Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$794
Trades
77
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$769
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-06-11
last 08-05 18:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $70 | — | +$70 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $211 | $87 | +$124 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $54 | $59 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $148 | $12 | +$136 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $6 | $11 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $124 | — | +$124 |
| Median | 4 | $223 | — | +$223 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $34 | $34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $11 | $24 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $69 | $13 | +$55 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $21 | $65 | $44 |
| unranked | 7 | $30 | $12 | +$18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | O 74.5 | +209 | $179 | $179 | 5 | 07-25 03:16 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | +207 | $65 | $65 | 6 | 06-28 15:51 |
| Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | O 74.5 | +70 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 07-06 13:35 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | U 74.5 | +65 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 08-04 04:00 |
| Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | U 74.5 | +65 | $17 | $50 | 7 | 08-05 16:17 |
| Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 74.5 | +55 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-26 15:47 |
| Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | O 74.5 | +53 | $34 | $116 | 3 | 07-06 13:35 |
| Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | U 74.5 | +40 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-24 16:48 |
| Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 74.5 | +36 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-11 19:46 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | U 74.5 | +33 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-29 16:35 |
| Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | U 74.5 | +31 | $-2 | $17 | 4 | 08-04 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | O 74.5 | +25 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-24 17:44 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | U 74.5 | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-09 00:18 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | U 74.5 | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-04 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ea4…a547 | U 74.5 | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-04 04:01 |
| Vacant-Literate 0xe393…f016 | O 74.5 | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-09 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e24…8e62 | U 74.5 | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 11:52 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | O 74.5 | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-05 18:15 |
| Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | U 74.5 | +6 | $-1 | $2 | 4 | 08-05 18:15 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | O 74.5 | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-29 21:13 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | O 74.5 | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 21:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:15:05 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | O 74.5 | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8202a8… |
| 08-05 18:15:05 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | U 74.5 | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8202a8… |
| 08-05 16:17:51 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | U 74.5 | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc8d2ec… |
| 08-05 16:17:51 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | U 74.5 | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc8d2ec… |
| 08-04 08:57:29 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | U 74.5 | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x172acb… |
| 08-04 08:57:29 | (anonymous) 0xce98…5614 | U 74.5 | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x172acb… |
| 08-04 04:01:47 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | U 74.5 | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x468d6d… |
| 08-04 04:01:47 | (anonymous) 0x2ea4…a547 | U 74.5 | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x468d6d… |
| 08-04 04:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xce98…5614 | U 74.5 | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x468d6d… |
| 08-04 04:01:27 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | U 74.5 | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xeec69f… |
| 08-04 04:01:27 | (anonymous) 0xce98…5614 | U 74.5 | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xeec69f… |
| 08-04 04:00:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | U 74.5 | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xcd36a1… |
| 08-04 04:00:35 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | U 74.5 | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xcd36a1… |
| 08-04 03:03:18 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | U 74.5 | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x7815d6… |
| 08-04 03:03:18 | (anonymous) 0xce98…5614 | U 74.5 | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x7815d6… |
| 07-29 16:35:42 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | U 74.5 | BUY | 33 | 21¢ | $7 | 0xc31478… |
| 07-29 16:35:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | O 74.5 | SELL | 12 | 79¢ | $9 | 0xc31478… |
| 07-29 16:35:42 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | U 74.5 | SELL | 45 | 21¢ | $9 | 0xc31478… |
| 07-29 16:27:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | O 74.5 | SELL | 33 | 79¢ | $26 | 0x75ee5b… |
| 07-29 16:27:39 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | U 74.5 | SELL | 33 | 21¢ | $7 | 0x75ee5b… |
| 07-25 03:16:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | O 74.5 | BUY | 45 | 76¢ | $34 | 0x290de4… |
| 07-25 03:16:51 | JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | O 74.5 | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x290de4… |
| 07-25 03:16:51 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | U 74.5 | BUY | 65 | 24¢ | $16 | 0x290de4… |
| 07-25 01:46:48 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | U 74.5 | BUY | 40 | 22¢ | $9 | 0xe096d1… |
| 07-25 01:46:48 | JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | O 74.5 | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0xe096d1… |
| 07-24 17:44:49 | JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | O 74.5 | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x576a13… |
