Marvelous-Installation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

20,047 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$20

$1.66M lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 11-07 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 55% -$37,978

Other

11% 47% -$3,626

Sports

2% 47% +$3,621

Politics

0% 40% -$311

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 688 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:25 UTC	8	$4.5K	3,152	3,152	+0	Up	+$674	06-24 06:30
nba nop por 2026 04 02 spread home 6pt5	7	$4.2K	3,428	3,377	+51	Trail Blazers	+$816	04-03 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:15 UTC	39	$4.1K	3,379	3,379	+0	Up	+$899	09-25 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:15 UTC	33	$3.6K	2,513	2,513	+0	Down	+$415	06-18 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:05 UTC	4	$3.4K	2,640	2,640	+0	Up	+$1,813	09-25 14:09
atp assche grieksp 2026 04 01	8	$3.4K	2,860	2,826	+35	Luca Van Assche	-$27	04-02 17:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:30 UTC	28	$3.4K	4,912	4,912	+0	Down	+$80	09-25 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:10 UTC	4	$3.3K	2,704	2,704	+0	Up	+$295	09-25 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:10 UTC	18	$3.3K	1,820	1,820	+0	Up	+$284	06-18 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:20 UTC	45	$3.2K	2,116	2,116	+0	Up	+$1,015	06-18 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:05 UTC	84	$3.2K	2,510	2,510	+0	Up	+$769	09-25 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:10 UTC	9	$3.0K	2,180	2,180	+0	Up	+$216	08-25 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:25 UTC	6	$3.0K	1,831	1,831	+0	Up	+$205	06-18 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	19	$2.9K	2,903	2,903	+0	Up	+$271	08-25 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:10 UTC	77	$2.9K	3,072	3,072	+0	Down	-$695	06-24 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:55 UTC	4	$2.9K	1,755	1,755	+0	Down	+$289	06-18 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:45 UTC	5	$2.7K	2,148	2,148	+0	Up	-$48	06-18 13:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:15 UTC	19	$2.7K	2,240	2,240	+0	Up	+$465	09-25 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:45 UTC	4	$2.6K	1,718	1,718	+0	Up	+$774	06-18 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:25 UTC	8	$2.6K	1,940	1,940	+0	Up	+$226	06-25 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:35 UTC	4	$2.6K	2,311	2,310	+0	Up	+$794	09-25 10:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:45 UTC	5	$2.5K	1,782	1,782	+0	Up	+$529	06-23 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:00 UTC	63	$2.5K	2,397	2,397	+0	Up	+$110	06-18 07:04
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	3	$2.5K	1,812	1,780	+32	Yes	+$1,051	04-07 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 17:50 UTC	5	$2.5K	2,528	1,865	+663	Up	+$376	04-01 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 11:10 UTC	10	$2.5K	2,463	1,981	+482	Up	-$106	08-28 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	5	$2.5K	2,843	2,605	+238	Up	+$280	09-25 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 01:20 UTC	6	$2.5K	2,203	2,203	+0	Up	+$463	09-26 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:00 UTC	10	$2.4K	2,557	1,841	+716	Down	+$8	04-02 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:40 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,642	1,642	+0	Down	+$825	06-18 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 07:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	54	39¢	$21	0xc4baed…
11-12 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x60cceb…
11-07 17:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x4e037e…
11-07 17:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x3e0a2c…
11-07 17:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0x7de416…
11-07 17:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3da3a8…
11-02 12:31:52	Luca Van Assche vs. Mariano Navone: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x800eee…
11-02 12:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xb73d81…
11-02 12:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xba9806…
11-02 12:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8a819b…
11-02 12:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x314f54…
11-02 12:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xac4be5…
11-02 12:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc74fe8…
11-02 12:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x320763…
11-02 12:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xed3643…
11-02 12:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xa7ab83…
11-02 12:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xaa16e1…
11-02 12:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x5011d2…
11-02 12:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x94eca3…
11-02 12:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x4927ac…
11-02 12:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7ca293…
11-02 12:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	47¢	$7	0x2a985f…
11-02 12:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x36efc3…
11-02 12:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9125fc…
11-02 12:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x35cb28…
11-02 12:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd5107a…
11-02 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x27552d…
11-02 12:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x9d4162…
11-02 12:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2c7248…
