Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$224
Trades
23
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$769
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-03 23:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $11 | $66 | $55 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $141 | $3 | +$139 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $75 | — | +$75 |
| Median | 1 | $37 | — | +$37 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $11 | $1 | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $65 | $65 |
| unranked | 4 | $30 | $5 | +$25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | +207 | $65 | $65 | 6 | 06-28 15:51 |
| Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | O 74.5 | +99 | $69 | $81 | 2 | 07-03 23:07 |
| Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 74.5 | +55 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-26 15:47 |
| Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 74.5 | +36 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-11 19:46 |
| Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | O 74.5 | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-25 04:57 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | U 74.5 | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-25 04:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | U 74.5 | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 00:52 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | O 74.5 | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-29 21:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 23:07:58 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | O 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x865efe… |
| 07-03 23:07:58 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | U 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x865efe… |
| 07-03 23:07:31 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | U 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xd2a3a9… |
| 07-03 23:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | U 74.5 | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xd2a3a9… |
| 06-29 21:13:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | O 74.5 | BUY | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x30ed5e… |
| 06-29 21:13:28 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 74.5 | SELL | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x30ed5e… |
| 06-29 00:52:32 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 74.5 | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x1efcc4… |
| 06-29 00:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | U 74.5 | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x1efcc4… |
| 06-28 15:51:50 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xfe9a10… |
| 06-28 15:51:50 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | O 74.5 | BUY | 107 | 70¢ | $75 | 0xfe9a10… |
| 06-26 15:47:05 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 55 | 33¢ | $18 | 0x180f70… |
| 06-26 15:47:05 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 74.5 | BUY | 55 | 67¢ | $37 | 0x180f70… |
| 06-25 04:57:32 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | O 74.5 | BUY | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0x64362a… |
| 06-25 04:57:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | U 74.5 | BUY | 16 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x64362a… |
| 06-12 14:52:28 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 17 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x026fbd… |
| 06-12 14:52:28 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 74.5 | SELL | 17 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x026fbd… |
| 06-12 14:52:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | O 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xc62d31… |
| 06-12 14:52:16 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 74.5 | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xc62d31… |
| 06-11 19:46:42 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 74.5 | BUY | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x2d67e1… |
| 06-11 19:46:42 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x2d67e1… |
| 06-11 01:28:52 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 74.5 | BUY | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x34dc9b… |
| 06-11 01:28:52 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 74.5 | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x34dc9b… |
| 06-11 01:28:52 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | U 74.5 | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x34dc9b… |