Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?
open
Total volume
$931
Trades
55
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$1,403
End date
2026-09-13
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-10 11:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-16.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $45
vs crowd: 16% YES on $355)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $50 | $50 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $30 | $199 | $169 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $13 | $49 | $36 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $14 | — | +$14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $45 | $45 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $149 | $149 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $19 | $21 | $2 |
| Median | 3 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| Below median | 6 | $10 | $38 | $28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $13 | $33 | $20 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | Sinner | +200 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 05-28 13:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Sinner | +71 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-04 22:08 |
| Large-Calorie 0xe44b…6e0a | Alcaraz | +44 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-28 13:09 |
| Steel-Node 0xb5e0…2b19 | Alcaraz | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 13:21 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | +20 | $3 | $18 | 3 | 06-04 04:40 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Sinner | +7 | $3 | $38 | 5 | 06-10 11:58 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Sinner | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-30 01:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Sinner | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x47cd…573c | Alcaraz | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 13:34 |
| Modern-Publication 0x3666…ae3a | Alcaraz | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 08:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 11:58:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Sinner | SELL | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x3a3111… |
| 06-10 11:58:43 | Dishonest-Advantage 0x5383…e30f | Alcaraz | SELL | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x3a3111… |
| 06-09 21:00:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Sinner | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x34d1ac… |
| 06-09 21:00:51 | (anonymous) 0xa149…3886 | Sinner | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x34d1ac… |
| 06-04 22:08:52 | Nice-Appellation 0xd306…463d | Sinner | SELL | 123 | 25¢ | $30 | 0xdf839a… |
| 06-04 22:08:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Sinner | BUY | 62 | 19¢ | $12 | 0xdf839a… |
| 06-04 22:08:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Alcaraz | SELL | 29 | 65¢ | $19 | 0xdf839a… |
| 06-04 22:08:52 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Alcaraz | SELL | 32 | 74¢ | $24 | 0xdf839a… |
| 06-04 04:40:28 | Humongous-Bubble 0xdc65…4068 | Sinner | SELL | 21 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x971c4d… |
| 06-04 04:40:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Alcaraz | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $0 | 0x971c4d… |
| 06-04 04:40:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x971c4d… |
| 06-02 01:44:30 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x35cb9d… |
| 06-02 01:44:30 | Sharp-Cleric 0xfb64…5e23 | Sinner | BUY | 15 | 43¢ | $7 | 0x35cb9d… |
| 06-02 01:44:18 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | BUY | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x0c4e2b… |
| 06-02 01:44:18 | Sharp-Cleric 0xfb64…5e23 | Sinner | BUY | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x0c4e2b… |
| 06-02 01:25:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | SELL | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x2cb940… |
| 06-02 01:25:34 | Sharp-Cleric 0xfb64…5e23 | Sinner | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x2cb940… |
| 06-02 01:25:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Alcaraz | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x2cb940… |
| 06-01 14:00:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Sinner | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x2aacbd… |
| 06-01 14:00:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Sinner | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x2aacbd… |
| 06-01 14:00:13 | (anonymous) 0xbd3c…fc78 | Sinner | SELL | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x2aacbd… |
| 05-30 20:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x582d…c221 | Alcaraz | SELL | 79 | 60¢ | $47 | 0x9e6f25… |
| 05-30 20:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Alcaraz | SELL | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0x9e6f25… |
| 05-30 20:01:40 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Sinner | SELL | 100 | 37¢ | $37 | 0x9e6f25… |
| 05-30 20:01:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Sinner | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9e6f25… |
| 05-30 01:34:09 | Sharp-Cleric 0xfb64…5e23 | Sinner | SELL | 107 | 45¢ | $48 | 0x4b7390… |
| 05-30 01:34:09 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Sinner | BUY | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x4b7390… |
| 05-30 01:34:09 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Sinner | BUY | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0x4b7390… |
| 05-30 01:33:57 | Sharp-Cleric 0xfb64…5e23 | Sinner | SELL | 77 | 56¢ | $43 | 0x2eed9f… |
| 05-30 01:33:57 | Growling-Colony 0x7d4d…8d70 | Alcaraz | SELL | 77 | 44¢ | $34 | 0x2eed9f… |
| 05-29 13:34:23 | (anonymous) 0x47cd…573c | Alcaraz | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xcdccd8… |
| 05-29 13:34:23 | Growling-Colony 0x7d4d…8d70 | Alcaraz | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xcdccd8… |
| 05-29 08:12:23 | Growling-Colony 0x7d4d…8d70 | Alcaraz | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xa5f5fd… |
| 05-29 08:12:23 | Modern-Publication 0x3666…ae3a | Alcaraz | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xa5f5fd… |
| 05-28 18:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Alcaraz | SELL | 13 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x718b56… |
| 05-28 18:37:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Alcaraz | SELL | 22 | 55¢ | $12 | 0x718b56… |
| 05-28 18:37:49 | Staid-Tub 0x7243…e409 | Sinner | SELL | 35 | 45¢ | $16 | 0x718b56… |
| 05-28 13:21:34 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 15 | 50¢ | $7 | 0xed9095… |
| 05-28 13:21:34 | Subdued-Wind 0x7187…535a | Alcaraz | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xed9095… |
| 05-28 13:21:34 | Steel-Node 0xb5e0…2b19 | Alcaraz | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xed9095… |
| 05-28 13:11:46 | (anonymous) 0xbd3c…fc78 | Sinner | BUY | 21 | 84¢ | $18 | 0xaa03eb… |
| 05-28 13:11:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Sinner | SELL | 9 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xaa03eb… |
| 05-28 13:11:46 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xaa03eb… |
| 05-28 13:11:44 | Staid-Tub 0x7243…e409 | Sinner | BUY | 35 | 57¢ | $20 | 0xd9791c… |
| 05-28 13:11:44 | Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | Sinner | BUY | 200 | 68¢ | $136 | 0xd9791c… |
| 05-28 13:11:44 | Subdued-Wind 0x7187…535a | Alcaraz | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xd9791c… |
| 05-28 13:11:44 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 14 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xd9791c… |
| 05-28 13:11:44 | Super-Pear 0x7d17…9df1 | Sinner | SELL | 251 | 66¢ | $167 | 0xd9791c… |
| 05-28 13:09:52 | Large-Calorie 0xe44b…6e0a | Alcaraz | BUY | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x8ba353… |
| 05-28 13:09:52 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Alcaraz | SELL | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x8ba353… |
| 05-28 13:09:47 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Sinner | BUY | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0xc464e2… |
| 05-28 13:09:47 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Alcaraz | SELL | 19 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xc464e2… |
| 05-28 13:09:47 | Large-Calorie 0xe44b…6e0a | Alcaraz | BUY | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0xc464e2… |
| 05-28 13:08:10 | Snoopy-Sombrero 0xe5a9…875a | Sinner | SELL | 18 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x895c94… |
| 05-28 13:08:10 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Sinner | BUY | 18 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x895c94… |