Hidden-Plywood — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$754

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved (30d)

6,708

Trades (30d)

10,035

62,434 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$26.1K

$635.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$445

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-28 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 92% -$6,039

Other

1% 94% -$695

Politics

0% 100% +$258

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1451 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-464	-$418	96¢	$-445	-$28	05-20 08:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	5	$1.5K	1,921	0	+1,921	No	+$403	04-23 09:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:15 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,267	0	+1,267	Down	-$90	04-24 16:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	15	$1.1K	1,773	0	+1,773	Yes	-$1,078	04-18 15:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$833	1,028	0	+1,028	No	+$194	04-22 13:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$797	439	439	+0	No	+$64	04-21 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:05 UTC	3	$750	1,452	0	+1,452	Up	+$702	04-24 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$600	677	0	+677	Up	+$77	04-28 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$600	729	0	+729	Down	+$129	04-25 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:55 UTC	45	$537	568	200	+368	Down	+$75	09-24 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:10 UTC	3	$504	686	0	+686	Down	-$382	04-24 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	04-26 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$490	1,011	0	+1,011	Up	-$422	04-28 05:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:40 UTC	6	$490	498	0	+498	Up	+$8	06-23 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:30 UTC	6	$490	498	0	+498	Up	+$8	06-23 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:05 UTC	40	$464	348	348	+0	Up	+$2	09-30 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:10 UTC	24	$455	598	247	+351	Down	-$3	09-24 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:05 UTC	19	$437	237	237	+0	Up	+$27	09-24 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:05 UTC	30	$422	593	294	+299	Down	+$60	09-24 13:09
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$418	0	464	-464	open	—	05-20 08:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:45 UTC	5	$410	489	0	+489	Up	+$79	06-23 14:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 18:20 UTC	5	$410	421	0	+421	Up	+$11	06-23 18:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:25 UTC	5	$410	415	0	+415	Down	+$5	06-23 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:10 UTC	16	$408	240	240	+0	Down	+$16	09-30 16:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:45 UTC	5	$403	409	0	+409	Up	+$6	06-24 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 12:10 UTC	1	$400	501	0	+501	Up	+$101	04-24 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:50 UTC	2	$400	572	0	+572	Up	+$172	04-24 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:00 UTC	2	$400	428	0	+428	Down	+$28	04-24 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:05 UTC	1	$400	417	0	+417	Up	+$17	04-24 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$400	414	0	+414	Down	+$14	04-28 08:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 15:05 UTC	5	$400	407	0	+407	Down	+$7	06-22 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:39:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d5a02…
10-28 19:19:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb9b143…
10-28 17:19:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdd77ee…
10-28 17:19:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2f4068…
10-28 17:19:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x100aa5…
10-28 16:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d0ca9…
10-28 13:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe6a567…
10-28 12:24:17	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x07c09e…
10-28 12:24:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7bf9a3…
10-28 11:38:55	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xebca38…
10-28 11:18:55	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9f5fc4…
10-28 10:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf27f9e…
10-28 10:34:01	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x777035…
10-28 09:04:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcb3089…
10-28 09:04:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc16083…
10-28 08:54:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e8f5b…
10-28 07:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa379e4…
10-28 06:48:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x33419d…
10-28 05:43:44	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x393b71…
10-28 04:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d7d25…
10-28 04:54:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3d213…
10-28 04:34:02	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x686d9b…
10-28 04:18:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf7285c…
10-28 03:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7cabcc…
10-28 01:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8c300f…
10-28 01:44:29	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe21981…
10-28 01:44:29	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbc3e66…
10-28 01:14:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfaba92…
10-28 00:48:57	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf35970…
10-28 00:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa5cb19…
10-27 23:38:56	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc7d703…
10-27 23:34:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x72a1f7…
10-27 15:49:14	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe73b5f…
10-27 15:49:14	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x22b9b4…
10-27 12:43:41	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x803a5d…
10-27 11:38:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x589a10…
10-27 11:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xa5d871…
10-27 11:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8c6c1b…
10-27 11:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd32e20…
10-27 11:24:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x04aae5…
10-27 11:18:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x3725d8…
10-27 11:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8391dc…
10-27 11:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x10281f…
10-27 11:09:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70d686…
10-27 11:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xae77c5…
10-27 11:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x94efc8…
10-27 11:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x2bf32d…
10-27 11:01:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9f6b63…
10-27 10:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3b2630…
10-27 10:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd0b79e…
10-27 10:53:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfa4c55…
10-27 10:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5a6e48…
10-27 10:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf43a80…
10-27 10:38:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x203735…
10-27 10:33:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x443950…
10-27 10:33:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xffb72b…
10-27 10:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x518fc8…
10-27 10:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe4c25c…
10-27 10:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe7583a…
10-27 10:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x31eba0…
10-27 10:13:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x8d00eb…
10-27 10:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6285d3…
10-27 09:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xca2db8…
10-27 09:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1bc012…
10-27 09:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbbd200…
10-27 09:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x59c5c7…
10-27 09:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf1c775…
10-27 09:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5f5a30…
10-27 09:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x237488…
10-27 09:27:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb89abb…
10-27 09:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x421614…
10-27 09:23:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd56ff2…
10-27 09:18:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3cbaf0…
10-27 09:13:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb1332f…
10-27 09:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1248f1…
10-27 08:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x5b7eaa…
10-27 07:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd711f2…
10-27 07:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2f5173…
10-27 07:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2cd2bb…
10-27 07:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe192e9…
10-27 06:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8a2c2d…
10-27 06:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1c1ea1…
10-27 06:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc60a1e…
10-27 06:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x95dc3d…
10-27 06:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x78ba41…
10-27 06:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x37307e…
10-27 06:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x406d36…
10-27 05:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x07447a…
10-27 05:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2fec14…
10-27 04:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x73d09c…
10-27 04:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4a7c4f…
10-27 04:19:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc38a0…
10-27 04:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x56dded…
10-27 03:54:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x54d982…
10-27 03:14:12	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb181e3…
10-27 03:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x77226e…
10-27 02:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x276775…
10-27 02:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x05a302…
10-27 01:34:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb500a0…
10-27 01:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfdae10…