Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,577
Trades
137
Unique wallets
49
Liquidity
$1,403
End date
2026-09-13
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-23 23:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-30.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $91
vs crowd: 31% YES on $753)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $12 | $60 | $48 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $45 | $263 | $218 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $26 | $82 | $56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $149 | $115 | +$34 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $91 | $91 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $13 | $163 | $150 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $19 | $21 | $2 |
| Median | 9 | $23 | $43 | $20 |
| Below median | 9 | $10 | $38 | $28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $7 | $81 | $74 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | $13 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $13 | $42 | $29 |
| unranked | 13 | $136 | $28 | +$108 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | Sinner | +200 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 05-28 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x13d8…6c8e | Alcaraz | +198 | $127 | $127 | 5 | 07-02 15:18 |
| Icky-Candelabra 0xc6a8…9cc7 | Sinner | +111 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 07-12 18:51 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Sinner | +71 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-04 22:08 |
| New-Hammock 0xe394…289c | Sinner | +70 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-12 18:11 |
| Steel-Node 0xb5e0…2b19 | Alcaraz | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xe890…94ce | Sinner | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 22:53 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Sinner | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-13 03:22 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Sinner | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-30 01:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Sinner | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e6b…4c33 | Sinner | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-23 23:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x47cd…573c | Alcaraz | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Alcaraz | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-12 18:51 |
| Modern-Publication 0x3666…ae3a | Alcaraz | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 08:12 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Sinner | +3 | $-2 | $23 | 8 | 07-13 07:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2f5…b306 | Alcaraz | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xab0f…ee84 | Alcaraz | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c65…9379 | Sinner | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 11:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 23:45:43 | (anonymous) 0x7e6b…4c33 | Sinner | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x23e168… |
| 07-23 23:45:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Alcaraz | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x23e168… |
| 07-18 07:33:42 | (anonymous) 0xc3cd…71ee | Sinner | SELL | 32 | 28¢ | $9 | 0x5f51d5… |
| 07-18 07:33:42 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Alcaraz | SELL | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x5f51d5… |
| 07-18 07:33:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Alcaraz | SELL | 26 | 74¢ | $19 | 0x5f51d5… |
| 07-15 08:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x9f19…0154 | Sinner | SELL | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x232d32… |
| 07-15 08:44:25 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 1 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x232d32… |
| 07-14 15:17:14 | Insubstantial-Trench 0xdbce…c781 | Sinner | SELL | 4 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x9153a3… |
| 07-14 15:17:14 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 4 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x9153a3… |
| 07-13 12:03:10 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x2dd284… |
| 07-13 12:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x9f19…0154 | Sinner | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x2dd284… |
| 07-13 08:37:44 | Overlooked-Sweatshop 0xc4e8…46f8 | Alcaraz | SELL | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x6b92ae… |
| 07-13 08:37:44 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Alcaraz | BUY | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x6b92ae… |
| 07-13 08:37:44 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | BUY | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x6b92ae… |
| 07-13 07:34:02 | Drafty-Doctrine 0x5eda…d453 | Sinner | SELL | 8 | 57¢ | $4 | 0xd64b74… |
| 07-13 07:34:02 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Sinner | BUY | 1 | 57¢ | $0 | 0xd64b74… |
