Insistent-Hole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

9,492

Trades

140,110

lifetime

Volume

$2.17M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-28 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$14,582

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2461 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	—	+30	$19	98¢	$30	+$10	10-28 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 09:15 UTC	89	$4.4K	5,548	+5,548	Up	+$121	04-09 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	138	$3.0K	6,077	+6,077	Down	+$154	04-30 02:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:35 UTC	103	$2.6K	3,928	+3,928	Down	-$450	04-09 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:10 UTC	137	$2.6K	5,130	+5,130	Up	+$192	04-21 20:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:30 UTC	105	$2.5K	4,715	+4,715	Up	-$66	04-10 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:25 UTC	166	$2.5K	4,731	+4,731	Up	-$39	04-07 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:35 UTC	130	$2.5K	4,735	+4,735	Down	-$18	04-14 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:15 UTC	73	$2.5K	3,239	+3,239	Up	-$1,169	04-23 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	190	$2.5K	4,613	+4,613	Down	-$168	05-25 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:30 UTC	158	$2.5K	4,545	+4,545	Down	-$187	04-10 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:30 UTC	157	$2.5K	4,592	+4,592	Up	-$122	04-14 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 19:00 UTC	93	$2.4K	4,731	+4,731	Down	-$48	04-22 19:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:30 UTC	48	$2.4K	3,178	+3,178	Up	+$6	04-09 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:35 UTC	67	$2.4K	4,236	+4,236	Down	+$21	04-21 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:30 UTC	154	$2.4K	4,677	+4,677	Down	-$47	04-21 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	108	$2.4K	4,469	+4,469	Up	+$5	04-27 00:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:00 UTC	100	$2.4K	3,644	+3,644	Up	-$1,052	04-15 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:00 UTC	67	$2.4K	4,306	+4,306	Up	+$20	04-09 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:30 UTC	107	$2.4K	4,830	+4,830	Down	+$153	04-14 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:30 UTC	73	$2.4K	4,692	+4,692	Down	-$23	04-09 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 22:00 UTC	123	$2.3K	4,646	+4,646	Up	-$112	04-07 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:15 UTC	67	$2.3K	3,243	+3,243	Up	+$45	04-11 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	119	$2.3K	4,690	+4,690	Down	-$7	04-27 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 05:40 UTC	79	$2.3K	4,479	+4,479	Up	-$18	04-22 05:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 12:40 UTC	66	$2.3K	4,223	+4,223	Up	+$211	04-09 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 01:15 UTC	36	$2.3K	3,323	+3,323	Down	+$72	04-11 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:20 UTC	25	$2.3K	2,375	+2,375	Down	+$86	04-15 05:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:35 UTC	114	$2.3K	4,644	+4,644	Down	-$18	04-12 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:40 UTC	50	$2.3K	3,420	+3,420	Up	+$92	04-09 08:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:30 UTC	167	$2.3K	4,574	+4,574	Down	+$64	04-17 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xe1410d…
10-28 13:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x910594…
10-28 13:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x412242…
10-28 13:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xce832c…
10-28 13:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xbad250…
10-28 13:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x43b6f0…
10-28 13:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x11d679…
10-28 12:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x314cdc…
10-28 12:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7813cb…
10-28 12:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x35a607…
10-28 12:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x3cf1cc…
10-28 12:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2ddfaf…
10-28 12:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc66b00…
10-28 12:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3e1e5c…
10-28 12:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xc8ab83…
10-28 12:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0348d6…
10-28 12:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6594dd…
10-28 12:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xab4a6c…
10-28 12:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x2f98f4…
10-28 12:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9395f1…
10-28 12:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x492665…
10-28 12:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc64be9…
10-28 12:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeacda7…
10-28 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x14d686…
10-28 12:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xaa6f0c…
10-28 12:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xf8431a…
10-28 12:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x6d5cf5…
10-28 12:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5541e8…
10-28 12:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x38d2a7…
10-28 12:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x888d77…
10-28 12:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x4d7d6a…
10-28 12:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xd260bb…
10-28 12:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc06b29…
10-28 12:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x1dbbcf…
10-28 12:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe47da1…
10-28 12:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xfce3db…
10-28 12:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa63f5b…
10-28 12:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xad4a00…
10-28 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xadd24b…
10-28 11:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8a04de…
10-28 11:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9c1a2b…
10-28 11:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5e2c8f…
10-28 11:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x695b3a…
10-28 11:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x79acd2…
10-28 11:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x81e381…
10-28 11:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x7bff7d…
10-28 09:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xfac533…
10-28 09:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x4d8e2a…
10-28 09:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x27b16b…
10-28 09:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x77734e…
10-28 09:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc7d92e…
10-28 09:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x408adc…
10-28 09:20:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x82f828…
10-28 09:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x4e18d3…
10-28 09:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfb2310…
10-28 09:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xce2869…
10-28 09:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf7d824…
10-28 09:07:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x69c1e1…
10-28 09:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x3fd15c…
10-28 09:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xbb953a…
10-28 08:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x0c2e5b…
10-28 08:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8552ad…
10-28 08:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x5e6a4c…
10-28 08:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf64829…
10-28 08:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x5c1edd…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x275180…
10-28 08:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x3193b0…
10-28 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1d6b77…
10-28 08:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa78210…
10-28 08:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x191786…
10-28 08:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8101a2…
10-28 08:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcb171e…
10-28 08:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xfadc7d…
10-28 08:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6b2c17…
10-28 08:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb0798b…
10-28 08:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x1d16f3…
10-28 08:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb82c63…
10-28 08:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x803d6e…
10-28 08:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x456f65…
10-28 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x7ebdc1…
10-28 08:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x77bd4c…
10-28 08:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x1bf093…
10-28 08:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x2fb3ee…
10-28 08:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x28f89f…
10-28 08:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xaeebe0…
10-28 08:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1bc078…
10-28 08:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1ec84b…
10-28 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6b20da…
10-28 08:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd3f557…
10-28 07:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xeef9c4…
10-28 07:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x091915…
10-28 07:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x8da68f…
10-28 07:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8fc171…
10-28 07:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x7aeebf…
10-28 07:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0da3d5…
10-28 07:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x89660a…
10-28 07:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfddadf…
10-28 07:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x747ae1…
10-28 07:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x764e60…
10-28 06:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x45cc4a…