Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f13…891a9f
bot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved
3,918
Trades
85,606
lifetime
Volume
$85.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$16
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 13:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Other
51% 28% -$15
Politics
23% 33% -$81
Crypto
10% 30% -$114
Sports
9% 40% -$10
Pop-Culture
4% 47% +$61
Tech
4% 49% +$155
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -7 $0 88¢ $-6 -$6 04-30 21:13
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +4 $1 90¢ $4 +$2 05-18 04:07
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes -2 $0 100¢ $-2 -$3 08-13 23:53
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +4 $2 45¢ $2 +$0 05-12 05:03
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -4 -$3 10¢ $-0 +$3 09-27 10:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 08-23 17:36
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -1 $0 22¢ $-0 -$1 08-18 23:00
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 86¢ $0 $0 06-27 20:16
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +0 $1 79¢ $0 $0 08-26 07:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +2 $0 6¢ $0 $0 10-02 09:58
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +0 $0 71¢ $0 $0 08-08 03:34
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-07 06:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 $0 08-10 13:40
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +0 $0 30¢ $0 +$0 05-14 09:06
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 05-19 18:01
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +0 -$2 6¢ $0 +$2 10-01 22:13
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-01 01:48
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 08-25 08:37
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +0 -$1 6¢ $0 +$1 09-27 15:21
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 $0 05-08 12:08
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $0 0¢ $0 $0 04-30 18:58
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 08-26 12:51
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 -$19 5¢ $0 +$19 09-26 15:47
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-16 17:17
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 -$20 0¢ $0 +$20 08-29 15:54
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-23 20:03