Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$341
Trades
37
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$219
Latest YES mid
43¢
Latest NO mid
57¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-17 18:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $3 | $129 | $126 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $9 | $37 | $28 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $14 | $2 | +$12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $8 | $2 | +$6 |
| Median | 4 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $127 | $127 |
| unranked | 6 | $14 | $39 | $25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +165 | $127 | $127 | 2 | 08-07 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +50 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 08-07 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x676e…8aa7 | No | +50 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-30 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-17 18:48 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $3 | 3 | 07-11 13:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-22 07:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 06:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 08:51 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 07-04 17:38 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-11 10:50 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +2 | $-0 | $3 | 3 | 07-11 13:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 18:48:51 | (anonymous) 0x5bcd…883d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x79dad2… |
| 08-17 18:48:51 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x79dad2… |
| 08-07 06:02:01 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x9027a8… |
| 08-07 06:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x9027a8… |
| 08-05 08:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xb254fa… |
| 08-05 08:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb254fa… |
| 08-05 08:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb254fa… |
| 07-11 13:44:02 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xc7a1b0… |
| 07-11 13:44:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xc7a1b0… |
| 07-11 13:20:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xfd8b83… |
| 07-11 13:20:17 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xfd8b83… |
| 07-11 13:08:43 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe12ba5… |
| 07-11 13:08:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe12ba5… |
| 07-11 10:50:43 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x2a2f54… |
| 07-11 10:50:43 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x2a2f54… |
| 07-11 10:50:43 | Nautical-Vault 0x3e79…b2d0 | No | SELL | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x2a2f54… |
| 07-09 09:46:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x85ec09… |
| 07-09 09:46:16 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x85ec09… |
| 07-04 17:38:50 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf60174… |
| 07-04 17:38:50 | (anonymous) 0xf1ca…2a33 | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xf60174… |
| 07-04 17:38:50 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xf60174… |
| 07-03 18:51:25 | Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xe06f5d… |
| 07-03 18:51:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xe06f5d… |
| 07-02 02:15:38 | Motherly-Grief 0x126f…7137 | No | SELL | 135 | 75¢ | $101 | 0xf68d81… |
| 07-02 02:15:38 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 135 | 75¢ | $101 | 0xf68d81… |
| 06-30 05:21:04 | Motherly-Grief 0x126f…7137 | No | SELL | 17 | 75¢ | $12 | 0x3bbaae… |
| 06-30 05:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x676e…8aa7 | No | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x3bbaae… |
| 06-30 05:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x3bbaae… |
| 06-30 05:21:04 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x3bbaae… |
| 06-22 07:06:41 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xe90f5f… |
| 06-22 07:06:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xe90f5f… |
| 06-22 06:15:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xc02f5b… |
| 06-22 06:15:32 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xc02f5b… |
| 06-18 23:31:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xefe3e1… |
| 06-18 23:31:20 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xefe3e1… |
| 05-28 20:34:45 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x6c5850… |
| 05-28 20:34:45 | (anonymous) 0xfb33…2937 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x6c5850… |