Marvelous-Installation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$38

Unrealized P&L

+$108

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

20,108 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.12K

$1.66M lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$143

1 position

First seen

2026-03-12

last 11-12 09:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 55% -$37,939

Other

11% 47% -$3,626

Sports

2% 47% +$3,621

Politics

0% 40% -$311

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 688 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	—	+145	$34	98¢	$143	+$108	11-12 10:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:25 UTC	8	$4.5K	3,152	3,152	+0	Up	+$674	06-24 06:30
nba nop por 2026 04 02 spread home 6pt5	7	$4.2K	3,428	3,377	+51	Trail Blazers	+$816	04-03 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:15 UTC	39	$4.1K	3,379	3,379	+0	Up	+$899	09-25 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:15 UTC	33	$3.6K	2,513	2,513	+0	Down	+$415	06-18 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:05 UTC	4	$3.4K	2,640	2,640	+0	Up	+$1,813	09-25 14:09
atp assche grieksp 2026 04 01	8	$3.4K	2,860	2,826	+35	Luca Van Assche	-$27	04-02 17:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:30 UTC	28	$3.4K	4,912	4,912	+0	Down	+$80	09-25 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:10 UTC	4	$3.3K	2,704	2,704	+0	Up	+$295	09-25 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:10 UTC	18	$3.3K	1,820	1,820	+0	Up	+$284	06-18 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	45	$3.2K	2,116	2,116	+0	Up	+$1,015	06-18 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:05 UTC	84	$3.2K	2,510	2,510	+0	Up	+$769	09-25 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:10 UTC	9	$3.0K	2,180	2,180	+0	Up	+$216	08-25 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:25 UTC	6	$3.0K	1,831	1,831	+0	Up	+$205	06-18 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	19	$2.9K	2,903	2,903	+0	Up	+$271	08-25 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:10 UTC	77	$2.9K	3,072	3,072	+0	Down	-$695	06-24 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:55 UTC	4	$2.9K	1,755	1,755	+0	Down	+$289	06-18 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:45 UTC	5	$2.7K	2,148	2,148	+0	Up	-$48	06-18 13:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:15 UTC	19	$2.7K	2,240	2,240	+0	Up	+$465	09-25 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:45 UTC	4	$2.6K	1,718	1,718	+0	Up	+$774	06-18 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:25 UTC	8	$2.6K	1,940	1,940	+0	Up	+$226	06-25 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:35 UTC	4	$2.6K	2,311	2,310	+0	Up	+$794	09-25 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$2.5K	1,782	1,782	+0	Up	+$529	06-23 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:00 UTC	63	$2.5K	2,397	2,397	+0	Up	+$110	06-18 07:04
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	3	$2.5K	1,812	1,780	+32	Yes	+$1,051	04-07 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 17:50 UTC	5	$2.5K	2,528	1,865	+663	Up	+$376	04-01 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 11:10 UTC	10	$2.5K	2,463	1,981	+482	Up	-$106	08-28 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	5	$2.5K	2,843	2,605	+238	Up	+$280	09-25 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 01:20 UTC	6	$2.5K	2,203	2,203	+0	Up	+$463	09-26 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:00 UTC	10	$2.4K	2,557	1,841	+716	Down	+$8	04-02 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:40 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,642	1,642	+0	Down	+$825	06-18 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 10:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x386090…
11-12 10:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	202	82¢	$166	0x53415d…
11-12 10:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0x0a243f…
11-12 10:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0x06a105…
11-12 10:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	143	2¢	$3	0xa8096f…
11-12 10:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xf4bf79…
11-12 10:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	118	75¢	$88	0x66feab…
11-12 09:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x3eb372…
11-12 09:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	63	91¢	$58	0x23a5b2…
11-12 09:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x6a2e8d…
11-12 09:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	258	55¢	$143	0x21d922…
11-12 09:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xa7f614…
11-12 09:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	272	82¢	$223	0xd85e16…
11-12 09:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x617635…
11-12 09:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x1e7803…
11-12 09:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x43fbd1…
11-12 09:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	44	92¢	$41	0x4ffa48…
11-12 09:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe6f221…
11-12 09:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	125	3¢	$4	0xa1a8ab…
11-12 09:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x542151…
11-12 09:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	125	91¢	$114	0x1b5f24…
11-12 09:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0xa271e3…
11-12 09:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x36f12b…
11-12 09:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	162	64¢	$103	0x021a90…
11-12 09:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	162	54¢	$87	0x144a86…
11-12 09:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	84	97¢	$82	0x1351f8…
11-12 09:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0xddbee9…
11-12 09:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	30	68¢	$21	0x150fac…
11-12 09:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x7a1788…
11-12 09:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0x0905c2…
11-12 09:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x5b7504…
11-12 09:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	94	53¢	$50	0xff30cf…
11-12 09:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xdffb0e…
11-12 09:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	68	83¢	$57	0xc9a06c…
11-12 09:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x8c04ae…
11-12 09:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	154	4¢	$6	0x24fe31…
11-12 08:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	154	39¢	$60	0x4ceb20…
11-12 08:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x7e0c61…
11-12 08:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	115	77¢	$88	0x9c952c…
11-12 08:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x515e6e…
11-12 08:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xfbda65…
11-12 08:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	73	57¢	$41	0xa4722d…
11-12 08:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0xc670ab…
11-12 08:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	108	51¢	$55	0x96c99b…
11-12 08:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x94f939…
11-12 08:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	61	56¢	$34	0x8c5570…
11-12 08:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	71	96¢	$69	0x1c8d22…
11-12 08:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x1ea8d9…
11-12 08:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	113	91¢	$103	0x3197e2…
11-12 08:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x0f872a…
11-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xccfc50…
11-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xb4e183…
11-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x7b9919…
11-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x7b8a5c…
11-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x2f91b1…
11-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0x297a87…
11-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	26	44¢	$11	0x28f5fd…
11-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x0e9c63…
11-12 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x79eb43…
11-12 08:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x3823e7…
11-12 08:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe12a14…
11-12 08:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	119	66¢	$79	0x96fa3f…
11-12 08:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xb01ed7…
11-12 08:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xcc0054…
11-12 08:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	222	2¢	$4	0x8b3241…
11-12 08:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xf13b6c…
11-12 08:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	61	79¢	$48	0x76507e…
11-12 08:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x93d82e…
11-12 08:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	190	6¢	$11	0xcddce4…
11-12 08:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xd1e69e…
11-12 08:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x6dd97b…
11-12 08:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x834c95…
11-12 08:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x39be40…
11-12 08:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x38a977…
11-12 08:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x005583…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xf92b09…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0xf6ab60…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xe72ebd…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	89	28¢	$25	0xb84777…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xaeaccd…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x9442ba…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0x87a367…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x45fcfe…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x3cce8f…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x25c04b…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x1e97a4…
11-12 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x141ae6…
11-12 08:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	195	15¢	$30	0xd4eb8a…
11-12 08:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	54	65¢	$35	0xa5bacd…
11-12 08:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xacc483…
11-12 08:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	83	49¢	$41	0x75be30…
11-12 08:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xb04dc5…
11-12 08:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	125	13¢	$16	0xf2892d…
11-12 08:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0xf7b3fb…
11-12 07:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	54	39¢	$21	0xc4baed…
11-12 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x60cceb…
11-07 17:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x4e037e…
11-07 17:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x3e0a2c…
11-07 17:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0x7de416…
11-07 17:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3da3a8…