Serpentine-Oversight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-02 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$0

Politics

36% 0% $-11

Crypto

16% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 75k in february 2026 685 423	5	$1.7K	2,401	0	+2,401	open	—	01-31 08:38
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	3	$772	400	400	+0	open	—	01-16 07:31
ice forced to unmask by february 28	2	$671	360	360	+0	open	—	02-11 08:13
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	4	$613	424	424	+0	open	—	01-27 09:06
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$592	400	400	+0	open	—	01-16 07:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$584	400	400	+0	open	—	01-17 07:18
us evacuates baghdad embassy by january 31	2	$402	210	210	+0	open	—	01-20 07:49
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	2	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	01-22 07:28
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	3	$366	200	200	+0	open	—	01-22 07:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	02-11 08:13
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	2	$208	120	120	+0	open	—	01-11 13:40
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	1	$200	741	0	+741	open	—	02-01 07:11
us strike on colombia by january 31	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	01-21 08:16
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	1	$192	200	0	+200	open	—	02-17 08:28
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	01-28 16:18
gpt 5pt3 released by january 31 2026	2	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	01-28 16:18
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$164	100	100	+0	open	—	01-24 08:29
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	2	$153	100	100	+0	open	—	02-11 08:13
atp darderi sinner 2026 01 25	2	$107	110	0	+110	open	—	01-25 10:37
will mills flip platner for maine dem senate primary winner by january 31	2	$105	60	60	+0	open	—	01-06 08:07
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-17 08:28
us bank failure by january 31	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	01-01 13:51
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	01-28 16:18
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	4	$85	100	0	+100	open	—	02-17 08:52
ex faze members form new organization by march 31	1	$82	0	100	-100	open	—	01-04 08:26
venezuela election scheduled by january 31 2026	2	$75	40	40	+0	open	—	01-16 07:32
cilia flores released from custody by january 31 2026	3	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	01-11 13:40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	3	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	01-12 07:42
was ilhan omar sprayed with vinegar	1	$71	100	0	+100	open	—	01-28 16:21
penguin listed on binance by march 31	3	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	02-11 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 07:40:39	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xde349e…
06-01 06:31:13	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x472d7e…
05-21 12:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xff32d8…
05-21 12:17:07	Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Jaume Munar	Mariano Navone	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa46adb…
05-17 08:15:14	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x78eed0…
05-15 07:38:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x954f95…
05-09 09:28:50	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x42832d…
04-22 15:12:34	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbfa4ae…
04-17 08:36:34	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x7d2356…
04-16 08:43:14	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x9ab6cb…
04-16 08:43:00	NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O/U 4.5	Over 4.5	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5584f6…
04-16 08:42:40	NBA: Co-Rookie of the Year winners?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb23725…
04-13 04:39:15	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x0acf4d…
04-13 04:38:35	Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.75 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3fd8a8…
04-13 04:37:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xcaaf02…
04-11 08:01:29	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xea37e4…
04-08 21:10:39	Will anyone propose at the Met Gala?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x45c2eb…
04-08 15:44:05	Will anyone propose at the Met Gala?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x89dc34…
04-08 15:43:45	will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6bab8e…
04-02 07:37:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x87fd2c…
04-02 07:36:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef7aeb…
04-02 07:36:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x59ebaf…
04-02 07:35:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd7d89a…
04-01 08:22:33	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb1999d…
04-01 08:22:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xdc9448…
04-01 08:21:57	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9399cb…
04-01 08:21:43	will the drama score at least 72 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x03f3d1…
03-30 17:14:29	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xbb4801…
03-30 16:08:45	fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x690fce…
03-30 16:08:45	fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x4c0921…
03-30 16:08:19	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf89a1b…
03-30 16:07:45	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x975a54…
03-29 09:15:36	atp ivashka kjaer 2026 03 29	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x366344…
03-29 08:20:50	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0x9c2915…
03-29 08:12:14	atp ivashka kjaer 2026 03 29	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc4cadb…
03-29 08:11:28	Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x26c195…
03-29 08:11:02	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x22fe68…
03-23 15:22:03	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 24 30	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x394c97…
03-23 15:21:39	will laguardia airport lga be open to departures by 200 pm et on march 23 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9a05d3…
03-23 15:21:25	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 24 30	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x671408…
03-22 16:00:17	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x82f63b…
