Marvelous-Installation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$330

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

53 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.70K

$3.70K lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$380

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 50% +$251

Other

15% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen	Sebastian Ofner	-312	$-186	60¢	$-189	$-3	05-05 14:34
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	+200	$100	50¢	$101	+$1	05-05 20:35
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	+192	$100	47¢	$90	$-10	05-05 21:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$287	93	250	-157	open	—	05-05 11:25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$198	189	189	+0	open	—	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$196	0	208	-208	open	—	05-05 16:59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen	1	$186	0	312	-312	open	—	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$160	0	246	-246	open	—	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$143	0	186	-186	open	—	05-05 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$141	0	165	-165	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$120	312	0	+312	Up	+$192	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$117	40	140	-100	open	—	05-05 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$105	0	106	-106	open	—	05-05 06:45
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-05 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	open	—	05-05 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	05-05 18:07
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	05-05 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	05-05 15:04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1	$97	0	203	-203	open	—	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$94	159	0	+159	Up	+$65	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$81	0	83	-83	open	—	05-05 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$80	173	0	+173	open	—	05-05 09:06
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5	1	$79	0	172	-172	Under	+$79	05-05 00:04
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	1	$79	0	175	-175	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$78	187	0	+187	open	—	05-05 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$77	0	81	-81	Down	$-4	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$60	105	0	+105	open	—	05-05 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$60	0	136	-136	open	—	05-05 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$55	142	0	+142	Up	$-55	05-05 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$50	0	51	-51	Down	$-1	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$50	111	0	+111	open	—	05-05 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	05-05 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	05-05 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0xb7046b…
05-05 21:04:44	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xb886ab…
05-05 20:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	89	51¢	$45	0x0a2c9c…
05-05 20:39:48	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	175	45¢	$79	0x12abf5…
05-05 20:35:02	Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xeba5bb…
05-05 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xccfed5…
05-05 18:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	186	77¢	$143	0x1d50ef…
05-05 18:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	140	69¢	$97	0x3197bc…
05-05 18:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4cd9fc…
05-05 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x264d31…
05-05 18:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	136	44¢	$60	0x7056e1…
05-05 18:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x799a7d…
05-05 17:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	83	98¢	$81	0xa1a36f…
05-05 17:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	218	18¢	$40	0xa78d6e…
05-05 17:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x91668e…
05-05 16:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	208	94¢	$196	0x7cade2…
05-05 16:07:22	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	189	52¢	$98	0x6f7b23…
05-05 15:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	165	85¢	$141	0xd754bc…
05-05 15:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	246	65¢	$160	0xc98f66…
05-05 15:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	2¢	$40	0x2e6ae0…
05-05 15:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xbae9c8…
05-05 14:34:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen	Sebastian Ofner	SELL	312	60¢	$186	0xf4c419…
05-05 13:26:56	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x4c67a5…
05-05 12:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xf122fb…
05-05 11:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x2407ee…
05-05 11:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xa0b6e0…
05-05 10:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xc356a4…
05-05 10:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7386f1…
05-05 10:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x3871b4…
05-05 09:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x78a782…
05-05 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb703e4…
05-05 09:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xfdf063…
05-05 09:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	93	51¢	$48	0xbcfb06…
05-05 09:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0x6ca37f…
05-05 09:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	74	59¢	$44	0x4c6fd1…
05-05 09:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xce2507…
05-05 09:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x42782d…
05-05 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	102	39¢	$40	0xc26c0a…
05-05 08:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf94ef8…
05-05 08:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x233eb4…
05-05 08:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x0f9507…
05-05 07:20:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	SELL	203	48¢	$97	0xfa9cbd…
05-05 07:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0x0eb4e6…
05-05 06:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x6c32a5…
05-05 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x0f245f…
05-05 06:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x74eeb3…
05-05 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x427b4d…
05-05 02:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	159	59¢	$94	0xad1bf3…
05-05 02:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	312	38¢	$120	0xf6dc4f…
05-05 01:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	142	39¢	$55	0xf9d6a1…
05-05 00:04:56	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5	Over	SELL	172	46¢	$79	0xefa92f…
05-04 23:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	48¢	$48	0x6f0fb1…
05-04 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	81	95¢	$77	0xfbb943…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	38	$8.81K	236	05-05 21:09
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	36	$2.41K	212	05-05 21:09
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	36	$565	124	05-05 21:09
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	35	$1.80K	161	05-05 21:09
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	33	$2.07K	105	05-05 21:09
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	33	$2.06K	103	05-05 21:09
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	32	$727	84	05-05 21:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	31	$11.2K	165	05-05 20:50