Realized P&L
+$24
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
99
Trades
73,333
lifetime
Volume
$77.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$69
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-09 06:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
50% 30% +$13
Politics
23% 31% $-28
Crypto
11%
Sports
9% 67% +$40
Tech
4% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -94 $-6 $-7 $-2 06-24 14:33
Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-8 32¢ $-7 +$1 06-25 11:18
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -25 $-11 20¢ $-5 +$6 06-08 04:54
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 87.5 -8 $-3 52¢ $-4 $-1 06-11 13:30
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No -6 $-3 72¢ $-4 $-1 05-30 21:54
Tori FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -12 $-6 32¢ $-4 +$2 06-24 16:12
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-4 59¢ $-4 +$1 06-27 20:16
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-2 32¢ $-3 $-1 06-25 05:13
Will Fuse launch a token by June 30, 2027? No -9 $-5 36¢ $-3 +$1 06-27 16:20
Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -9 $-0 33¢ $-3 $-3 07-02 00:24
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -7 $-1 42¢ $-3 $-2 06-27 05:23
Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -22 $-2 12¢ $-3 $-1 06-02 01:31
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass? No -6 $-1 44¢ $-2 $-2 06-24 22:27
Will the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 80.5 -5 $-2 48¢ $-2 $-0 07-07 15:38
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -8 $-1 27¢ $-2 $-1 06-26 11:16
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes -10 $-2 20¢ $-2 $-1 05-31 02:10
Decibel FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-3 26¢ $-2 +$1 06-26 10:51
Will the Seattle Mariners win more than 88.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 88.5 -8 $-3 23¢ $-2 +$1 06-04 07:00
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$1 06-25 06:59
Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 84.5 -8 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$0 06-11 01:11
Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-1 13¢ $-1 $-0 07-05 22:26
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 14:08
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? No -21 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-24 20:52
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 78.5 -16 $-1 $-1 +$1 07-09 06:01
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -7 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-15 06:02
Will the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 75.5 -3 $-1 10¢ $-0 +$0 07-08 06:32
Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-24 13:31
Will Gigi Patta as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? Yes +39 $0 $0 $-0 04-23 11:45
Will "Campfire Cooking in Another World with My Absurd Skill Season 2" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? Yes +8 $2 $0 $-2 04-21 19:08