Total-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

23 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$266

$266 lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% $-103

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$80	161	+161	Up	$-80	05-04 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$23	45	+45	open	—	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$23	45	+45	Up	$-23	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$23	45	+45	Up	+$22	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$12	22	+22	Down	$-12	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$12	22	+22	Up	+$10	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$12	22	+22	Down	+$10	05-05 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$11	22	+22	Up	$-11	05-05 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$11	22	+22	Up	$-11	05-05 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$8	22	+22	Up	+$14	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-04 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-05 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-05 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x2f2e8d…
05-05 16:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7b7aa4…
05-05 07:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0xb74f49…
05-05 05:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc00716…
05-05 05:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x182f6c…
05-05 05:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xcab6fd…
05-05 04:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x007572…
05-05 04:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xc52164…
05-05 03:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x5fef3d…
05-05 03:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x23caf9…
05-05 02:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9bbc97…
05-05 01:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7dd564…
05-05 01:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xc341eb…
05-05 00:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x577d06…
05-05 00:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x622506…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x2d1e9d…
05-04 23:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xc39349…
05-04 22:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xb538a2…
05-04 22:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x884eeb…
05-04 22:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x376852…
05-04 22:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x594d07…
05-04 21:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x2afce9…
05-04 20:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	161	50¢	$80	0x7eac2d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$1.63K	83	05-05 20:44
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	15	$722	46	05-05 20:40
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	15	$686	43	05-05 20:40
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	14	$1.40K	50	05-05 20:40
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	12	$2.52K	45	05-05 05:35
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$1.91K	24	05-05 20:40
Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48	10	$597	17	05-05 20:44
Neglected-Supernatural 0x7dfc…f54e	8	$1.05K	24	05-05 05:05