Stormy-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

904

lifetime

Volume

$6.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-13 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

37% 0% $-0

Crypto

34% — —

Politics

25% 0% $-2

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 329 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	48	$533	338	364	-26	open	—	06-03 08:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	30	$466	271	232	+38	open	—	06-03 07:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	52	$448	417	320	+97	open	—	06-14 14:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	17	$413	313	383	-70	open	—	06-30 11:35
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	22	$337	186	186	+0	open	—	06-03 06:55
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$314	203	202	+0	open	—	06-30 10:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	16	$235	158	135	+23	open	—	06-03 10:05
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	9	$211	128	128	+0	open	—	06-29 01:00
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	27	$197	153	138	+15	open	—	06-12 20:45
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	27	$187	110	109	+1	open	—	06-14 15:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	20	$159	94	94	+0	open	—	06-30 12:20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	27	$152	100	111	-11	open	—	06-14 00:40
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$148	160	159	+1	open	—	06-21 22:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	50	$142	86	126	-39	open	—	06-05 21:57
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	24	$134	61	99	-38	open	—	06-14 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$107	123	123	+0	open	—	06-30 12:35
bitcoin above 60k on june 30 2026	2	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	06-30 10:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	17	$85	55	56	-1	open	—	06-14 16:15
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	37	$77	587	10	+577	open	—	06-14 13:33
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$66	100	135	-35	open	—	06-14 13:30
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	38	$66	91	91	+0	open	—	06-14 13:52
Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	06-02 12:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	32	$53	2,208	2,729	-521	open	—	06-02 15:27
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?	8	$48	113	113	+0	open	—	06-14 13:52
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$46	896	895	+1	open	—	06-17 09:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	13	$44	31	27	+3	open	—	06-14 23:40
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	5	$41	58	58	+0	open	—	06-14 13:52
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	06-14 13:52
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	4	$36	27	27	+0	open	—	06-08 11:40
Blue wave in 2026?	2	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	06-02 21:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 15:25:22	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x514d89…
07-08 00:30:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 8 2026	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xf1f002…
07-08 00:00:10	bitcoin above 62k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4acc85…
07-07 16:40:23	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0x933e9e…
07-07 03:30:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xce6c51…
07-07 03:00:07	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd061f4…
07-06 04:00:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x15f736…
07-06 03:30:08	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x727d85…
07-03 09:26:04	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x644774…
07-03 09:26:02	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0x4c8afb…
07-02 19:55:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xc6e285…
07-02 19:55:29	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0xc02700…
07-02 19:55:16	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x323d0a…
07-02 19:55:13	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x803f35…
07-02 19:55:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xaed2ed…
07-02 19:55:10	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	3¢	$3	0xe68cf1…
07-02 19:54:58	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x69e713…
07-02 19:54:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x14677b…
07-02 19:54:44	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0xe8592c…
07-02 19:54:43	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0xb9e2f7…
07-02 18:51:13	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0xa0b5fb…
07-02 17:55:43	Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	156	3¢	$5	0xbd146d…
06-30 13:20:22	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x9acb60…
06-30 13:20:08	sol updown 5m 1782827400	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xd8efad…
06-30 13:20:07	btc updown 15m 1782825300	Down	BUY	33	22¢	$7	0x48f032…
06-30 13:20:07	sol updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1f8826…
06-30 13:05:20	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x91bd47…
06-30 12:50:22	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x7403e3…
06-30 12:50:07	btc updown 15m 1782823500	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xa48b9d…
06-30 12:50:07	sol updown 5m 1782826200	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x585c44…
06-30 12:50:07	sol updown 5m 1782827100	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3a818b…
06-30 12:45:22	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x39b887…
06-30 12:40:20	eth updown 4h 1782820800	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x087cf0…
06-30 12:35:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xe3fcc0…
06-30 12:35:22	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xb8870d…
06-30 12:30:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xe5d059…
06-30 12:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe73192…
06-30 12:25:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdb10f9…
06-30 12:25:22	Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9627cd…
06-30 12:20:22	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xfd73ea…
06-30 12:20:22	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xd72fba…
06-30 12:20:22	eth updown 4h 1782820800	Down	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xc0e935…
06-30 12:15:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x1a5907…
06-30 12:15:22	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0xdc49c5…
06-30 12:10:22	Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0x736f86…
06-30 12:10:22	bnb updown 4h 1782820800	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$2	0x029828…
06-30 12:05:22	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xd4dfe0…
06-30 12:00:22	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xcbf13a…
06-30 11:55:22	Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x2ce73e…
06-30 11:50:22	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x9772e2…
06-30 11:45:22	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x850b96…
06-30 11:40:44	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd375dd…
06-30 11:40:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x05d117…
06-30 11:40:41	Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2326e5…
06-30 11:40:37	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc94e8e…
06-30 11:40:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xe6d17f…
06-30 11:40:23	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7b2d7e…
06-30 11:40:23	btc updown 15m 1782819000	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x3ab2ea…
06-30 11:40:22	Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x56dd38…
06-30 11:35:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x58394d…
06-30 11:35:22	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xc87bd4…
06-30 11:30:22	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x6e6cf4…
06-30 11:30:22	btc updown 4h 1782820800	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x5a18d9…
06-30 11:25:46	Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	4¢	$5	0x324404…
06-30 11:25:43	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xaf35c2…
06-30 11:25:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x685153…
06-30 11:25:23	xrp up or down on june 30 2026	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xe8cadd…
06-30 11:25:22	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 30	No	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0xc5969a…
06-30 11:15:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x484e3f…
06-30 11:15:22	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x405604…
06-30 11:10:22	btc updown 15m 1782817200	Down	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x6cc6af…
06-30 11:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfe834c…
06-30 11:05:47	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x2b1d98…
06-30 11:05:46	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0404d0…
06-30 11:05:44	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x52edca…
06-30 11:05:43	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa8e477…
06-30 11:05:38	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0297d6…
06-30 11:05:37	Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x46886d…
06-30 11:05:22	doge updown 4h 1782806400	Down	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xc3364b…
06-30 11:05:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xa52c7a…
06-30 11:00:25	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xf7b49a…
06-30 11:00:23	xrp up or down on june 30 2026	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x37abd2…
06-30 11:00:22	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x1f461f…
06-30 10:51:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8193a7…
06-30 10:51:17	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x503609…
06-30 10:51:14	Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x32b980…
06-30 10:51:13	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x916490…
06-30 10:51:10	Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x2bbe14…
06-30 10:51:07	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xb5e092…
06-30 10:51:05	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0xb25c43…
06-30 10:50:56	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	110	4¢	$4	0x4bafbb…
06-30 10:50:55	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$2	0x6b3bd5…
06-30 10:50:46	Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$2	0x656f09…
06-30 10:50:34	Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x16283b…
06-30 10:50:07	bnb updown 4h 1782820800	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x105221…
06-30 10:35:08	btc updown 15m 1782817200	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xe4adef…
06-30 10:35:08	btc updown 5m 1782816000	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x1b6027…
06-30 10:35:07	btc updown 15m 1782819000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x64f6d6…
06-30 10:30:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	66	80¢	$52	0x58760e…
06-30 10:30:22	bitcoin above 60k on june 30 2026	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0x4b49ce…