| 07-13 07:34:02 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xd64b74… |
| 07-13 04:14:02 | Insubstantial-Trench 0xdbce…c781 | Sinner | BUY | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x103e98… |
| 07-13 04:14:02 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Alcaraz | BUY | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x103e98… |
| 07-13 03:22:17 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Sinner | BUY | 14 | 68¢ | $10 | 0xc1c2c4… |
| 07-13 03:22:17 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xc1c2c4… |
| 07-13 03:22:17 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Sinner | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xc1c2c4… |
| 07-12 20:05:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Alcaraz | SELL | 41 | 35¢ | $14 | 0xe2a02e… |
| 07-12 20:05:55 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xe2a02e… |
| 07-12 20:05:55 | Drafty-Doctrine 0x5eda…d453 | Sinner | SELL | 46 | 65¢ | $30 | 0xe2a02e… |
| 07-12 20:05:50 | Drafty-Doctrine 0x5eda…d453 | Sinner | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x7829af… |
| 07-12 20:05:50 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x7829af… |
| 07-12 19:55:13 | Drafty-Doctrine 0x5eda…d453 | Sinner | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xba7f25… |
| 07-12 19:55:13 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Sinner | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xba7f25… |
| 07-12 19:55:05 | Drafty-Doctrine 0x5eda…d453 | Sinner | SELL | 25 | 67¢ | $17 | 0x3c4f7f… |
| 07-12 19:55:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Alcaraz | SELL | 25 | 33¢ | $8 | 0x3c4f7f… |
| 07-12 19:55:02 | Drafty-Doctrine 0x5eda…d453 | Sinner | SELL | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x7ee5c2… |
| 07-12 19:55:02 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Alcaraz | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x7ee5c2… |
| 07-12 18:51:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Alcaraz | BUY | 40 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x3c92ce… |
| 07-12 18:51:43 | Icky-Candelabra 0xc6a8…9cc7 | Sinner | BUY | 111 | 71¢ | $79 | 0x3c92ce… |
| 07-12 18:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Alcaraz | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x3c92ce… |
| 07-12 18:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Alcaraz | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x3c92ce… |
| 07-12 18:51:43 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Alcaraz | BUY | 41 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x3c92ce… |
| 07-12 18:11:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | SELL | 41 | 65¢ | $27 | 0x2bb68e… |
| 07-12 18:11:28 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x2bb68e… |
| 07-12 18:11:28 | New-Hammock 0xe394…289c | Sinner | BUY | 70 | 66¢ | $46 | 0x2bb68e… |
| 07-12 18:11:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Sinner | SELL | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x2bb68e… |
| 07-12 18:11:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Alcaraz | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x2bb68e… |
| 07-07 13:34:44 | Klutzy-Avalanche 0x4baa…5461 | Sinner | SELL | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x21f52b… |
| 07-07 13:34:44 | Large-Calorie 0xe44b…6e0a | Alcaraz | SELL | 1 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x21f52b… |
| 07-07 13:34:44 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Alcaraz | SELL | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x21f52b… |
| 07-07 09:01:43 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Sinner | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x5a78ec… |
| 07-07 09:01:43 | Everlasting-Temporary 0x76b7…d51d | Alcaraz | SELL | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x5a78ec… |
| 07-04 14:07:08 | Showy-Disease 0xfdb5…6210 | Sinner | SELL | 1 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x837175… |
| 07-04 14:07:08 | Large-Calorie 0xe44b…6e0a | Alcaraz | SELL | 1 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x837175… |
| 07-03 18:45:37 | Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | Sinner | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x3536ae… |
| 07-03 18:45:37 | Large-Calorie 0xe44b…6e0a | Alcaraz | SELL | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x3536ae… |
| 07-02 17:33:53 | Large-Calorie 0xe44b…6e0a | Alcaraz | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x0b9506… |
| 07-02 17:33:53 | Aggressive-Physiology 0x86ff…1d98 | Sinner | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x0b9506… |
| 07-02 17:26:58 | Aggressive-Physiology 0x86ff…1d98 | Sinner | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x05a40e… |
| 07-02 17:26:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x05a40e… |
| 07-02 15:18:25 | Large-Calorie 0xe44b…6e0a | Alcaraz | SELL | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x47a589… |
| 07-02 15:18:25 | (anonymous) 0x13d8…6c8e | Alcaraz | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x47a589… |
