Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
664
lifetime
Volume
$8.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$848
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-10 22:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69% 100% +$25
Politics
24%
Sports
3%
Pop-Culture
2%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +115 $10 100¢ $115 +$104 06-07 17:04
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +82 $75 92¢ $75 +$0 06-08 01:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +83 $75 88¢ $74 $-1 06-08 01:43
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +309 $75 24¢ $74 $-1 06-08 01:43
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +203 $75 36¢ $72 $-3 06-08 01:43
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 84.5 +102 $75 70¢ $71 $-4 06-08 01:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +114 $75 60¢ $69 $-6 06-08 01:43
Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 78.5 +95 $75 65¢ $62 $-13 06-08 01:43
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +81 $75 76¢ $61 $-14 06-08 01:43
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +49 $43 88¢ $43 $-0 06-08 01:49
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +49 $35 75¢ $37 +$2 06-10 22:07
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +187 $71 18¢ $34 $-37 06-06 16:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +32 $18 76¢ $24 +$6 06-07 19:55
Will the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 80.5 +40 $30 54¢ $21 $-9 06-07 16:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +55 $12 32¢ $17 +$5 06-08 22:41