Realized P&L
+$24
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
99
Trades
73,327
lifetime
Volume
$77.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$63
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-27 20:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
50% 30% +$13
Politics
23% 31% $-28
Crypto
11%
Sports
9% 67% +$40
Tech
4% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 4865 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-8 40¢ $-8 $-0 06-25 11:18
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -25 $-11 31¢ $-8 +$3 06-08 04:54
Tori FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -12 $-6 47¢ $-6 +$0 06-24 16:12
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-4 67¢ $-4 +$0 06-27 20:16
Will the Seattle Mariners win more than 88.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 88.5 -8 $-3 44¢ $-4 $-0 06-04 07:00
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 87.5 -8 $-3 40¢ $-3 $-0 06-11 13:30
Will Fuse launch a token by June 30, 2027? No -9 $-5 34¢ $-3 +$2 06-27 16:20
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No -6 $-3 56¢ $-3 +$0 05-30 21:54
Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -22 $-2 14¢ $-3 $-1 06-02 01:31
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-2 26¢ $-3 $-0 06-25 05:13
Decibel FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-3 36¢ $-3 +$0 06-26 10:51
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -94 $-6 $-2 +$3 06-24 14:33
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? No -21 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-24 20:52
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass? No -6 $-1 32¢ $-2 $-1 06-24 22:27
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-2 17¢ $-2 +$0 06-25 06:59
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -7 $-1 22¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 05:23
Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 84.5 -8 $-1 20¢ $-2 $-0 06-11 01:11
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes -10 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 02:10
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 20¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 14:08
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -8 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$0 06-26 11:16
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -7 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-15 06:02
Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-24 13:31
Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-26 15:30
Will Gigi Patta as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? Yes +39 $0 $0 $-0 04-23 11:45
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 21:53
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-01 04:04
Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-25 11:28
Will "Campfire Cooking in Another World with My Absurd Skill Season 2" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? Yes +8 $2 $0 $-2 04-21 19:08