Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
882
lifetime
Volume
$6.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$283
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 06-30 13:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
37% 0% $-0
Crypto
34%
Politics
25% 0% $-2
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 329 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -70 $-43 84¢ $-59 $-16 06-03 02:35
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +577 $75 $49 $-26 06-14 13:33
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -38 $-30 86¢ $-32 $-2 06-14 15:05
Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -15 $-11 99¢ $-15 $-3 06-02 13:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? Yes -399 $-18 $-13 +$5 06-14 13:52
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +15 $12 65¢ $10 $-3 06-12 20:45
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -11 $-7 74¢ $-8 $-1 06-14 00:40
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-14 22¢ $-8 +$6 06-14 13:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-8 16¢ $-6 +$2 06-14 13:52
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +156 $5 $6 +$1 06-30 10:51
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-5 15¢ $-5 $-0 06-14 13:30
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +83 $5 $5 +$0 06-30 11:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +78 $5 $5 $-0 06-30 11:40
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +85 $5 $5 $-0 06-30 10:51
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +6 $-3 76¢ $5 +$8 06-10 15:59
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 06-30 11:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $5 14¢ $5 $-0 06-30 12:25
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +42 $5 12¢ $5 $-0 06-30 11:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +50 $5 10¢ $5 $-0 06-30 10:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No +5 $7 87¢ $5 $-2 06-14 16:15
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $5 $5 $-0 06-30 11:05
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +50 $5 $4 $-0 06-30 11:05
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +110 $4 $4 +$0 06-30 10:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-14 23:40
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +3 $3 84¢ $3 $-0 06-14 15:05
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 65¢ $2 +$0 06-30 12:15
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -4 $-1 57¢ $-2 $-1 06-02 23:25
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $3 $2 $-1 06-30 13:20
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? Yes +136 $2 $2 $-0 06-30 10:50
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $1 30¢ $-2 $-3 06-14 13:52