Vacant-Literate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$224

Unrealized P&L

-$177

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

756

Trades

7,299

lifetime

Volume

$373.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$1.42K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-29 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Sports

48% 58% -$3,821

Other

45% 50% +$3,335

Politics

4% 71% +$1,082

Crypto

2% 40% -$321

Tech

0% 0% -$51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+450	$338	96¢	$434	+$96	08-30 23:56
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,200	$471	25¢	$305	-$166	10-18 14:02
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+200	$161	84¢	$168	+$7	10-25 14:19
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+900	$202	18¢	$158	-$44	10-26 01:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+300	$153	38¢	$116	-$37	10-22 16:49
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	+100	$95	98¢	$98	+$3	09-11 22:26
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+300	$106	22¢	$68	-$38	10-20 19:24
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	+300	$39	16¢	$47	+$8	10-27 04:29
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	+200	$34	15¢	$29	-$5	10-18 01:27
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	07-16 12:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	76	$12.3K	21,000	25,640	-4,640	Michigan Wolverines	+$1,428	04-07 01:08
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	34	$11.0K	12,567	15,066	-2,499	Duke Blue Devils	+$807	03-28 01:14
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	42	$8.2K	9,000	24,000	-15,000	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$3,750	03-28 19:29
cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	78	$7.4K	11,036	10,637	+399	Purdue Boilermakers	+$8	03-27 01:30
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	142	$5.8K	5,057	5,054	+3	Yes	+$12	06-23 22:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	12	$5.3K	9,700	9,700	+0	Yes	+$59	06-13 13:56
nba por sas 2026 04 08	17	$5.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	Spurs	+$400	04-09 03:27
will violet bridgerton get engaged in bridgerton season 4	52	$4.9K	13,386	3,904	+9,482	Yes	-$4,178	02-26 07:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	52	$4.8K	7,831	10,170	-2,339	No	+$740	05-27 15:35
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26 spread home 7pt5	14	$4.6K	3,000	7,000	-4,000	Arizona Wildcats	+$1,810	03-26 21:20
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	28	$4.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$167	03-22 18:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$4.2K	7,400	7,400	+0	No	+$74	06-13 17:06
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	33	$4.1K	7,000	5,000	+2,000	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$254	03-27 04:10
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	86	$4.1K	3,357	3,357	+0	Yes	-$18	06-23 22:38
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$4.0K	4,049	0	+4,049	No	+$49	01-07 20:12
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	34	$3.9K	4,000	3,934	+66	Tennessee Volunteers	-$41	03-22 22:23
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	86	$3.7K	2,362	1,746	+615	No	+$114	09-23 04:38
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	7	$3.4K	4,871	2,000	+2,871	Alabama Crimson Tide	-$426	03-23 01:24
nba ind cle 2026 04 05	38	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Cavaliers	+$100	04-05 23:59
cbb txam hou 2026 03 21	9	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	-0	Houston Cougars	+$20	03-21 22:28
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	3	$3.3K	6,507	0	+6,507	Michigan Wolverines	+$3,253	04-04 21:00
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	3	$3.2K	2,000	7,000	-5,000	Knicks	+$1,800	04-09 21:42
nba min hou 2026 04 10	36	$3.2K	3,484	3,456	+28	Timberwolves	-$3,261	04-11 02:59
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	65	$3.1K	4,189	4,189	+0	open	—	09-28 13:52
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	24	$2.9K	1,740	2,000	-260	Spurs	-$65	05-13 01:44
nba gsw lac 2026 04 12	12	$2.8K	1,000	3,000	-2,000	Clippers	-$590	04-13 01:23
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5	26	$2.8K	2,747	3,000	-253	Over	-$142	05-14 00:14
nba det cha 2026 04 10	23	$2.5K	3,039	2,425	+614	Pistons	-$333	04-11 00:54
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	14	$2.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+$160	03-22 02:45
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	15	$2.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	08-12 23:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:20:49	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x46e2e3…
10-29 20:47:12	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x9feb9d…
10-29 20:34:25	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x729087…
10-29 20:33:40	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	42¢	$125	0x56e456…
10-29 20:33:27	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$155	0x066846…
10-29 20:29:13	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0xaca0cb…
10-29 17:49:10	Will Mitchell Marner record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	31	66¢	$21	0xd56aff…
10-29 17:48:44	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x4fb79b…
10-29 16:43:20	Will Martin Necas record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf5f015…
10-29 12:12:46	Will Boston Celtics advance to the Eastern Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x1879ba…
10-29 09:00:31	Will Florida Panthers advance to the Eastern Conference Finals of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xea27ed…
10-29 03:53:49	Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0x69de67…
10-28 17:49:31	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	39	74¢	$29	0x7af85f…
10-28 14:32:38	Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x3e117a…
10-28 13:45:49	Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	414	0¢	$0	0x01a264…
10-28 08:19:13	Will Matthew Tkachuk record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0xb94ba4…
10-28 02:50:08	Will Christian Watson have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x0cfffe…
10-28 01:55:12	Will Edmonton Oilers be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?	No	BUY	186	84¢	$157	0xb80265…
10-27 23:08:35	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0x791cf9…
