Marvelous-Installation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$330

Unrealized P&L

+$79

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$408

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 50% +$251

Other

19% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen	Sebastian Ofner	-312	$-186	60¢	$-189	$-3	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	-165	$-141	82¢	$-135	+$6	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	-246	$-160	34¢	$-84	+$76	05-05 15:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$287	93	250	-157	open	—	05-05 11:25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$198	189	189	+0	open	—	05-05 16:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen	1	$186	0	312	-312	open	—	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$160	0	246	-246	open	—	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$141	0	165	-165	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$120	312	0	+312	Up	+$192	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$105	0	106	-106	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	open	—	05-05 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	05-05 15:04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1	$97	0	203	-203	open	—	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$94	159	0	+159	Up	+$65	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$80	173	0	+173	open	—	05-05 09:06
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5	1	$79	0	172	-172	Under	+$79	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$78	187	0	+187	open	—	05-05 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$77	0	81	-81	Down	$-4	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$55	142	0	+142	Up	$-55	05-05 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$50	0	51	-51	Down	$-1	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$50	111	0	+111	open	—	05-05 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	05-05 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	05-05 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$48	101	0	+101	Down	+$53	05-04 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$45	0	75	-75	open	—	05-05 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$44	0	74	-74	open	—	05-05 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$40	102	0	+102	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$40	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-05 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$30	96	0	+96	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$30	80	0	+80	open	—	05-05 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$29	81	0	+81	open	—	05-05 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	05-05 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$16	0	16	-16	open	—	05-05 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:07:22	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	189	52¢	$98	0x6f7b23…
05-05 15:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	165	85¢	$141	0xd754bc…
05-05 15:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	246	65¢	$160	0xc98f66…
05-05 15:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	2¢	$40	0x2e6ae0…
05-05 15:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xbae9c8…
05-05 14:34:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen	Sebastian Ofner	SELL	312	60¢	$186	0xf4c419…
05-05 13:26:56	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x4c67a5…
05-05 12:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xf122fb…
05-05 11:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x2407ee…
05-05 11:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xa0b6e0…
05-05 10:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xc356a4…
05-05 10:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7386f1…
05-05 10:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x3871b4…
05-05 09:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x78a782…
05-05 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb703e4…
05-05 09:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xfdf063…
05-05 09:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	93	51¢	$48	0xbcfb06…
05-05 09:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0x6ca37f…
05-05 09:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	74	59¢	$44	0x4c6fd1…
05-05 09:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xce2507…
05-05 09:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x42782d…
05-05 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	102	39¢	$40	0xc26c0a…
05-05 08:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf94ef8…
05-05 08:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x233eb4…
05-05 08:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x0f9507…
05-05 07:20:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	SELL	203	48¢	$97	0xfa9cbd…
05-05 07:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0x0eb4e6…
05-05 06:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x6c32a5…
05-05 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x0f245f…
05-05 06:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x74eeb3…
05-05 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x427b4d…
05-05 02:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	159	59¢	$94	0xad1bf3…
05-05 02:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	312	38¢	$120	0xf6dc4f…
05-05 01:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	142	39¢	$55	0xf9d6a1…
05-05 00:04:56	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5	Over	SELL	172	46¢	$79	0xefa92f…
05-04 23:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	48¢	$48	0x6f0fb1…
05-04 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	81	95¢	$77	0xfbb943…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	27	$5.45K	192	05-05 15:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	25	$1.19K	110	05-05 15:49
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	25	$1.16K	103	05-05 15:49
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	24	$1.35K	71	05-05 15:47
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	23	$1.43K	73	05-05 15:47
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	20	$3.13K	104	05-05 15:49
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	20	$2.75K	50	05-05 15:09
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	18	$779	32	05-05 15:49