Total-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$305

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

1,500

Trades

22,922

lifetime

Volume

$119.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$55

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-24 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% +$305

Other

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 595 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No		+55	$42	100¢	$55	+$12	06-23 07:30
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+55	$14	0¢	$0	$-14	06-23 08:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1777033500	46	$940	640	632	+8	open	—	04-24 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	57	$857	1,680	0	+1,680	Down	+$823	05-04 22:20
btc updown 15m 1775264400	44	$844	1,610	0	+1,610	open	—	04-04 01:05
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	110	$804	1,366	332	+1,034	open	—	06-24 09:39
btc updown 5m 1776138000	15	$627	1,280	0	+1,280	open	—	04-14 03:39
btc updown 15m 1775029500	51	$556	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	04-01 07:45
btc updown 15m 1775154600	30	$520	1,138	0	+1,138	open	—	04-02 18:30
btc updown 15m 1775503800	8	$518	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	04-06 19:29
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	20	$495	873	55	+818	open	—	06-24 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	27	$443	820	0	+820	open	—	04-29 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$426	820	0	+820	Up	$-426	05-04 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	40	$418	820	0	+820	open	—	05-03 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	44	$418	820	0	+820	open	—	05-04 10:50
btc updown 15m 1774687500	24	$351	675	0	+675	open	—	03-28 08:44
btc updown 15m 1775259000	20	$344	675	0	+675	open	—	04-03 23:29
wti up or down on june 22 2026	6	$339	418	418	+0	open	—	06-22 11:35
btc updown 15m 1774335600	100	$336	632	69	+563	open	—	03-24 07:03
btc updown 15m 1775204100	9	$333	590	0	+590	open	—	04-03 08:14
btc updown 15m 1775023200	20	$315	597	0	+597	open	—	04-01 06:00
btc updown 5m 1776136200	8	$314	640	0	+640	open	—	04-14 03:10
btc updown 15m 1775497500	20	$299	571	0	+571	open	—	04-06 17:44
btc updown 15m 1775220300	5	$294	478	116	+363	open	—	04-03 12:45
btc updown 15m 1775118600	6	$294	596	0	+596	open	—	04-02 08:23
btc updown 15m 1775295000	31	$290	553	0	+553	open	—	04-04 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	24	$290	557	0	+557	open	—	04-27 01:15
btc updown 15m 1774345500	95	$288	527	0	+527	open	—	03-24 09:54
btc updown 15m 1774791900	28	$278	558	0	+558	open	—	03-29 13:45
btc updown 15m 1775152800	12	$274	533	0	+533	open	—	04-02 17:51
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026	17	$270	457	21	+436	open	—	06-24 07:07
btc updown 15m 1775495700	20	$270	588	0	+588	open	—	04-06 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 09:39:58	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x65a360…
06-24 08:46:11	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0x9c968d…
06-24 08:45:37	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x69097b…
06-24 08:44:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc6c448…
06-24 08:44:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x41995d…
06-24 08:44:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x2ef933…
06-24 08:44:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x91e59b…
06-24 08:44:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x8fa4cb…
06-24 08:44:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x19fdf3…
06-24 08:44:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x90d58a…
06-24 08:44:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xcf9ab8…
06-24 08:44:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc6e91d…
06-24 08:41:10	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x139eb4…
06-24 08:40:14	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xce2a30…
06-24 08:40:10	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x59e37f…
06-24 08:34:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xa34311…
06-24 08:34:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x2945de…
06-24 08:34:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x70133d…
06-24 08:34:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x6d4430…
06-24 08:34:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x066e11…
06-24 08:34:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xbf4f35…
06-24 08:34:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x707e29…
06-24 08:34:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x182388…
06-24 08:33:34	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xa2f20f…
06-24 08:31:20	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x261529…
06-24 08:26:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xaef0c8…
06-24 08:26:38	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0x0c8546…
06-24 08:26:32	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0xdc38e0…
06-24 08:26:32	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x28ba5f…
06-24 08:26:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd12e6a…
06-24 08:26:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xc64d57…
06-24 08:26:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	64	26¢	$17	0x7999a4…
06-24 08:26:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x541e6f…
06-24 07:54:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xe0a4ae…
06-24 07:44:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd0e96b…
06-24 07:44:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xfbbce0…
06-24 07:44:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xdd055a…
06-24 07:44:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x53949e…
06-24 07:44:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x447963…
06-24 07:44:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xe13b8a…
06-24 07:44:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x48957f…
06-24 07:44:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x2a7397…
06-24 07:44:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x0c0521…
06-24 07:44:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xb35523…
06-24 07:44:41	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd929ee…
06-24 07:44:41	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xaded2c…
06-24 07:07:50	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	No	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x5250fd…
06-24 07:07:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	Yes	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0x757bd7…
06-24 07:07:40	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	39	58¢	$23	0x6d7646…
06-24 06:58:10	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x960b09…
06-24 06:58:08	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0x53d09f…
06-24 06:57:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	SELL	38	80¢	$31	0xd1b212…
06-24 06:55:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0xf2455d…
06-24 05:34:19	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	55	69¢	$38	0x6a8f85…
06-24 05:32:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xf82f0b…
06-24 05:27:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb7795c…
06-24 05:24:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x69c7f5…
06-24 05:24:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1672cf…
06-24 05:18:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x3d0f96…
06-24 05:14:58	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x20d77c…
06-24 05:14:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcf237d…
06-24 05:14:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfb25ba…
06-24 05:14:52	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb80daa…
06-24 05:14:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x54d40a…
06-24 05:10:55	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x24160a…
06-24 05:10:55	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	Yes	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x1c443f…
06-24 05:09:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8b3586…
06-24 05:04:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4e5d14…
06-24 03:57:56	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x8a398b…
06-24 00:08:19	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x645cf9…
06-24 00:06:53	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	55	48¢	$27	0x99505a…
06-23 23:28:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xd073ea…
06-23 23:27:35	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xe4069f…
06-23 22:00:14	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x29dc85…
06-23 20:41:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x7b9387…
06-23 19:48:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x6fc3a1…
06-23 19:46:16	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xd0ed6d…
06-23 19:41:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xcb8219…
06-23 19:40:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0x7dd6c6…
06-23 19:40:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x0b0e6e…
06-23 19:14:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x438737…
06-23 19:14:58	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5a9add…
06-23 19:14:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbc7697…
06-23 19:14:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x065c23…
06-23 19:14:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xabc93e…
06-23 19:05:53	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	176	37¢	$66	0xda5b97…
06-23 19:04:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	230	49¢	$113	0x33e3f1…
06-23 18:50:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0x1d0cdc…
06-23 18:49:23	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x9d5110…
06-23 18:49:19	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x016cff…
06-23 18:49:17	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x406073…
06-23 14:22:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0xd5ffb4…
06-23 14:00:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0xfd842f…
06-23 13:37:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x62c7f4…
06-23 13:00:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x148e9a…
06-23 12:54:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3bc84c…
06-23 12:54:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x16bc4d…
06-23 12:54:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x46c911…
06-23 12:54:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9a977d…
06-23 12:54:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x07e548…