10-27 23:08:35	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x2f5068…
10-27 20:05:14	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	39	16¢	$6	0x8d159f…
10-27 19:16:06	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0xcc7bc2…
10-27 19:09:29	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x36432f…
10-27 19:00:20	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x54f54a…
10-27 19:00:18	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x04d66e…
10-27 19:00:11	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x18b616…
10-27 18:20:42	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0x5ee382…
10-27 16:01:56	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xba5e34…
10-27 14:02:08	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xef37ea…
10-27 14:02:03	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xab9620…
10-27 14:01:53	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x9eb7f8…
10-27 14:01:03	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xcdb037…
10-27 14:00:56	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xdc6a28…
10-27 14:00:50	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xf48023…
10-27 14:00:45	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xd41da3…
10-27 14:00:39	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xed9cf0…
10-27 14:00:30	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xcb8655…
10-27 12:19:24	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0xa96e4f…
10-27 12:18:15	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x4dd50c…
10-27 06:49:51	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x46896d…
10-27 06:49:50	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xf1d1a6…
10-27 06:49:50	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xf125a6…
10-27 06:49:50	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0xcd6a38…
10-27 06:49:50	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xa230e3…
10-27 06:49:50	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x7abbf4…
10-27 06:49:50	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0x24092b…
10-27 05:27:11	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x6467dd…
10-27 05:22:54	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xc809a2…
10-27 04:29:42	Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	97	13¢	$13	0x25d272…
10-27 04:29:42	Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	203	13¢	$26	0x11151d…
10-27 01:57:35	Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xe7275e…
10-27 00:35:05	Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x3ca13f…
10-27 00:14:26	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xfaf51c…
10-26 20:31:44	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x60b834…
10-26 19:30:53	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xfc2d8b…
10-26 14:53:24	Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x7e32ae…
10-26 14:53:24	Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	89	60¢	$53	0x143a3e…
10-26 13:35:24	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x145766…
10-26 13:35:23	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xc21343…
10-26 13:26:36	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x3a116d…
10-26 13:08:20	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x64c37c…
10-26 08:52:12	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x3567a5…
10-26 01:23:03	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xe01686…
10-26 01:17:06	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x903abe…
10-26 00:22:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x96db63…
10-25 17:07:44	Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?	No	SELL	41	72¢	$30	0x1fd9a9…
10-25 14:19:59	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x7e37c3…
10-25 08:00:14	Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0x0342d9…
10-25 08:00:02	Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0xfa426c…
10-25 08:00:02	Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xca0796…
10-25 08:00:02	Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x601030…
10-25 06:32:21	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	BUY	110	83¢	$91	0x8d3aac…
10-25 04:26:24	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xbc0e84…
10-25 04:26:21	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x7accf4…
10-25 02:41:50	Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xbfd248…
10-24 19:31:21	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x9a0d16…
10-24 19:30:50	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xa21570…
10-24 18:38:12	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xe3f766…
10-24 18:38:12	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0xaa71ae…
10-24 18:38:12	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xa6444e…
10-24 18:38:12	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9f768b…
10-24 18:38:12	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x615f25…
10-24 17:24:50	Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xb4911b…
10-24 17:24:50	Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x677789…
10-24 15:03:14	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xae79ed…
10-24 14:35:30	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x0c33b9…
10-24 14:18:32	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	76	42¢	$32	0xfdbf6f…
10-24 14:18:32	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	41¢	$24	0xba9c09…
10-24 14:18:32	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x61cded…
10-24 14:18:32	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0x5102de…
10-24 13:57:56	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x64dbfc…
10-24 13:10:11	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3ebcf2…
10-24 05:28:09	Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x121610…
10-24 05:09:29	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xf066b6…
10-24 05:09:26	Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdb7ea9…
10-24 03:04:59	Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x9f7dab…
10-24 03:04:56	Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6461e0…
10-24 03:04:56	Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x15f88e…
10-24 02:33:51	Will Minnesota Wild advance to the Western Conference Finals of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x86375c…
10-24 00:51:57	Will William Contreras lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	No	SELL	60	64¢	$38	0x9b6cc8…