Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$396

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

469

Trades

1,043

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-04 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

54% 51% +$232

Politics

41% 60% +$185

Tech

2% 56% +$7

Crypto

2% 21% -$26

Sports

1% 67% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-3	-$3	86¢	$-3	+$0	07-04 17:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-2	-$2	94¢	$-2	$0	07-04 17:39
Blue wave in 2026?	No	-8	-$2	15¢	$-1	+$1	07-04 17:39
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	-6	$0	5¢	$-0	+$0	07-04 17:40
Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	-6	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	07-04 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	7	$156	113	113	+0	No	+$30	03-12 05:28
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	7	$138	111	111	+0	No	+$32	03-21 23:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$104	83	83	+0	No	+$16	03-22 01:00
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$96	57	57	+0	No	$0	03-15 18:13
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	5	$92	69	69	+0	No	+$21	03-17 03:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$86	67	67	+0	No	+$7	03-10 20:50
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	8	$66	66	66	+0	No	+$21	03-10 20:54
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	5	$64	46	46	+0	No	+$2	03-22 00:59
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	8	$62	53	53	+0	No	+$20	03-07 23:17
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$58	53	53	+0	No	+$20	03-05 03:28
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$53	35	35	+0	No	+$3	03-08 02:11
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	5	$47	37	37	+0	No	+$15	03-05 03:59
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$40	50	50	+0	Yes	+$8	03-08 15:51
will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	2	$38	26	26	+0	No	+$3	03-23 14:43
bkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 48pt5	8	$32	81	41	+40	Yes	+$11	02-17 09:13
panw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt94	3	$30	51	51	+0	Yes	+$19	02-16 18:57
us anti cartel strikeoperation on foreign soil by february 28 2026	2	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$8	02-23 00:22
new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	6	$25	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	02-21 02:06
trump approval up or down this week 596	3	$23	23	20	+3	Down	+$12	02-27 19:06
will israel strike 1 countries in february 2026	4	$21	32	19	+12	No	-$1	02-18 05:19
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	4	$21	15	15	+0	No	+$8	03-26 03:02
will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$19	15	15	+0	No	+$8	03-01 06:13
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$18	20	20	+0	No	+$4	02-15 17:39
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	3	$18	24	24	+0	Yes	+$8	02-20 22:30
chatgpt outage by march 15	3	$18	17	17	+0	No	+$4	03-03 18:55
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	2	$18	12	12	+0	No	+$3	02-25 19:56
will the silicon data h100 index sdh100rt hit 2pt25 low by february 28 2026	2	$18	11	11	+0	No	+$4	02-18 00:17
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	4	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-03 15:11
will russia enter stinky by march 31	2	$17	11	11	+0	No	+$1	03-01 06:14
trump approval up or down this week 481	2	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	02-25 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 17:40:26	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x429ae2…
07-04 17:40:20	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x56b575…
07-04 17:40:14	Will the Republican Party win the NV-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x49d5c9…
07-04 17:39:41	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xda8aca…
07-04 17:39:34	Will Trump deport 500-600k people?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x02b8e4…
07-04 17:39:25	Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x37a3d7…
07-04 17:39:19	Blue wave in 2026?	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x40cd16…
07-04 17:39:13	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xdec71d…
07-04 17:39:01	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x865c8a…
07-04 17:38:50	Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xf60174…
07-04 17:38:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x4d1484…
07-04 17:38:28	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x948b96…
07-04 17:38:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xc33a70…
03-26 03:02:27	Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x9bba77…
03-23 14:43:53	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x871186…
03-22 01:00:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	83	72¢	$60	0xb8e608…
03-22 00:59:47	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x398357…
03-22 00:59:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xc53628…
03-21 23:35:05	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	85	81¢	$69	0x4481a5…
03-17 03:16:51	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	SELL	69	82¢	$56	0x2d95d4…
03-15 18:13:45	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	57	84¢	$48	0xdac5eb…
03-14 10:46:59	will mara corina machado visit venezuela by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xe53d5f…
03-12 23:25:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	36	66¢	$24	0xf4feb1…
03-12 20:57:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	83	53¢	$44	0x0edd14…
03-12 12:27:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	17	63¢	$10	0x1cc6af…
03-12 12:26:21	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xdc0ce5…
03-12 06:44:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	29	70¢	$21	0x3a75ae…
03-12 05:28:07	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	37	90¢	$33	0x30af3c…
