Marvelous-Installation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

5,555

Trades

19,725

lifetime

Volume

$1.64M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-27 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 55% -$37,525

Other

11% 48% -$3,226

Sports

2% 47% +$3,821

Politics

0% 40% -$311

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 688 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	—	+90	$45	2¢	$1	-$44	10-27 14:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:25 UTC	8	$4.5K	3,152	3,152	+0	Up	+$674	06-24 06:30
nba nop por 2026 04 02 spread home 6pt5	7	$4.2K	3,428	3,377	+51	Trail Blazers	+$816	04-03 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:15 UTC	39	$4.1K	3,379	3,379	+0	Up	+$899	09-25 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:15 UTC	33	$3.6K	2,513	2,513	+0	Down	+$415	06-18 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:05 UTC	4	$3.4K	2,640	2,640	+0	Up	+$1,813	09-25 14:09
atp assche grieksp 2026 04 01	8	$3.4K	2,860	2,826	+35	Luca Van Assche	-$27	04-02 17:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:30 UTC	28	$3.4K	4,912	4,912	+0	Down	+$80	09-25 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:10 UTC	4	$3.3K	2,704	2,704	+0	Up	+$295	09-25 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:10 UTC	18	$3.3K	1,820	1,820	+0	Up	+$284	06-18 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:20 UTC	45	$3.2K	2,116	2,116	+0	Up	+$1,015	06-18 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:05 UTC	84	$3.2K	2,510	2,510	+0	Up	+$769	09-25 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:10 UTC	9	$3.0K	2,180	2,180	+0	Up	+$216	08-25 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:25 UTC	6	$3.0K	1,831	1,831	+0	Up	+$205	06-18 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	19	$2.9K	2,903	2,903	+0	Up	+$271	08-25 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:10 UTC	77	$2.9K	3,072	3,072	+0	Down	-$695	06-24 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:55 UTC	4	$2.9K	1,755	1,755	+0	Down	+$289	06-18 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:45 UTC	5	$2.7K	2,148	2,148	+0	Up	-$48	06-18 13:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:15 UTC	19	$2.7K	2,240	2,240	+0	Up	+$465	09-25 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:45 UTC	4	$2.6K	1,718	1,718	+0	Up	+$774	06-18 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:25 UTC	8	$2.6K	1,940	1,940	+0	Up	+$226	06-25 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:35 UTC	4	$2.6K	2,311	2,310	+0	Up	+$794	09-25 10:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:45 UTC	5	$2.5K	1,782	1,782	+0	Up	+$529	06-23 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:00 UTC	63	$2.5K	2,397	2,397	+0	Up	+$110	06-18 07:04
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	3	$2.5K	1,812	1,780	+32	Yes	+$1,051	04-07 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 17:50 UTC	5	$2.5K	2,528	1,865	+663	Up	+$376	04-01 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 11:10 UTC	10	$2.5K	2,463	1,981	+482	Up	-$106	08-28 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	5	$2.5K	2,843	2,605	+238	Up	+$280	09-25 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 01:20 UTC	6	$2.5K	2,203	2,203	+0	Up	+$463	09-26 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:00 UTC	10	$2.4K	2,557	1,841	+716	Down	+$8	04-02 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:40 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,642	1,642	+0	Down	+$825	06-18 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0xb22368…
10-27 14:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0xab8994…
10-27 14:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	83	33¢	$27	0x72f02e…
10-27 14:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x35b888…
10-27 14:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xbe4d67…
10-27 13:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x1f8678…
10-27 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xd85ac3…
10-27 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	337	12¢	$39	0x01a968…
10-27 13:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	337	30¢	$100	0xff561f…
10-27 13:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd1ca2d…
10-27 13:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	172	62¢	$107	0x9416c4…
10-27 13:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x558313…
10-27 13:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	392	53¢	$207	0xba826c…
10-27 13:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	455	4¢	$18	0x3052d4…
10-27 13:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x4c49bd…
10-27 13:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	136	12¢	$16	0xddf817…
10-27 13:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x18de7f…
10-27 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x9fccbf…
10-27 13:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	281	5¢	$14	0xe80d93…
10-27 13:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	281	14¢	$40	0x29a600…
10-27 13:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	345	11¢	$37	0x654318…
10-27 13:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x34a675…
10-27 13:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	392	34¢	$133	0xe869ca…
10-27 13:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xd01b52…
10-27 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf936a5…
10-27 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xaa0325…
10-27 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x83e720…
10-27 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x7a84ee…
10-27 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0x5c1035…
10-27 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x3edb60…
10-27 13:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xcd5d06…
10-27 13:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xaf184b…
10-27 13:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa1212e…
10-27 13:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x3453ad…
10-27 13:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x147b04…
10-27 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe52ba2…
10-27 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x9aff38…
10-27 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0x8b4f52…
10-27 13:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc6f3e3…
10-27 13:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	539	52¢	$280	0xdeb205…
10-27 13:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	672	30¢	$204	0x0e2741…
10-27 13:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	146	4¢	$6	0xa64488…
10-27 13:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	146	17¢	$25	0x640c06…
10-27 13:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	566	80¢	$454	0xc534b7…
10-27 12:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0x134432…
10-27 12:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	312	86¢	$269	0x7c2867…
10-27 12:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0xb2a201…
10-27 12:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x1f41d5…
10-27 12:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x5e460b…
10-27 12:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	833	48¢	$400	0x8052f8…
10-27 12:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	940	50¢	$470	0xe8e88f…
10-27 12:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	218	23¢	$50	0x0bb16a…
10-27 12:42:20	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	SELL	435	10¢	$43	0xe5edef…
10-27 12:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x661030…
10-27 12:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	654	50¢	$327	0x57b6ad…
10-27 12:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	370	61¢	$227	0xc3948d…
10-27 12:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	95	75¢	$71	0xbe9a42…
10-27 12:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x6ad018…
10-27 12:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	286	56¢	$160	0xe02c51…
10-27 12:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x6fd936…
10-27 12:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	326	1¢	$3	0x039347…
10-27 12:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	493	10¢	$47	0x703de9…
10-27 12:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	235	64¢	$151	0x370045…
10-27 12:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	235	42¢	$100	0xc8996c…
10-27 12:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	352	48¢	$169	0x507d5f…
10-27 12:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	331	46¢	$153	0x36552c…
10-27 12:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	683	29¢	$200	0x7f953d…
10-27 12:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	540	4¢	$22	0x630261…
10-27 12:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	540	37¢	$200	0xe3b61e…
10-27 12:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	315	34¢	$107	0x034c0e…
10-27 12:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x57139d…
10-27 12:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	33	50¢	$17	0x348323…
10-27 12:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	50¢	$12	0xcfae82…
10-27 12:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xb47ae1…
10-27 12:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x972d52…
10-27 12:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x8a9b3a…
10-27 12:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x3ca393…
10-27 12:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x381a7e…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfc0274…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xbb1227…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xb277a9…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0x9e7353…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0x7b0f53…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x7962e8…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x54e84f…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x335412…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x2062ed…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x1ff72e…
10-27 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0x11343f…
10-27 12:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf8e567…
10-27 12:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x07071a…
10-27 12:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	767	26¢	$200	0x8cae6c…
10-27 12:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	606	21¢	$129	0x2f86db…
10-27 12:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0x5207f6…
10-27 12:18:17	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x309ee2…
10-27 12:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	510	25¢	$128	0x83dcae…
10-27 12:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x515b13…
10-27 12:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	395	62¢	$245	0x5c85c1…
10-27 12:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	395	41¢	$162	0x006f78…
10-27 12:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1,266	6¢	$74	0x625d29…