Realized P&L
-$1.91K
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
73.6%
Resolved
252
Trades
421
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$765
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
43% 69% -$341
Politics
37% 61% +$148
Crypto
15% 64% -$1,645
Tech
2% 50% -$79
Sports
1% 64% -$8
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$12
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -200 -$170 97¢ $-193 -$23 07-03 18:42
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No -100 -$95 98¢ $-98 -$3 07-03 18:43
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -200 -$82 32¢ $-65 +$17 07-03 18:43
EU dissolves before 2027? No -50 -$48 98¢ $-49 -$1 06-26 07:19
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No -40 -$36 96¢ $-38 -$2 06-26 07:19
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No -30 -$27 91¢ $-27 $0 07-03 18:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -30 -$24 88¢ $-26 -$2 06-26 07:18
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 -$1 07-03 18:44
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -20 -$16 97¢ $-19 -$3 06-26 07:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -20 -$16 96¢ $-19 -$3 06-26 07:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -20 -$18 93¢ $-19 -$1 07-03 18:44
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -20 -$13 90¢ $-18 -$5 07-03 18:45
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -40 -$9 40¢ $-16 -$7 07-03 18:47
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No -20 -$15 72¢ $-14 +$1 06-26 07:27
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? No -20 -$8 55¢ $-11 -$3 07-03 18:45
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 07-03 18:48
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 07-03 18:47
Obama arrested before 2027? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 07-03 18:46
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 07-03 18:46
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 -$1 07-03 18:48
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 07-03 18:48
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? No — -10 -$9 96¢ $-10 -$1 07-03 18:48
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -10 -$9 95¢ $-10 -$1 07-03 18:49
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? No -10 -$6 95¢ $-9 -$3 07-03 18:50
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -10 -$9 94¢ $-9 $0 07-03 18:48
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No -10 -$6 89¢ $-9 -$3 07-03 18:50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -10 -$8 88¢ $-9 -$1 07-03 18:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -10 -$9 88¢ $-9 +$1 07-03 18:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -158 -$14 3¢ $-5 +$9 07-03 18:45
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes -20 -$15 18¢ $-4 +$12 07-03 18:44