Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$340
Trades
30
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$455
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-19 16:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+81.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 19% YES on $215)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $21 | $10 | +$12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $2 | $63 | $60 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $16 | $102 | $85 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $79 | $79 |
| Median | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $63 | $63 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $13 | $6 | +$7 |
| unranked | 3 | $16 | $3 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | +62 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-08 01:43 |
| Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | U 78.5 | +48 | $34 | $116 | 2 | 07-18 18:51 |
| Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 78.5 | +17 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-18 17:32 |
| Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 78.5 | +14 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 04:00 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | O 78.5 | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-13 05:58 |
| Dishonest-Classification 0x4e87…179b | U 78.5 | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-13 05:58 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 78.5 | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-07 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | U 78.5 | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-19 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | U 78.5 | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 04:00 |
| Informal-Index-Discovery 0x53ec…df91 | O 78.5 | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 14:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 16:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | SELL | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x2e72eb… |
| 07-19 16:23:15 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | U 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x2e72eb… |
| 07-19 16:23:15 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 78.5 | SELL | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x2e72eb… |
| 07-19 16:08:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 78.5 | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4df03e… |
| 07-19 16:08:31 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 78.5 | SELL | 62 | 91¢ | $56 | 0x4df03e… |
| 07-19 16:08:31 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 78.5 | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x4df03e… |
| 07-19 16:08:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4df03e… |
| 07-18 18:51:16 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x631346… |
| 07-18 18:51:16 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 78.5 | BUY | 62 | 85¢ | $52 | 0x631346… |
| 07-18 18:51:16 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | U 78.5 | SELL | 48 | 85¢ | $41 | 0x631346… |
| 07-18 17:32:34 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 78.5 | BUY | 17 | 84¢ | $14 | 0x0b763d… |
| 07-18 17:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | BUY | 17 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x0b763d… |
| 07-13 05:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf8ac38… |
| 07-13 05:58:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf8ac38… |
| 07-13 05:58:49 | Dishonest-Classification 0x4e87…179b | U 78.5 | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xf8ac38… |
| 06-29 21:13:26 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 78.5 | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x346f29… |
| 06-29 21:13:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x346f29… |
| 06-29 00:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 78.5 | SELL | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xb5fa7b… |
| 06-29 00:11:14 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xb5fa7b… |
| 06-16 14:41:44 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | O 78.5 | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf2aa74… |
| 06-16 14:41:44 | Informal-Index-Discovery 0x53ec…df91 | O 78.5 | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf2aa74… |
| 06-11 04:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | SELL | 8 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x9f9a95… |
| 06-11 04:00:03 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 78.5 | BUY | 14 | 48¢ | $6 | 0x9f9a95… |
| 06-11 04:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | U 78.5 | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x9f9a95… |
| 06-08 01:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x8d5c04… |
| 06-08 01:43:19 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | BUY | 62 | 21¢ | $13 | 0x8d5c04… |
| 06-08 01:43:19 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | U 78.5 | BUY | 95 | 79¢ | $75 | 0x8d5c04… |
| 06-08 01:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 78.5 | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x8d5c04… |
| 06-07 16:33:28 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | U 78.5 | SELL | 11 | 51¢ | $6 | 0xef7949… |
| 06-07 16:33:28 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 78.5 | BUY | 11 | 51¢ | $6 | 0xef7949… |