2a…
05-17 15:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	45	65¢	$30	0xd681b4…
05-17 15:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x6e8c95…
05-17 14:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x01ef46…
05-17 14:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc7c3cc…
05-17 14:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	365	5¢	$20	0x9eb395…
05-17 14:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xf0841c…
05-17 14:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4b8d0a…
05-17 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xfda2f6…
05-17 14:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$2	0x9406f4…
05-17 14:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	47	8¢	$4	0x59a396…
05-17 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2239b5…
05-17 14:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x902b6b…
05-17 14:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4c5393…
05-17 14:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xccd648…
05-17 14:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5ddc38…
05-17 14:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xf6c4ae…
05-17 14:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x81dd84…
05-17 14:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa138d5…
05-17 14:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x6d808d…
05-17 14:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x548f9b…
05-17 14:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x03a2d5…
05-17 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0f546d…
05-17 14:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x37b7a2…
05-17 13:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9f8d84…
05-17 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6fb4f4…
05-17 13:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x08a662…
05-17 13:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x33a84f…
05-17 13:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x801346…
05-17 13:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x47569c…
05-17 13:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3f7b33…