Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
3
Trades
384
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$739
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
44% 100% +$0
Politics
35% 0% $-11
Crypto
16% 100% +$0
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -200 $-170 88¢ $-175 $-5 07-03 18:42
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No -100 $-95 96¢ $-96 $-1 07-03 18:43
EU dissolves before 2027? No -50 $-48 98¢ $-49 $-1 06-26 07:19
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No -40 $-36 93¢ $-37 $-1 06-26 07:19
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? Yes -715 $-26 $-33 $-6 07-03 18:43
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No -30 $-27 98¢ $-29 $-2 07-03 18:43
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? No -20 $-19 95¢ $-19 $-0 06-26 07:18
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -20 $-18 94¢ $-19 $-1 07-03 18:44
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -20 $-19 92¢ $-18 +$0 07-03 18:44
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? No -20 $-18 92¢ $-18 $-0 07-03 18:44
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -20 $-16 88¢ $-18 $-2 06-26 07:27
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? No -20 $-15 84¢ $-17 $-2 07-03 18:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -158 $-14 11¢ $-17 $-2 07-03 18:45
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No -20 $-14 82¢ $-16 $-3 07-03 18:45
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? No -20 $-8 74¢ $-15 $-7 07-03 18:45
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -20 $-13 70¢ $-14 $-1 07-03 18:45
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -20 $-16 70¢ $-14 +$2 06-26 07:19
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes -20 $-15 68¢ $-14 +$2 07-03 18:44
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No -20 $-15 60¢ $-12 +$3 06-26 07:27
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -40 $-9 30¢ $-12 $-3 07-03 18:47
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes -117 $-12 $-11 +$1 07-03 18:45
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -20 $-10 50¢ $-10 $-0 07-03 18:45
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Sinner -20 $-8 50¢ $-10 $-2 07-03 18:45
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-26 07:27
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 07-03 18:45
Obama arrested before 2027? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 $-0 07-03 18:46
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -10 $-9 97¢ $-10 $-0 07-03 18:47
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-10 $-0 07-03 18:46
Obama federally charged before 2027? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-9 +$0 07-03 18:47
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-03 18:48