| 07-01 11:45:05 | (anonymous) 0x2c65…9379 | Sinner | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x1face2… |
| 07-01 11:45:05 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x1face2… |
| 06-30 09:54:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | SELL | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x7f203d… |
| 06-30 09:54:04 | Klutzy-Avalanche 0x4baa…5461 | Sinner | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x7f203d… |
| 06-30 09:31:35 | (anonymous) 0xf2f5…b306 | Alcaraz | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x6f6d13… |
| 06-30 09:31:35 | Large-Calorie 0xe44b…6e0a | Alcaraz | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x6f6d13… |
| 06-29 17:52:08 | (anonymous) 0xab0f…ee84 | Alcaraz | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x664c19… |
| 06-29 17:52:08 | Showy-Disease 0xfdb5…6210 | Sinner | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x664c19… |
| 06-29 15:18:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | BUY | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0x795729… |
| 06-29 15:18:02 | (anonymous) 0x13d8…6c8e | Alcaraz | BUY | 46 | 65¢ | $30 | 0x795729… |
| 06-29 15:18:02 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Sinner | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x795729… |
| 06-29 14:15:47 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xe70983… |
| 06-29 14:15:47 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | BUY | 0 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xe70983… |
| 06-29 14:15:47 | (anonymous) 0x13d8…6c8e | Alcaraz | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xe70983… |
| 06-29 14:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x13d8…6c8e | Alcaraz | BUY | 16 | 55¢ | $9 | 0xe838b8… |
| 06-29 14:15:14 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xe838b8… |
| 06-28 22:53:29 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Sinner | SELL | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x0de63b… |
| 06-28 22:53:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | SELL | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x0de63b… |
| 06-28 22:53:29 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Sinner | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x0de63b… |
| 06-28 22:53:29 | (anonymous) 0xe890…94ce | Sinner | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x0de63b… |
| 06-20 21:40:53 | (anonymous) 0x13d8…6c8e | Alcaraz | BUY | 116 | 66¢ | $76 | 0x317785… |
| 06-20 21:40:53 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Sinner | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x317785… |
| 06-20 21:40:53 | Drafty-Doctrine 0x5eda…d453 | Sinner | BUY | 100 | 35¢ | $35 | 0x317785… |
| 06-20 21:40:53 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Alcaraz | SELL | 7 | 78¢ | $6 | 0x317785… |
| 06-10 11:58:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Sinner | SELL | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x3a3111… |
| 06-10 11:58:43 | Dishonest-Advantage 0x5383…e30f | Alcaraz | SELL | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x3a3111… |
| 06-09 21:00:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Sinner | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x34d1ac… |
| 06-09 21:00:51 | (anonymous) 0xa149…3886 | Sinner | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x34d1ac… |
| 06-04 22:08:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Alcaraz | SELL | 29 | 65¢ | $19 | 0xdf839a… |
| 06-04 22:08:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Sinner | BUY | 62 | 19¢ | $12 | 0xdf839a… |
| 06-04 22:08:52 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Alcaraz | SELL | 32 | 74¢ | $24 | 0xdf839a… |
| 06-04 22:08:52 | Nice-Appellation 0xd306…463d | Sinner | SELL | 123 | 25¢ | $30 | 0xdf839a… |
| 06-04 04:40:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x971c4d… |
| 06-04 04:40:28 | Humongous-Bubble 0xdc65…4068 | Sinner | SELL | 21 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x971c4d… |
| 06-04 04:40:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Alcaraz | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $0 | 0x971c4d… |
| 06-02 01:44:30 | Sharp-Cleric 0xfb64…5e23 | Sinner | BUY | 15 | 43¢ | $7 | 0x35cb9d… |
| 06-02 01:44:30 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x35cb9d… |
| 06-02 01:44:18 | Sharp-Cleric 0xfb64…5e23 | Sinner | BUY | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x0c4e2b… |
| 06-02 01:44:18 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | BUY | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x0c4e2b… |
| 06-02 01:25:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | SELL | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x2cb940… |
| 06-02 01:25:34 | Sharp-Cleric 0xfb64…5e23 | Sinner | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x2cb940… |
| 06-02 01:25:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Alcaraz | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x2cb940… |