Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
904
lifetime
Volume
$6.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$203
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 07-13 15:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
37% 0% $-0
Crypto
34%
Politics
25% 0% $-2
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 329 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +577 $75 10¢ $55 $-20 06-14 13:33
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -38 $-30 88¢ $-33 $-3 06-14 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -70 $-43 44¢ $-31 +$11 06-03 02:35
Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -15 $-11 100¢ $-15 $-3 06-02 13:46
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +15 $12 77¢ $12 $-1 06-12 20:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? Yes -399 $-18 $-11 +$7 06-14 13:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -11 $-7 78¢ $-9 $-2 06-14 00:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +6 $-3 82¢ $5 +$8 06-10 15:59
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No +5 $7 88¢ $5 $-2 06-14 16:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-14 12¢ $-4 +$10 06-14 13:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-8 11¢ $-4 +$4 06-14 13:52
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-14 15:05
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-14 13:30
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $1 42¢ $-2 $-3 06-14 13:52
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -4 $-1 54¢ $-2 $-1 06-02 23:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 28¢ $-2 $-1 06-14 13:52
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +98 $2 $1 $-0 06-30 10:50
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +1 $6 93¢ $1 $-5 06-14 15:05
Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +11 $11 10¢ $1 $-10 06-08 11:08
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $1 $1 $-0 06-30 12:45
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +46 $2 $1 $-1 06-30 10:50
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +32 $2 $1 $-1 07-13 15:25
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-0 06-30 10:51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? Yes -15 $0 $-0 $-1 06-14 13:52
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +9 $0 $0 +$0 06-30 10:51
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes +29 $1 $0 $-0 06-30 10:51
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $9 77¢ $0 $-8 06-14 13:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-0 56¢ $0 +$1 06-30 11:35
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 06-14 08:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-0 80¢ $0 +$0 06-30 12:35