| 07-24 17:44:49 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | O 74.5 | BUY | 25 | 83¢ | $21 | 0x576a13… |
| 07-24 17:44:49 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | U 74.5 | BUY | 45 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x576a13… |
| 07-24 16:48:07 | JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | O 74.5 | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0xe580e7… |
| 07-24 16:48:07 | Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | U 74.5 | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xe580e7… |
| 07-24 15:40:00 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | U 74.5 | BUY | 34 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x819a68… |
| 07-24 15:40:00 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | U 74.5 | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x2c4341… |
| 07-24 15:40:00 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | U 74.5 | SELL | 34 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x819a68… |
| 07-24 15:40:00 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | U 74.5 | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x2c4341… |
| 07-22 16:39:55 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | O 74.5 | SELL | 16 | 91¢ | $15 | 0x48dc07… |
| 07-22 16:39:55 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | U 74.5 | SELL | 16 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x48dc07… |
| 07-21 11:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | U 74.5 | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x28c655… |
| 07-21 11:45:55 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | U 74.5 | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x28c655… |
| 07-21 11:45:55 | JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | O 74.5 | BUY | 89 | 91¢ | $81 | 0x28c655… |
| 07-17 03:40:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | U 74.5 | SELL | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x154538… |
| 07-17 03:40:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | O 74.5 | SELL | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x154538… |
| 07-11 15:16:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | O 74.5 | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x7c1e45… |
| 07-11 15:16:28 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | O 74.5 | SELL | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x7c1e45… |
| 07-10 04:30:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | U 74.5 | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfbe5b2… |
| 07-10 04:30:07 | Villainous-Puffin 0xa245…bf9e | U 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfbe5b2… |
| 07-09 21:58:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | U 74.5 | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x489ea7… |
| 07-09 21:58:50 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | O 74.5 | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x489ea7… |
| 07-09 11:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x2e24…8e62 | U 74.5 | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xac19fc… |
| 07-09 11:52:23 | Vacant-Literate 0xe393…f016 | O 74.5 | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xac19fc… |
| 07-09 00:18:49 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | O 74.5 | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0xa16b96… |
| 07-09 00:18:49 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | U 74.5 | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xa16b96… |
| 07-06 13:35:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | U 74.5 | BUY | 24 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x3e80ef… |
| 07-06 13:35:01 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | O 74.5 | SELL | 46 | 77¢ | $35 | 0x3e80ef… |
| 07-06 13:35:01 | Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | O 74.5 | BUY | 70 | 77¢ | $54 | 0x3e80ef… |
| 07-03 23:07:58 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | O 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x865efe… |
| 07-03 23:07:58 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | U 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x865efe… |
| 07-03 23:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | U 74.5 | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xd2a3a9… |
| 07-03 23:07:31 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | U 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xd2a3a9… |
| 06-29 21:13:28 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 74.5 | SELL | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x30ed5e… |
| 06-29 21:13:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | O 74.5 | BUY | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x30ed5e… |
| 06-29 00:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | U 74.5 | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x1efcc4… |
| 06-29 00:52:32 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 74.5 | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x1efcc4… |
| 06-28 15:51:50 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xfe9a10… |
| 06-28 15:51:50 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | O 74.5 | BUY | 107 | 70¢ | $75 | 0xfe9a10… |
| 06-26 15:47:05 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 55 | 33¢ | $18 | 0x180f70… |
| 06-26 15:47:05 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 74.5 | BUY | 55 | 67¢ | $37 | 0x180f70… |
| 06-25 04:57:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | U 74.5 | BUY | 16 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x64362a… |
| 06-25 04:57:32 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | O 74.5 | BUY | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0x64362a… |
| 06-12 14:52:28 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 17 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x026fbd… |
| 06-12 14:52:28 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 74.5 | SELL | 17 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x026fbd… |
| 06-12 14:52:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | O 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xc62d31… |
| 06-12 14:52:16 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xc62d31… |
| 06-11 19:46:42 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x2d67e1… |
| 06-11 19:46:42 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 74.5 | BUY | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x2d67e1… |
| 06-11 01:28:52 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | U 74.5 | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x34dc9b… |
| 06-11 01:28:52 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 74.5 | BUY | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x34dc9b… |
| 06-11 01:28:52 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x34dc9b… |