Insubstantial-Trench — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$487

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

1,483

Trades

2,642

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-29 22:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 44% -$245

Other

36% 38% -$254

Politics

12% 33% +$12

Tech

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$255	164	164	+0	Yes	+$14	04-12 22:14
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	2	$254	142	142	+0	Yes	-$4	04-12 23:27
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$135	77	77	+0	Yes	+$18	04-12 19:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	6	$110	109	107	+2	Yes	-$24	04-14 00:26
will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	6	$93	71	71	+0	open	—	07-28 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 22?	3	$80	44	44	+0	Yes	+$6	07-22 10:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 14:20 UTC	3	$71	43	43	+0	Down	+$13	07-07 14:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$66	40	40	+0	Yes	+$14	04-12 19:55
lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24	3	$63	37	37	+0	KT Rolster	+$1	04-24 08:54
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$62	58	58	+0	Yes	-$21	04-12 01:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 18c	4	$60	75	73	+2	No	-$17	04-14 00:26
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$59	35	34	+0	Yes	+$4	04-13 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?	2	$55	33	33	+0	Yes	+$9	07-29 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:05 UTC	2	$55	47	47	+0	Up	+$22	07-06 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 10:35 UTC	2	$55	52	52	+0	Down	+$11	07-08 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?	3	$54	47	47	+0	Yes	+$38	07-29 13:34
will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	2	$54	57	0	+57	Yes	-$54	07-14 14:44
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 23c	2	$51	27	27	+0	No	+$2	04-17 22:04
highest temperature in milan on april 14 2026 19corhigher	2	$50	36	35	+1	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:27
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 84 85f	2	$47	45	43	+2	Yes	+$39	04-14 23:23
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 82 83f	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	04-17 22:04
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 22c	4	$40	29	28	+0	Yes	+$1	04-18 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 05:10 UTC	5	$39	40	40	+0	Down	+$4	06-29 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 10:30 UTC	2	$37	29	29	+0	Up	+$9	07-08 10:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:40 UTC	4	$36	35	35	+0	Down	+$10	07-10 14:41
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 17c	4	$36	37	36	+1	Yes	+$7	04-15 23:25
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	6	$36	28	28	+0	Natus Vincere	+$4	04-25 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 05:05 UTC	2	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$10	06-29 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$13	05-21 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 21?	4	$32	29	29	+0	Yes	+$8	07-21 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 22:04:29	Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xe9d89f…
07-29 22:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x19c1ed…
07-29 22:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0xe33443…
07-29 22:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	99	15¢	$15	0x2074a1…
07-29 22:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0xf1576f…
07-29 13:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7446d1…
07-29 13:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x57f847…
07-29 13:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x755e4b…
07-29 13:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xd2e872…
07-29 12:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x41749b…
07-29 12:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x12fa86…
07-29 11:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0xef5448…
07-29 11:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcaa559…
07-29 10:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xec3fed…
07-29 10:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x47c34a…
07-29 09:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xfad0b9…
07-29 09:48:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0xe78ac8…
07-29 09:24:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8aa4bc…
07-29 09:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0xebd2ea…
07-29 08:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xd719fe…
07-29 08:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xe3b103…
07-29 08:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xf938b9…
07-29 08:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x436463…
07-29 07:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0xb0de2c…
07-29 06:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xf1ab14…
07-29 05:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x18f886…
07-29 05:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x1a30d8…
07-29 03:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0xbf9e70…
07-29 03:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	82	31¢	$25	0xeb1347…
07-29 02:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x319e47…
07-29 02:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x3d9187…
07-29 02:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x8d5a68…
07-29 02:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	76	3¢	$2	0xe6f93e…
07-29 02:01:29	Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xdfdd4c…
07-29 02:01:18	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x7e4704…
07-29 02:01:06	Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x9759bc…
07-29 02:00:56	Nothing Ever Happens: July	Nothing	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xddb29c…
07-29 02:00:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xf4be0d…
07-28 23:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	302	1¢	$2	0x3bab8f…
07-28 23:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0xf12ff5…
07-28 23:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x7949bf…
07-28 23:41:29	US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x12899d…
07-28 23:41:17	Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x7daef1…
07-28 23:38:01	US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x5eda38…
07-28 23:37:50	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x0f51e2…
07-28 23:37:40	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x6c0a1d…
07-28 23:37:28	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x6e4635…
07-28 23:34:25	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xf67ecb…
07-28 23:34:10	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x91df44…
07-28 23:31:11	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xa38b40…
07-28 23:30:53	Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xa154d2…
07-28 23:30:41	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	SELL	14	39¢	$6	0xd14fb2…
07-28 23:30:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x65f7b3…
07-28 23:29:43	Will Doctor Doom die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x94a82a…
07-28 23:29:23	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xbf5a33…
07-28 23:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	36	19¢	$7	0x84f19a…
07-28 23:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xd1d2e8…
07-28 12:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0xd63161…
07-28 11:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x3cf866…
07-28 11:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xf7ef69…
07-28 11:34:19	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xe91627…
07-28 10:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x190e00…
07-28 10:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0x6a14a8…
07-28 10:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0x7b506b…
07-28 09:35:25	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xa36256…
07-28 09:34:56	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x2cfb0b…
07-28 09:34:32	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x14cd6b…
07-28 09:33:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0xafc410…
07-28 07:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x818e08…
07-28 06:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x8bc231…
07-28 04:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xec42b9…
07-28 04:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xec34dd…
07-28 02:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x446e4e…
07-28 00:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xf3c30b…
07-28 00:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x2772af…
07-28 00:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xe6e684…
07-27 23:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf2242b…
07-27 13:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2858ea…
07-27 13:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8a1f9e…
07-27 12:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfcc05e…
07-27 12:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 27?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x9f4426…
07-27 12:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x67bb04…
07-27 12:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 27?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x923365…
07-27 10:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 27?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4bf294…
07-27 10:24:09	lol t1a nsea 2026 07 27	T1 Academy	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd5b552…
07-27 09:59:39	lol t1a nsea 2026 07 27	T1 Academy	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x90a674…
07-27 08:30:03	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xae3033…
07-27 08:29:49	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0xcc181f…
07-27 04:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on July 27?	Yes	SELL	408	0¢	$0	0x0a7f8a…
07-27 04:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	47	6¢	$3	0x42c104…
07-27 04:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x869f19…
07-27 04:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xcd24f3…
07-27 04:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on July 27?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x615c09…
07-27 03:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x22e66e…
07-27 00:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x06f3bb…
07-26 21:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xb73622…
07-26 21:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x31f857…
07-26 11:57:33	lol cfo dcg 2026 07 26 game1	CTBC Flying Oyster	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x96b24f…
07-26 11:34:51	lol cfo dcg 2026 07 26 game1	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xdf0f1b…
07-26 11:31:30	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x3f4d8f…