11-02 12:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xb0c101…
11-02 12:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4d0294…
11-02 12:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x56b686…
10-31 09:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x83fd2e…
10-31 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xd53062…
10-31 09:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	77	6¢	$5	0x6d8a58…
10-31 09:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2de767…
10-31 09:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x36929f…
10-31 09:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x3ca92e…
10-31 09:13:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	64	64¢	$41	0x825dd3…
10-31 09:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x5bf4db…
10-31 09:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x93f895…
10-31 09:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x31df74…
10-31 09:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	41	19¢	$8	0x994303…
10-31 09:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x9bdab6…
10-31 08:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	71¢	$32	0x2d2c69…
10-31 08:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xce6e18…
10-31 08:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	43	38¢	$16	0xaa44c4…
10-31 08:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x71504f…
10-31 08:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x87d754…
10-31 08:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x936146…
10-31 08:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x9a6ba9…
10-31 08:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xff7dc7…
10-31 08:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0x54d3da…
10-31 08:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x2f5649…
10-31 08:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	56	61¢	$34	0xb1ba35…
10-31 08:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x7a0cd0…
10-31 08:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x057418…
10-31 08:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	123	6¢	$7	0x942f3c…
10-31 08:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0xa352ac…
10-31 08:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	97	10¢	$10	0xecde77…
10-31 08:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0x2a3ae3…
10-31 08:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xf525fd…
10-31 08:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x7dd07e…
10-31 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8,343	1¢	$100	0x08c7c9…
10-31 00:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	465	12¢	$56	0xacbb72…
10-31 00:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	465	22¢	$100	0x692e10…
10-31 00:26:51	Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)	Clippers	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xa76725…
10-30 19:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	272	72¢	$197	0x0de2c4…
10-30 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xeeb6cd…
10-30 19:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x11a199…
10-30 19:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	333	72¢	$240	0x3234ad…
10-30 19:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xf7ab07…
10-30 19:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	65	36¢	$23	0xf1ccc4…
10-30 19:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	389	41¢	$158	0x4ddfed…
10-30 19:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	454	22¢	$100	0x652e4a…
10-30 19:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	312	22¢	$69	0x9ea839…
10-30 19:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xe6100c…
10-30 19:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	197	98¢	$193	0x3c1573…
10-30 19:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	85	84¢	$71	0xe94ff9…
10-30 19:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	85	83¢	$70	0x643c72…
10-30 19:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x6b43f3…
10-30 18:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	444	42¢	$187	0x080b95…
10-30 18:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	444	63¢	$280	0x95d85c…
10-30 18:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	386	52¢	$200	0xa85966…
10-30 18:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	858	26¢	$223	0x7ae85a…
10-30 18:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	858	58¢	$500	0x17fd3f…
10-30 18:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1,100	50¢	$546	0x4c8390…
10-30 18:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,100	53¢	$579	0xdc5621…
10-30 18:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	960	23¢	$221	0x0db254…
10-30 17:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	960	52¢	$500	0x8f1724…
10-30 17:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	225	40¢	$90	0x069495…
10-30 17:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x9d5fbe…
10-30 17:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	392	11¢	$43	0x125f40…
10-30 17:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xdde984…
10-30 17:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	548	36¢	$200	0xdc70a7…
10-30 17:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	751	17¢	$128	0x7cfa4e…
10-30 17:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	751	40¢	$300	0x4796e2…
10-30 17:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	55	3¢	$2	0x5604e6…
10-30 17:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	410	6¢	$25	0x6364d7…
10-30 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xca1cf5…