Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
763
lifetime
Volume
$4.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$16
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 06-10 00:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
97%
Politics
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-09 21:46
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 $-0 06-09 19:45
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +2 $1 49¢ $1 $-0 06-10 00:33
Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026? No +2 $1 41¢ $1 $-0 06-09 16:25
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +3 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No +4 $2 18¢ $1 $-2 06-09 17:14
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +1 $1 37¢ $1 $-0 06-09 20:33
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $0 $-1 06-09 16:31