03-11 17:38:51	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x3eca42…
03-11 04:34:05	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x3b6d1b…
03-11 03:42:55	us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xdebafd…
03-11 03:27:43	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x9c2c6e…
03-11 00:46:23	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0xe2efa2…
03-10 21:32:05	Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1c1d97…
03-10 20:54:27	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	SELL	58	67¢	$39	0xe36dfe…
03-10 20:50:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	67	70¢	$47	0xe2c759…
03-09 16:16:01	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	76	79¢	$60	0xf859e5…
03-08 20:09:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x301835…
03-08 19:43:15	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x150752…
03-08 16:56:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x035947…
03-08 16:06:29	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x688027…
03-08 15:51:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x2bf92b…
03-08 13:49:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x90ff24…
03-08 02:11:55	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x288c66…
03-08 01:12:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0xd6bd66…
03-07 23:17:23	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x3b1008…
03-07 23:15:29	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x54289b…
03-07 23:07:41	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x2f58f1…
03-07 21:23:29	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x5602b8…
03-06 20:16:41	grok memecoin wallet hits 1m before april	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x9aaf4c…
03-06 15:13:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x1d83e9…
03-06 15:09:25	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd63913…
03-06 15:08:05	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x8bff6b…
03-06 05:22:53	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc80bef…
03-06 04:32:19	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1355fe…
03-06 03:52:23	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xae0626…
03-06 03:21:15	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xeea372…
03-06 02:16:55	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9c457e…
03-06 02:10:31	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x79afdf…
03-06 01:56:11	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xbb546f…
03-06 00:46:29	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x41aa21…
03-06 00:36:07	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0xeece82…
03-06 00:33:47	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0xe52c46…
03-06 00:31:47	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	BUY	26	67¢	$18	0x0e0278…
03-06 00:24:13	will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x02536c…
03-05 23:00:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x108d29…
03-05 22:41:27	will trump cap credit card interest rates by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x728ade…
03-05 18:10:03	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xb8c62e…
03-05 18:04:19	will google gemini score at least 40 on humanitys last exam	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x09a7d5…
03-05 16:53:27	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0xaa3dde…
03-05 16:53:07	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe9515f…
03-05 16:50:23	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4d51d5…
03-05 03:59:05	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0xd9581b…
03-05 03:48:11	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x946b9b…
03-05 03:28:15	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	53	74¢	$39	0x82ca24…
03-04 18:59:47	Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x853471…
03-04 18:57:29	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x7a0908…
03-04 18:56:07	will annual inflation increase by 2pt5 in february 439 553 591 573	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xf0aca1…
03-04 18:54:11	another us bank failure by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x460621…
03-04 16:30:39	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xf133fe…
03-04 04:01:33	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x78c857…
03-04 04:00:57	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x2c7ed5…
03-04 03:57:13	will russia enter borova by march 31	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xb316ae…
03-04 03:56:33	us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xc93541…
03-04 00:36:13	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x2dceea…
03-03 21:44:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x0c04d7…
03-03 21:22:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf2284c…
03-03 20:52:59	pter magyar sextape released by march 31	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x6a4b39…
03-03 20:52:25	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x404721…
03-03 19:39:05	trump announces new drug boat strike by march 7 2026	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0x6b4e57…
03-03 19:21:57	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfe7cf0…
03-03 19:01:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9b0067…
03-03 18:55:53	chatgpt outage by march 15	Yes	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x7c2fe9…
03-03 18:49:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x83ae59…
03-03 18:47:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x6320f1…
03-03 18:16:03	us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xda26d2…
03-03 17:57:05	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xb513c8…
03-03 16:53:41	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x53d3a9…
03-03 16:06:21	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xda069c…
03-03 16:05:21	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xdd5840…