Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$664
Trades
49
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$455
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-06-07
last 08-10 03:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+88.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 12% YES on $520)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $31 | $150 | $119 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $20 | $308 | $288 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $79 | $76 |
| Median | 2 | — | $36 | $36 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $323 | $323 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $12 | $10 | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $19 | $6 | +$14 |
| unranked | 4 | $20 | $4 | +$16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trusting-Hearing 0xd41b…83a4 | U 78.5 | +212 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 08-10 03:58 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | +147 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 08-10 03:58 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 78.5 | +65 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 08-10 03:58 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 78.5 | +58 | $51 | $175 | 4 | 08-02 18:25 |
| Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | O 78.5 | +58 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 08-10 03:58 |
| Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | U 78.5 | +48 | $34 | $116 | 2 | 07-18 18:51 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | O 78.5 | +37 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-10 03:58 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | O 78.5 | +32 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 07-30 02:29 |
| Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 78.5 | +23 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-28 17:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | +17 | $2 | $19 | 12 | 08-05 21:36 |
| Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 78.5 | +14 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 04:00 |
| Dishonest-Classification 0x4e87…179b | U 78.5 | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-13 05:58 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 78.5 | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-07 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | U 78.5 | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 04:00 |
| Informal-Index-Discovery 0x53ec…df91 | O 78.5 | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb720…da75 | U 78.5 | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-10 03:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 03:58:16 | (anonymous) 0xb720…da75 | U 78.5 | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe67170… |
| 08-10 03:58:16 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe67170… |
| 08-10 03:58:15 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | O 78.5 | BUY | 37 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x9f5674… |
| 08-10 03:58:15 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | O 78.5 | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9f5674… |
| 08-10 03:58:15 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 78.5 | BUY | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x9f5674… |
| 08-10 03:58:15 | Trusting-Hearing 0xd41b…83a4 | U 78.5 | BUY | 212 | 94¢ | $200 | 0x9f5674… |
| 08-10 03:58:15 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | BUY | 84 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x9f5674… |
| 08-05 21:36:11 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 78.5 | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xa99615… |
| 08-05 21:36:11 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xa99615… |
| 08-05 21:32:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x38d926… |
| 08-05 21:32:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x38d926… |
| 08-02 18:25:23 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 78.5 | BUY | 70 | 87¢ | $61 | 0x5a8bb6… |
| 08-02 18:25:23 | JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | U 78.5 | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x5a8bb6… |
| 08-02 18:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | BUY | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x5a8bb6… |
| 08-02 18:25:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 78.5 | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x5a8bb6… |
| 07-30 02:29:30 | JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | U 78.5 | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x906479… |
| 07-30 02:29:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | O 78.5 | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x906479… |
| 07-28 17:43:43 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | U 78.5 | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xedba05… |
| 07-28 17:43:43 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xedba05… |
| 07-19 16:23:15 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | U 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x2e72eb… |
| 07-19 16:23:15 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 78.5 | SELL | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x2e72eb… |
| 07-19 16:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | SELL | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x2e72eb… |
| 07-19 16:08:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 78.5 | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4df03e… |
| 07-19 16:08:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4df03e… |
| 07-19 16:08:31 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 78.5 | SELL | 62 | 91¢ | $56 | 0x4df03e… |
| 07-19 16:08:31 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 78.5 | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x4df03e… |
| 07-18 18:51:16 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | U 78.5 | SELL | 48 | 85¢ | $41 | 0x631346… |
| 07-18 18:51:16 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x631346… |
| 07-18 18:51:16 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 78.5 | BUY | 62 | 85¢ | $52 | 0x631346… |
| 07-18 17:32:34 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 78.5 | BUY | 17 | 84¢ | $14 | 0x0b763d… |
| 07-18 17:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | BUY | 17 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x0b763d… |
| 07-13 05:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf8ac38… |
| 07-13 05:58:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf8ac38… |
| 07-13 05:58:49 | Dishonest-Classification 0x4e87…179b | U 78.5 | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xf8ac38… |
| 06-29 21:13:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x346f29… |
| 06-29 21:13:26 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 78.5 | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x346f29… |
| 06-29 00:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 78.5 | SELL | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xb5fa7b… |
| 06-29 00:11:14 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xb5fa7b… |
| 06-16 14:41:44 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | O 78.5 | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf2aa74… |
| 06-16 14:41:44 | Informal-Index-Discovery 0x53ec…df91 | O 78.5 | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf2aa74… |
| 06-11 04:00:03 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 78.5 | BUY | 14 | 48¢ | $6 | 0x9f9a95… |
| 06-11 04:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | SELL | 8 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x9f9a95… |
| 06-11 04:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | U 78.5 | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x9f9a95… |
| 06-08 01:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x8d5c04… |
| 06-08 01:43:19 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | U 78.5 | BUY | 95 | 79¢ | $75 | 0x8d5c04… |
| 06-08 01:43:19 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | BUY | 62 | 21¢ | $13 | 0x8d5c04… |
| 06-08 01:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 78.5 | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x8d5c04… |
| 06-07 16:33:28 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 78.5 | SELL | 11 | 51¢ | $6 | 0xef7949… |
| 06-07 16:33:28 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 78.5 | BUY | 11 | 51¢ | $6 | 0xef7949… |