Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
41.0%
Resolved
11
Trades
421
lifetime
Volume
$936
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$49
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-28 20:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
54% 29% $-8
Politics
40% 33% $-4
Tech
2% 0% $-7
Pop-Culture
2%
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-15 64¢ $-20 $-5 05-28 20:33
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30? No -4 $-2 90¢ $-3 $-1 05-28 20:34
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -15 $-4 22¢ $-3 +$1 05-28 20:34
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes -4 $-3 72¢ $-3 +$0 05-28 20:34
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -4 $-3 74¢ $-3 $-0 05-28 20:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -3 $-2 66¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 20:37
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 20:37
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -2 $-1 80¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 20:35
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No -2 $-1 58¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -2 $-0 76¢ $-1 $-1 05-28 20:36
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1 $-1 79¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:36
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 20:36
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No -1 $-1 66¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:35
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 73¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:35
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -1 $-1 71¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:35
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 25¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:36
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026? Yes -3 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 20:34
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes -1 $-0 68¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:36
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-1 66¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 20:36
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -2 $-0 41¢ $-1 $-1 05-28 20:35
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 20:34
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 20:36
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 20:37