03-19 07:31:27	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf21cb3…
03-19 07:30:35	saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc16437…
03-19 07:30:21	Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?	$70,000	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xae93bc…
03-19 07:29:59	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2d04f3…
03-19 07:29:43	Will either Tate brother be arrested by March 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa1d652…
03-11 11:03:59	north korea missile test by march 31 472	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x9ec4b3…
02-28 12:12:51	will xrp reach 2pt1 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93f36d…
02-28 12:12:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x5577bc…
02-28 12:12:13	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa2d49a…
02-28 12:11:53	dota2 lixoes yes 2026 02 28	Yellow Submarine	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9456fd…
02-28 12:11:03	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x1706d3…
02-20 08:32:08	will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be less than 2m	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xdfff82…
02-17 09:35:29	Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd3de67…
02-17 08:52:57	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xfa53e9…
02-17 08:31:43	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf07843…
02-17 08:31:13	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x75933a…
02-17 08:28:53	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x0a368d…
02-17 08:28:35	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb61e16…
02-17 08:28:13	Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x1a8263…
02-17 08:27:59	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xd49475…
02-17 08:27:47	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe55c7b…
02-16 08:33:15	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa2ac9e…
02-11 14:00:19	will the us seize an iranian oil tanker by feb 28	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfa4d34…
02-11 09:15:41	will the us seize an iranian oil tanker by feb 28	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xaffeae…
02-11 08:31:51	will the us seize an iranian oil tanker by feb 28	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xace5b4…
02-11 08:14:37	will the us seize an iranian oil tanker by feb 28	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x33b10c…
02-11 08:13:57	penguin listed on binance by march 31	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xaa5aab…
02-11 08:13:33	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x55d7b5…
02-11 08:13:27	ice forced to unmask by february 28	No	SELL	360	93¢	$336	0x48c26f…
02-11 08:13:17	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x7bc4a1…
02-05 08:06:07	ice forced to unmask by february 28	No	BUY	360	93¢	$335	0x16df8a…
02-01 07:11:04	atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	Djokovic	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0x094e67…
01-31 08:38:40	will bitcoin dip to 75k in february 2026 685 423	No	BUY	1,442	69¢	$1,000	0xb67387…
01-31 08:38:04	will bitcoin dip to 75k in february 2026 685 423	No	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0x4e02f5…
01-31 08:38:02	will bitcoin dip to 75k in february 2026 685 423	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x6f81b2…
01-31 08:37:50	will bitcoin dip to 75k in february 2026 685 423	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0xc37448…
01-31 08:37:46	will bitcoin dip to 75k in february 2026 685 423	No	BUY	94	69¢	$65	0x09006e…
01-30 07:55:40	cru19wc nz19 eng19 2026 01 30	England Under-19s	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x12a3ce…
01-30 06:35:32	cs2 bige brute 2026 01 28	Brute	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd10bd2…
01-29 16:56:50	cs2 bige brute 2026 01 28	Brute	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x01261f…
01-29 16:56:28	atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	Sinner	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x235418…
01-29 16:55:50	boxing lopez vs stevenson	Stevenson	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5fa019…
01-29 16:54:44	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by february 28 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x95a764…
01-29 16:53:48	Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd80f4c…
01-29 07:40:14	penguin listed on binance by march 31	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa64f62…
01-29 07:39:00	will russia capture havrylivka by february 28 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x29e4e7…
01-28 17:23:18	bun moe b04 2026 02 07 b04	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x9180a1…
01-28 16:35:26	bun ein b04 2026 01 31 b04	Yes	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x93cc42…
01-28 16:24:50	bun moe b04 2026 02 07 b04	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x478f03…
01-28 16:24:50	bun moe b04 2026 02 07 b04	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x130bfb…
01-28 16:24:48	bun moe b04 2026 02 07 b04	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xa9a262…
01-28 16:24:26	bun stu fre 2026 02 01 stu	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xbc467f…
01-28 16:24:02	bun ein b04 2026 01 31 b04	Yes	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0x355842…
01-28 16:24:00	bun ein b04 2026 01 31 b04	Yes	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x1b6c77…
01-28 16:23:08	bun lei mai 2026 01 31 lei	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x489ffa…
01-28 16:22:36	lal esp ala 2026 01 30 esp	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xde011f…
01-28 16:22:14	nba atl bos 2026 01 28	Celtics	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb03c90…
01-28 16:21:56	cs2 mzp bbp 2026 01 26	Bebop	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xbe3d6c…
01-28 16:21:12	was ilhan omar sprayed with vinegar	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x5cd2f8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	144	$18.0K	3,745	06-08 08:39
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	123	$7.27K	5,059	06-09 16:46
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	121	$36.5K	13,528	04-17 01:26
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	120	$56.2K	5,492	03-18 23:21
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	111	$48.4K	3,893	06-08 00:27
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	105	$480.9K	7,975	05-29 14:11
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	102	$9.90M	13,479	06-09 07:42
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	101	$6.38K	3,653	06-08 00:36