Hidden-Plywood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.46K

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

30,952

Trades

62,360

lifetime

Volume

$634.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$456

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-27 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 92% -$6,021

Other

1% 94% -$695

Politics

0% 100% +$258

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1451 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-464	-$418	96¢	$-445	-$27	05-20 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	—	+11	$10	99¢	$11	+$1	10-27 09:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	5	$1.5K	1,921	0	+1,921	No	+$403	04-23 09:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:15 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,267	0	+1,267	Down	-$90	04-24 16:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	15	$1.1K	1,773	0	+1,773	Yes	-$1,078	04-18 15:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$833	1,028	0	+1,028	No	+$194	04-22 13:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$797	439	439	+0	No	+$64	04-21 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:05 UTC	3	$750	1,452	0	+1,452	Up	+$702	04-24 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$600	677	0	+677	Up	+$77	04-28 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$600	729	0	+729	Down	+$129	04-25 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:55 UTC	45	$537	568	200	+368	Down	+$75	09-24 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:10 UTC	3	$504	686	0	+686	Down	-$382	04-24 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	04-26 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$490	1,011	0	+1,011	Up	-$422	04-28 05:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:40 UTC	6	$490	498	0	+498	Up	+$8	06-23 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:30 UTC	6	$490	498	0	+498	Up	+$8	06-23 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:05 UTC	40	$464	348	348	+0	Up	+$2	09-30 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:10 UTC	24	$455	598	247	+351	Down	-$3	09-24 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:05 UTC	19	$437	237	237	+0	Up	+$27	09-24 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:05 UTC	30	$422	593	294	+299	Down	+$60	09-24 13:09
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$418	0	464	-464	open	—	05-20 08:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:45 UTC	5	$410	489	0	+489	Up	+$79	06-23 14:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 18:20 UTC	5	$410	421	0	+421	Up	+$11	06-23 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$410	415	0	+415	Down	+$5	06-23 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:10 UTC	16	$408	240	240	+0	Down	+$16	09-30 16:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:45 UTC	5	$403	409	0	+409	Up	+$6	06-24 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 12:10 UTC	1	$400	501	0	+501	Up	+$101	04-24 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:50 UTC	2	$400	572	0	+572	Up	+$172	04-24 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:00 UTC	2	$400	428	0	+428	Down	+$28	04-24 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:05 UTC	1	$400	417	0	+417	Up	+$17	04-24 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$400	414	0	+414	Down	+$14	04-28 08:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 15:05 UTC	5	$400	407	0	+407	Down	+$7	06-22 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1248f1…
10-27 08:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x5b7eaa…
10-27 07:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd711f2…
10-27 07:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2f5173…
10-27 07:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2cd2bb…
10-27 07:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe192e9…
10-27 06:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8a2c2d…
10-27 06:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1c1ea1…
10-27 06:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc60a1e…
10-27 06:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x95dc3d…
10-27 06:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x78ba41…
10-27 06:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x37307e…
10-27 06:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x406d36…
10-27 05:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x07447a…
10-27 05:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2fec14…
10-27 04:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x73d09c…
10-27 04:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4a7c4f…
10-27 04:19:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc38a0…
10-27 04:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x56dded…
10-27 03:54:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x54d982…
10-27 03:14:12	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb181e3…
10-27 03:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x77226e…
10-27 02:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x276775…
10-27 02:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x05a302…
10-27 01:34:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb500a0…
10-27 01:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfdae10…
10-27 01:09:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcf589e…
10-27 00:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x39a54d…
10-26 22:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x79c9c7…
10-26 22:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfa1ff3…
10-26 22:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf456a9…
10-26 22:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb19ac5…
10-26 21:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe798e0…
10-26 20:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4cce5c…
10-26 20:38:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xda71e6…
10-26 20:19:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xddb9ef…
10-26 20:19:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x254765…
10-26 20:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xafccc2…
10-26 20:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdde7cd…
10-26 19:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d90fc…
10-26 19:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x17f99a…
10-26 18:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x01d247…
10-26 18:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbdea12…
10-26 18:54:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe61b54…
10-26 18:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcf51b3…
10-26 18:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbc223e…
10-26 17:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x12c5cb…
10-26 17:33:24	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x91ac68…
10-26 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8590af…
10-26 15:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd76d8e…
10-26 15:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfb6ebc…
10-26 15:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x80a99c…
10-26 15:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x19c4fa…
10-26 15:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8123d9…
10-26 14:29:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1156b…
10-26 14:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbae50f…
10-26 14:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4246a3…
10-26 13:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbcc87d…
10-26 13:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9e5b5a…
10-26 13:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x636700…
10-26 12:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbc6ea4…
10-26 12:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c1b8f…
10-26 12:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4af910…
10-26 12:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc7274e…
10-26 12:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2e64ad…
10-26 12:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x430121…
10-26 11:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd4f68a…
10-26 11:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8272e1…
10-26 11:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x461f45…
10-26 11:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfd60ce…
10-26 11:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x401bc9…
10-26 11:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xda4812…
10-26 11:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x505381…
10-26 11:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1e0f18…
10-26 11:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa1ff3d…
10-26 11:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xe35cf7…
10-26 11:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x931542…
10-26 11:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xb09bca…
10-26 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x431a05…
10-26 11:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdca401…
10-26 11:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x1d4ec6…
10-26 11:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xedd2ed…
10-26 10:49:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c0e74…
10-26 10:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x53defa…
10-26 10:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x10b11c…
10-26 10:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7f6c31…
10-26 10:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6da5c9…
10-26 10:29:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x314d29…
10-26 10:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xfe7201…
10-26 10:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x120c59…
10-26 10:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x10286b…
10-26 10:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x90f519…
10-25 08:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa02155…
10-25 07:54:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x69f2da…
10-25 07:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdddcca…
10-25 07:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7c5d1e…
10-25 07:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2a9e09…
10-25 06:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7b43d0…
10-25 06:54:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc0900a…
10-25 06:49:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef58e1…